Why has PA Senate not been called yet? What am I missing?

[Doomer]

Is there a chance Casey can still win?

What’s the hold up on calling this one?

[Talleyrand]

Didn't AP already call it?

[GALeftist]

Copium from the Casey campaign. It's over

[Doomer]

Didn't AP already call it?

Have they? I just keep checking CNN and NYT and they haven’t called it.

Seems like it’s lost for Casey and no chance for him to still win.

[GeorgiaModerate]

AP and nobody else has called it.  I believe the call was premature (which doesn't mean it won't turn out to be correct in the end).  TL;DR: there are conflicting estimates on how many votes are left to count.  If the actual number is on the low end of the estimates, Casey is done. But if it's on the high end, he has a chance to make up enough ground because a large majority (but not all) of them are from Philly and Pittsburgh.

[Non-consecutive Two Term Floridian]

Last I heard there were still 100,000-150,000 votes still outstanding from Pittsburgh and Philadelphia? Casey I think would need to get like 75% of them to win though

[Spectator]

Last I heard there were still 100,000-150,000 votes still outstanding from Pittsburgh and Philadelphia? Casey I think would need to get like 75% of them to win though

Is this still true? I know that was the case last week, but I imagine it's gotta be a lot lower now. 40k is a tough hill to climb out of.

[It's Time.]

AP and nobody else has called it.  I believe the call was premature (which doesn't mean it won't turn out to be correct in the end).  TL;DR: there are conflicting estimates on how many votes are left to count.  If the actual number is on the low end of the estimates, Casey is done. But if it's on the high end, he has a chance to make up enough ground because a large majority (but not all) of them are from Philly and Pittsburgh.

I doubt it, but it will be funny if the senate race gets Norm Coleman'd

[หมูเด้ง]

AP and nobody else has called it.  I believe the call was premature (which doesn't mean it won't turn out to be correct in the end).  TL;DR: there are conflicting estimates on how many votes are left to count.  If the actual number is on the low end of the estimates, Casey is done. But if it's on the high end, he has a chance to make up enough ground because a large majority (but not all) of them are from Philly and Pittsburgh.

I doubt it, but it will be funny if the senate race gets Norm Coleman'd

Trump would have a 52-48 senate and 219-216 house. Good luck with this, dipsh**ts.

[El Betico]

From what I've heard, tomorrow is the day for counties to submit returns of provisional ballots. In any case, with margin under .5 regardless who wins, there will be a mandatory recount...if the numbers are really between 100-150k left to be counted mostly for Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, Casey definitely has a path...

[Flyersfan232]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

[VALibertarian]

Overly cautious networks seems to be only clear case - although almost everything points to a McCormick win.

[Flyersfan232]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

Schumer basicly acknowledge Casey lost

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

Schumer basicly acknowledge Casey lost

Yep.

[Neocon Dem]

Pennsylvania really needs to count their ballots faster, considering that they're a swing state.

[South Dakota Democrat]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

Schumer basicly acknowledge Casey lost

Nope.  It's an "in case" sort of thing.  It's happened before.

[EternalOptimistPopulist]

As of now, NBC News reports 12,000 ballots from Philadelphia and 14,000 from Allegheny County remain, with 8,000 from Westmoreland. McCormick is up by 30,000. It likely goes to a recount, but it's hard seeing Casey win at this point.

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

Schumer basicly acknowledge Casey lost

Nope.  It's an "in case" sort of thing.  It's happened before.

Yep for instance in 2018 I'm pretty sure Young Kim ended up going to orientation - she would go on to become a Congresswoman 2 years later anyways though.

[Trump v. Wong Kim Ark]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

Schumer basicly acknowledge Casey lost

Nope.  It's an "in case" sort of thing.  It's happened before.

Yep for instance in 2018 I'm pretty sure Young Kim ended up going to orientation - she would go on to become a Congresswoman 2 years later anyways though.

Yeah, Ami Bera went in 2012 when it was still up in the air. Fun fact, at the time, the HoR orientation was headed by Bera’s opponent, Dan Lungren.

[Rhode Islander First, American Second]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

Schumer basicly acknowledge Casey lost

Nope.  It's an "in case" sort of thing.  It's happened before.

Yep for instance in 2018 I'm pretty sure Young Kim ended up going to orientation - she would go on to become a Congresswoman 2 years later anyways though.

Another person who went to orientation (despite ultimately losing), only to be elected two years later: George Santos.

[Ferguson97]

The number of outstanding votes exceeds the number of votes separating Casey and McCormick.

[Accordion Hazard]

NYT currently has McCormick leading by 24,409 votes while claiming 80,500 votes remain to be counted. If true Casey would need to win them by 30 points. However remaining could be significantly lower or higher than that. NBC reportedly pegs it at 49k, yet their % in suggests Philadelphia alone could have 47k. PA SoS reportedly has it at 60k. Some could be disqualified, more could be found, estimates could be off.

[Joe Biden 2028]

NYT currently has McCormick leading by 24,409 votes while claiming 80,500 votes remain to be counted. If true Casey would need to win them by 30 points. However remaining could be significantly lower or higher than that. NBC reportedly pegs it at 49k, yet their % in suggests Philadelphia alone could have 47k. PA SoS reportedly has it at 60k. Some could be disqualified, more could be found, estimates could be off.

Why have they declared a recount if the first vote isn't done?

[Paleobrazilian]

DDHQ called it yesterday.

[kwabbit]

https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1856319480235762026

Schumer basicly acknowledge Casey lost

Nope.  It's an "in case" sort of thing.  It's happened before.

Yep for instance in 2018 I'm pretty sure Young Kim ended up going to orientation - she would go on to become a Congresswoman 2 years later anyways though.

Another person who went to orientation (despite ultimately losing), only to be elected two years later: George Santos.

Is that true? He lost by 12.5 in 2020.