Will Laura Kelly run for Senate?

[Spectator]

My guess is she’ll be talked into it towards the end of 2025 when Dems need a long-shot to feasibly win back the Senate. That’s roughly when Sinema and Bredesen launched their campaigns in 2017. Harris held up surprisingly well in Kansas matching Biden’s 41%. Davids did about 5% better on the same ballot as Harris too, it looks like. There’s an argument that persuasion plus favorable turnout dynamics could allow Kelly to squeak it out.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Definitely her or Davids ought to give it a shot. Democrats need to contest everywhere possible in addition to Maine and North Carolina in 2026.

[Tekken_Guy]

Definitely her or Davids ought to give it a shot. Democrats need to contest everywhere possible in addition to Maine and North Carolina in 2026.

Yeah, there are four tiers of targets for Dems

Tier 1: ME, NC
Tier 2: AK, FL, IA, KS, OH, TX
Tier 3: KY, LA, MS, MT, NE, SC
Tier 4: AL, AR, ID, OK, SD, TN, WV, WY

And the four tiers for Republicans

Tier 1: GA, MI
Tier 2: MN, NH, NJ, NM, VA
Tier 3: CO, IL, OR
Tier 4: DE, MA, RI

[coloradocowboi]

Can she win? Probs not.

Is there any downside to running? Also probs not.

Beshear and JBE might as well too. The point is nobody else even could win

[Panda Express]

She'll be 76 in 2026.

Also, I thought we've all learned our lesson about running popular governors of the opposite party in "safe" states?

Find a younger, outsider male stud candidate in the vein of Osborn/Orman/Ossof/Kunce for best chance

[Spectator]

She'll be 76 in 2026.

Also, I thought we've all learned our lesson about running popular governors of the opposite party in "safe" states?

Find a younger, outsider male stud candidate in the vein of Osborn/Orman/Ossof/Kunce for best chance

Lazy analysis overlooking the fact that popular governors tend to do double digits better than the baseline. As for the age, point, she could just promise to serve one term.

[MillennialModerate]

I mean she might but why? She won't win barring a massive and I mean massive landslide which is unlikely in the era of Der Führer

Plus the age thing - An Osborn candidate would be perfect.

[ShadowRocket]

She'll be 76 in 2026.

Also, I thought we've all learned our lesson about running popular governors of the opposite party in "safe" states?

Find a younger, outsider male stud candidate in the vein of Osborn/Orman/Ossof/Kunce for best chance

What about Josh Svaty?  He made some noise in his governor run a few years back and he doesn't seem to be doing anything nowadays.

[หมูเด้ง]

Definitely her or Davids ought to give it a shot. Democrats need to contest everywhere possible in addition to Maine and North Carolina in 2026.

Yeah, there are four tiers of targets for Dems

Tier 1: ME, NC
Tier 2: AK, FL, IA, KS, OH, TX
Tier 3: KY, LA, MS, MT, NE, SC
Tier 4: AL, AR, ID, OK, SD, TN, WV, WY

And the four tiers for Republicans

Tier 1: GA, MI
Tier 2: MN, NH, NJ, NM, VA
Tier 3: CO, IL, OR
Tier 4: DE, MA, RI

I think for them to be competitive in each tier they have to be ahead by about 4 more points. I think Democrats sweep tier 1 if they are winning by 4% and maybe win at least 2 in the next tier if they are winning by 8-10%.