FL-SEN 2026: Moody v.?

[2016]

DeSantis says he won't appoint himself to the Senate.

[Stranger in a strange land]

DeSantis says he won't appoint himself to the Senate.

No surprise, since voters generally take a very dim view of this sort of thing the few times that it's happened. If he wants the senate seat, he can just appoint a placeholder and then run in the special, in which case it would be Safe R.

[2016]

Rep. Cory Mills plans to run for Senate in 2026 regardless whom DeSantis appoints next week.

[JMT]

Rep. Cory Mills plans to run for Senate in 2026 regardless whom DeSantis appoints next week.

I saw that, here’s the quote:

https://twitter.com/fineout/status/1878104083023741111?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4tbLk...

[2016]

@JMT,
I have a hard time seeing Mills beating Moody in a GOP Primary assuming it's her who gets appointed to Rubios Senate Seat. She outpaced the entire Republican Statewide Ticket both in 2018 (D-Wave) and 2022 (R-Wave)

2018
Ashley Moody 52.1 %
Jimmy Patronis 51.7 %
Rick Scott 50.1 %
Matt Caldwell 50.0 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Ron DeSantis 49.6 %

2022
Ashley Moody 60.6 %
Jimmy Patronis 59.5 %
Ron DeSantis 59.4 %
Wilton Simpson 59.3 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Marco Rubio 57.7 %

Even if Democrats having a similar Midterm to 2018 it's basically impossible to beat her.

[JMT]

@JMT,
I have a hard time seeing Mills beating Moody in a GOP Primary assuming it's her who gets appointed to Rubios Senate Seat. She outpaced the entire Republican Statewide Ticket both in 2018 (D-Wave) and 2022 (R-Wave)

2018
Ashley Moody 52.1 %
Jimmy Patronis 51.7 %
Rick Scott 50.1 %
Matt Caldwell 50.0 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Ron DeSantis 49.6 %

2022
Ashley Moody 60.6 %
Jimmy Patronis 59.5 %
Ron DeSantis 59.4 %
Wilton Simpson 59.3 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Marco Rubio 57.7 %

Even if Democrats having a similar Midterm to 2018 it's basically impossible to beat her.

I agree! If DeSantis appoints Moody (which seems likely), I think she’ll win rather easily. Even though he’s suggested he’ll run regardless, I’m skeptical Mills would run in the end if Moody gets the appointment and runs for the seat.

[2016]

@JMT,
I have a hard time seeing Mills beating Moody in a GOP Primary assuming it's her who gets appointed to Rubios Senate Seat. She outpaced the entire Republican Statewide Ticket both in 2018 (D-Wave) and 2022 (R-Wave)

2018
Ashley Moody 52.1 %
Jimmy Patronis 51.7 %
Rick Scott 50.1 %
Matt Caldwell 50.0 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Ron DeSantis 49.6 %

2022
Ashley Moody 60.6 %
Jimmy Patronis 59.5 %
Ron DeSantis 59.4 %
Wilton Simpson 59.3 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Marco Rubio 57.7 %

Even if Democrats having a similar Midterm to 2018 it's basically impossible to beat her.

I agree! If DeSantis appoints Moody (which seems likely), I think she’ll win rather easily. Even though he’s suggested he’ll run regardless, I’m skeptical Mills would run in the end if Moody gets the appointment and runs for the seat.

Moody has tremendous crossover appeal since she was a Democratic Circuit Court Judge in Tallahassee before running for AG of Florida as a Republican to replaced termed-out Pam Bondi in 2018.

Best Republican Statewide Ticket in Florida next year though would:
Governor - Ashley Moody
Senate - Jeanette Nunez
AG - James Uthmeier or Paul Renner
CFO - Blaise Ingoglia
Ag Commissioner - Wilton Simpson

[Schumer can go f*** himself!]

