Largest County to vote for Trump

[....................]

I don't understand why Maricopa is even so close. I know they have alot of people that retire their, I know they have a large mormon population, but I don't get how a county of 4.5 million people can be so close. Think Harris narrowly wins it by like a point but that is super close for a large county.

It has almost 2.5 million more people than Miami dade, and no cubans.

I mean 45k last time win for Biden is nothing for a county that large. Probably a similar win for Harris.

Maricopa County is HUGE in terms of size. Thus, it includes a lot of conservative-leaning suburbs around Phoenix.

Yes. But it always blows my mind how a county so large could stay red for so long. You would think a county that large would start to get very blue the larger it gets. I know Miami is large and getting redder but I know because of the larger Cuban population. So it makes sense. She is going to win Maricopa by a point and that’s really shocking for a place of 4.5 million people. It seems like the suburbs of Dallas are going to get way bluer than Maricopa and they have way less people. Or Georgia. It seems like Maricopa should be more like Cobb or Gwinnett counties. I know they are whiter and older but seems like they should be voting dem by 10 rather than 1.

It has been a retirement destination. That trend is declining (the retirement communities aren't really growing so much in Phoenix at this point, although there is a constant supply of new retirees to replace the dead ones still; I do wonder if in a decade or so some of the retirement communities in the Phoenix area might struggle to fill spots to the point of having to get rid of or lower age limitations), but it kept the county Republican much longer than it might otherwise have been.

Which retirees also matters. Historically Miami got New York retirees who were pretty Democratic. But Phoenix has always gotten conservative retirees from around the West (even places like Orange County, CA that are still quite Republican in the upper age brackets and were rock-ribbed Republican a generation ago) and to a lesser extent the Midwest.

Yea I understand.But one would think not all those older retired people are Republicans and that many would be worried about Republicans screwing their social security.

And one would think the flight from California would result in AZ becoming bluer. It seems it has happened a little but not in a large scale. Know not all those people from California are liberals and alot of Conservatives but still.

I would imagine they will vote for Harris by about the same amount as in 2020. Then hopefully as the cycles go on the get bluer.

[NYDem]

Related question: Which is the densest county Trump wins this year?

[falling apart like the ashes of American flags]

Related question: Which is the densest county Trump wins this year?

Staten Island obviously.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Yea I understand.But one would think not all those older retired people are Republicans and that many would be worried about Republicans screwing their social security.

Many people have cognitive dissonance. Also, people prioritize different things.

I posted a news article a few days ago where a Trump voter in Wyoming acknowledged that Trump's proposed tariffs would crush his business, but he doesn't care about that as long as Trump bans abortion and stops all illegal immigration.

[....................]

Yea I understand.But one would think not all those older retired people are Republicans and that many would be worried about Republicans screwing their social security.

Many people have cognitive dissonance. Also, people prioritize different things.

I posted a news article a few days ago where a Trump voter in Wyoming acknowledged that Trump's proposed tariffs would crush his business, but he doesn't care about that as long as Trump bans abortion and stops all illegal immigration.

Yea typical “Christian” maga. Wants to ban abortion because of god, but is also ok with the military going to door to door guns in the face of women and children to put them in camps and remove them. These people are the worst human beings.

[iceman]

The answer to this is most likely Maricopa and Harris county came in pretty close too.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Maricopa AZ
Miami-Dade FL
Riverside CA??? (TBD)
San Bernardino CA??? (TBD)
Tarrant TX
Hillsborough FL
Suffolk NY-Largest he won in 2020 and only by 200 votes

[nclib]

Related question: Which is the densest county Trump wins this year?

Staten Island obviously.

Yes, and Nassau, NY, Miami-Dade, FL, Hillsborough, FL, and Pinellas, FL would probably be the next most.

[RI]

Largest vote margins for Trump (so far):

139,684 Montgomery, TX
125,504 Miami-Dade, FL
119,052 Ocean, NJ
111,438 Lee, FL
  88,827 Utah, UT*
  80,300 Pasco, FL
  79,754 Maricopa, AZ*
  79,451 Suffolk, NY
  79,394 Horry, SC
  75,333 Brevard, FL
  72,148 Polk, FL
  71,536 Collier, FL
  70,381 Baldwin, AL
  69,709 Macomb, MI
  67,719 Marion, FL
  67,567 Volusia, FL
  63,290 Cherokee, GA
  63,112 York, PA
  61,845 St. Johns, FL
  60,599 St. Tammany, LA
  60,251 Parker, TX
  59,817 Westmoreland, PA
  59,355 Denton, TX
  58,467 Greenville, SC
  58,393 Richmond, NY
  58,158 Collin, TX
  57,243 Santa Rosa, FL
  55,998 Mohave, AZ*
  55,985 Lake, FL
  54,291 Waukesha, WI
  54,011 Manatee, FL
  52,322 Spartanburg, SC
  50,541 Sarasota, FL
  49,946 Kootenai, ID

[BaldEagle1991]

Looking like Miami and Phoenix this year.

Las Vegas was extremely close to it too.