@JMT,
I have a hard time seeing Mills beating Moody in a GOP Primary assuming it's her who gets appointed to Rubios Senate Seat. She outpaced the entire Republican Statewide Ticket both in 2018 (D-Wave) and 2022 (R-Wave)

2018
Ashley Moody 52.1 %
Jimmy Patronis 51.7 %
Rick Scott 50.1 %
Matt Caldwell 50.0 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Ron DeSantis 49.6 %

2022
Ashley Moody 60.6 %
Jimmy Patronis 59.5 %
Ron DeSantis 59.4 %
Wilton Simpson 59.3 % (lost to Nikki Fried)
Marco Rubio 57.7 %

Even if Democrats having a similar Midterm to 2018 it's basically impossible to beat her.

I agree! If DeSantis appoints Moody (which seems likely), I think she’ll win rather easily. Even though he’s suggested he’ll run regardless, I’m skeptical Mills would run in the end if Moody gets the appointment and runs for the seat.

Moody has tremendous crossover appeal since she was a Democratic Circuit Court Judge in Tallahassee before running for AG of Florida as a Republican to replaced termed-out Pam Bondi in 2018.

Best Republican Statewide Ticket in Florida next year though would:
Governor - Ashley Moody
Senate - Jeanette Nunez
AG - James Uthmeier or Paul Renner
CFO - Blaise Ingoglia
Ag Commissioner - Wilton Simpson

She does not have “tremendous crossover appeal,” but she doesn’t need it to win since this is Florida.

[2016]

DeSantis and Mills apparently had a chat about the Senate Seat but Ron is concerned about appointing someone from the US House as it would imperil Trumps Agenda.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1879913184443736106?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4tbLkna...

[Vern]

I guess this means Nunez is going to run for Governor

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/jimrosicafl/status/1879923184222523790?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4...

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1879913184443736106?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4tbLkna...

Great pick

[2016]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1879913184443736106?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4tbLkna...

Great pick

Fantastic Choice. She got 52 % in the D 2018 Wave. She will be very tough to beat in a Primary & General Election. It's likely over for Cory Mills getting that Seat if she runs for Re-Election which I presume she probably will.

Never mind that Trump + Trumps incoming Attorney General Pam Bondi has a huge Ally in the Senate now.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1879939852260516059?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4tbLkn...

[RRusso1982]

I'm surprised.  I thought DeSantis would have wanted the seat for himself in 2026.  He is term limited as governor then, and wants to remain relevant.  I expected him to just appoint someone with no ambition as a placeholder and run for it himself in a special election in 2026.

[2016]

I'm surprised.  I thought DeSantis would have wanted the seat for himself in 2026.  He is term limited as governor then, and wants to remain relevant.  I expected him to just appoint someone with no ambition as a placeholder and run for it himself in a special election in 2026.

DeSantis has 3 young children. He doesn't want to go to Washington with that young family. He had shown no interest in running in 2026.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1879939852260516059?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4tbLkn...

I don't think Mills has a chance in the Primary. He would need Trumps Endorsement which he probably won't get.

[iceman]

Mills is horrible.

[These birds not meant to fly alone]

Mills is horrible.

His reasoning behind wanting to primary Moody is that she endorsed DeSantis over Trump in the primary. Lol. Of course Florida's Attorney General is going to endorse Florida's Governor. Does Mills think DeSantis should be impeached for having the audacity to run against Trump in the primary?

I mean, I would support that for different reasons.

[2016]

Mills is horrible.

He would need to get Trumps Endorsement and I don't think he'll get that. Trump is actually quite happy with Moody as Pick.

[iceman]

How likely is FL-07 changing parties in 2026 should Mills run for senate?

[The '90s' Last Champion]

How likely is FL-07 changing parties in 2026 should Mills run for senate?

It voted Rubio+15 and Trump+12. I guess it’s doable in a blue wave election?

[Tekken_Guy]

How likely is FL-07 changing parties in 2026 should Mills run for senate?

Unlikely, but not totally impossible.

[2016]

How likely is FL-07 changing parties in 2026 should Mills run for senate?

I doubt it.

As we saw in Florida in 2018 the State is pretty much now immune to the National Environment. Also, Democrats had a 300,000+ Registration Advantage in the State. They will be behind by 1,500,000 come E-Day in 2026.

Finally Mills needs to STFU. Without DeSantis' aggressive gerrymander he would not even be in the House.