[super6646]

Kinda surprised Maricopa snapped back so hard for  the republicans. Thought trump would win the state by a point or two and lose this one narrowly. Might be one of the biggest disappointments for Harris this cycle.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Largest vote margins for Trump (so far):

139,684 Montgomery, TX
125,504 Miami-Dade, FL
119,052 Ocean, NJ
111,438 Lee, FL
  88,827 Utah, UT*
  80,300 Pasco, FL
  79,754 Maricopa, AZ*
  79,451 Suffolk, NY
  79,394 Horry, SC
  75,333 Brevard, FL
  72,148 Polk, FL
  71,536 Collier, FL
  70,381 Baldwin, AL
  69,709 Macomb, MI
  67,719 Marion, FL
  67,567 Volusia, FL
  63,290 Cherokee, GA
  63,112 York, PA
  61,845 St. Johns, FL
  60,599 St. Tammany, LA
  60,251 Parker, TX
  59,817 Westmoreland, PA
  59,355 Denton, TX
  58,467 Greenville, SC
  58,393 Richmond, NY
  58,158 Collin, TX
  57,243 Santa Rosa, FL
  55,998 Mohave, AZ*
  55,985 Lake, FL
  54,291 Waukesha, WI
  54,011 Manatee, FL
  52,322 Spartanburg, SC
  50,541 Sarasota, FL
  49,946 Kootenai, ID

Imagine telling someone from 2016 (fresh off a 30-point Clinton landslide) that in just 8 years, Miami-Dade County will give the Republican candidate their second largest raw vote margin of any county in the nation.

[BaldEagle1991]

Kinda surprised Maricopa snapped back so hard for  the republicans. Thought trump would win the state by a point or two and lose this one narrowly. Might be one of the biggest disappointments for Harris this cycle.

I think Lake in the Senate race won it but she still lost.

[Roll Roons]

Kinda surprised Maricopa snapped back so hard for  the republicans. Thought trump would win the state by a point or two and lose this one narrowly. Might be one of the biggest disappointments for Harris this cycle.

I think Lake in the Senate race won it but she still lost.

No, Lake is losing it by around 3 points.

[Rhode Islander First, American Second]

Largest vote margins for Trump (so far):

139,684 Montgomery, TX
125,504 Miami-Dade, FL
119,052 Ocean, NJ
111,438 Lee, FL
  88,827 Utah, UT*
  80,300 Pasco, FL
  79,754 Maricopa, AZ*
  79,451 Suffolk, NY
  79,394 Horry, SC
  75,333 Brevard, FL
  72,148 Polk, FL
  71,536 Collier, FL
  70,381 Baldwin, AL
  69,709 Macomb, MI
  67,719 Marion, FL
  67,567 Volusia, FL
  63,290 Cherokee, GA
  63,112 York, PA
  61,845 St. Johns, FL
  60,599 St. Tammany, LA
  60,251 Parker, TX
  59,817 Westmoreland, PA
  59,355 Denton, TX
  58,467 Greenville, SC
  58,393 Richmond, NY
  58,158 Collin, TX
  57,243 Santa Rosa, FL
  55,998 Mohave, AZ*
  55,985 Lake, FL
  54,291 Waukesha, WI
  54,011 Manatee, FL
  52,322 Spartanburg, SC
  50,541 Sarasota, FL
  49,946 Kootenai, ID

Imagine telling someone from 2016 (fresh off a 30-point Clinton landslide) that in just 8 years, Miami-Dade County will give the Republican candidate their second largest raw vote margin of any county in the nation.

It’s crazy how much this election made Hillary look like an electoral titan, especially in places like Miami.

[Roll Roons]

As it turns out, he won all of the counties that OP listed except Orange, Clark and Palm Beach.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

As it turns out, he won all of the counties that OP listed except Orange, Clark and Palm Beach.

I think it's interesting that Romney won Orange but lost SB and Riverside but Trump won the other two while losing Orange. Shows the coalition shift over time.

[CentristRepublican]

Largest vote margins for Trump (so far):

139,684 Montgomery, TX
125,504 Miami-Dade, FL
119,052 Ocean, NJ
111,438 Lee, FL
  88,827 Utah, UT*
  80,300 Pasco, FL
  79,754 Maricopa, AZ*
  79,451 Suffolk, NY
  79,394 Horry, SC
  75,333 Brevard, FL
  72,148 Polk, FL
  71,536 Collier, FL
  70,381 Baldwin, AL
  69,709 Macomb, MI
  67,719 Marion, FL
  67,567 Volusia, FL
  63,290 Cherokee, GA
  63,112 York, PA
  61,845 St. Johns, FL
  60,599 St. Tammany, LA
  60,251 Parker, TX
  59,817 Westmoreland, PA
  59,355 Denton, TX
  58,467 Greenville, SC
  58,393 Richmond, NY
  58,158 Collin, TX
  57,243 Santa Rosa, FL
  55,998 Mohave, AZ*
  55,985 Lake, FL
  54,291 Waukesha, WI
  54,011 Manatee, FL
  52,322 Spartanburg, SC
  50,541 Sarasota, FL
  49,946 Kootenai, ID

Absolutely insane that it's skyrocketed to second place after literally going D just four years ago...goes to show a) how far right it shifted and b) just how insanely populous it is.