Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread
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Author Topic: Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread  (Read 109334 times)
emailking
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« Reply #3500 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:00 PM »


I think it's timed good, as either a celebration meal, or comfort meal, lol.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3501 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:04 PM »

Needle for MI and PA -- not what you want to see if you're Team Harris.  Both keep inching towards Trump, though it's still an on-paper toss-up and we probably won't have any solid answers tonight. 

Think I'm heading for bed.  I almost just threw up (no no, has nothing to do with the election) and should probably take my own advice of putting my health first.   
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Trends Are Fake
Stuart98
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« Reply #3502 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:10 PM »

What the  is going on in Sandoval County, New Mexico? This is where Santa Fe is, 5-6 point underperformance from 2020. 73% in
Hispanic swing right all over the country.
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neuroticballofanxiety
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« Reply #3503 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:12 PM »

10 point swing to Trump in Dallas, TX compared to 2020.

     Trump is notching impressive swings across Texas. While it is easy to attribute this to Latinos, the big movement in 2020 was localized to the RGV and the big Texas cities all swung D. Now they are moving R, which indicates that what is happening is qualitatively different than what we saw there last time.

Pretty sure this is due to immigration and the border.
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Fancyarcher
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« Reply #3504 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:18 PM »

I did some back of the hand math and Trump should win Kansas by just about five points exactly. Fort Hays really is the gold standard there.

Holy sh**t, and there's a senate election in 2026 too.
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #3505 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:22 PM »


Probably a lot from Chicago holding out, tbh.
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axiomsofdominion
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« Reply #3506 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:25 PM »

Dems are on track to win Georgia. Trump's vote is coming in faster than theirs but the numbers support them. It looks like the Atlanta superregion is blueshifting as election day votes come in.
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SN2903
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« Reply #3507 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:28 PM »



Not only him but Michael Moore, James Carville, Larry Sabato….
Litchman is an idiot
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #3508 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:35 PM »

Needle for MI and PA -- not what you want to see if you're Team Harris.  Both keep inching towards Trump, though it's still an on-paper toss-up and we probably won't have any solid answers tonight. 

Think I'm heading for bed.  I almost just threw up (no no, has nothing to do with the election) and should probably take my own advice of putting my health first.   
Hope you're OK !
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #3509 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:35 PM »

As someone who was just eating some pizza I agree.
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pepper11
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« Reply #3510 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:42 PM »

NBC has GA and too CLOSE and NC MI AZ PA MI as too EARLY.

Wow
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mlee117379
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« Reply #3511 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:42 PM »

Dems are on track to win Georgia. Trump's vote is coming in faster than theirs but the numbers support them. It looks like the Atlanta superregion is blueshifting as election day votes come in.

I hope you’re right
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Storr
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« Reply #3512 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:51 PM »

Nebraska’s 2nd district, Pres. 45.9% in

Kamala Harris (D)
60.9%

Donald Trump (R)
38.1%

https://www.politico.com/2024-election/results/nebraska/
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It's Time.
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« Reply #3513 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:52 PM »

Needle projecting Trump+11 TX...What happened?
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Steve from Lambeth
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« Reply #3514 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:54 PM »

I'm getting concerned about NC too:
...
Union (SUBURBAN): Trump+24 -> Trump+25

Everybody said RFK's support for removing fluoride from the water supply was going to destroy Trump. Everybody was wrong.
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Pope Emoviolence Fluttershy II
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« Reply #3515 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:54 PM »

Why is Harris doing well in Kansas and Missouri?
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Banana Republican
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« Reply #3516 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:54 PM »

People really need to calm down. Remember the red mirage in 2020?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-georgia-president.html

Nearly every completed county is a rightward swing from 2020. Please explain where the mirage is.

Sometimes there are different trends in different regions. It's plausible that Harris could hold up in Wi/MI/PA while losing ground across the south, for example, because those are different regions with different culture, history, and demographics and political traditions.

Doesn't mean that is what's going to happen, but it could be. Start dooming about states like WI and PA and MI when you have 100% complete counties in those states, not 100% complete counties in states like FL, KY, and GA.

But we're not at that point.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #3517 on: November 05, 2024, 09:12:55 PM »

Well, Looks like my suspicions were correct. I had a hunch that Kamala's campaign, although near flawless in it's execution, did not aim right when it came to demograhics, and messaging. She seems to be underperforming with blue collar workers, that are white, Asian, Hispanic, you name it, and the only group she seems to be doing well with is with college educated voters.


I will write more on this if the trend holds up, but the democratic party has to look at itself.

I feel like the factor for many people is not being able to see a woman standing up to male world leaders and being commander in chief.
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UNL
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« Reply #3518 on: November 05, 2024, 09:13:00 PM »

What the  is going on in Sandoval County, New Mexico? This is where Santa Fe is, 5-6 point underperformance from 2020. 73% in
Hispanic swing right all over the country.
Bleak
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #3519 on: November 05, 2024, 09:13:13 PM »

NBC calls the Magnolia State for Trump.
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oldtimer
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« Reply #3520 on: November 05, 2024, 09:13:15 PM »

What are the odds of Democrats flipping the House while losing the Presidency?

With these Presidential numbers ?

It might be the missing Red wave from 2022, just crashing today.
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PALiberal
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« Reply #3521 on: November 05, 2024, 09:13:17 PM »

Nebraska’s 2nd district, Pres. 45.9% in

Kamala Harris (D)
60.9%

Donald Trump (R)
38.1%

https://www.politico.com/2024-election/results/nebraska/

Love me some cooked bacon
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VALibertarian
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« Reply #3522 on: November 05, 2024, 09:13:18 PM »

I'd like to, for the first time tonight offer an olive branch out to Kayaoin and ask are you doing ok buddy?
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #3523 on: November 05, 2024, 09:13:20 PM »

What if Trump wins New York?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3524 on: November 05, 2024, 09:13:22 PM »

I did some back of the hand math and Trump should win Kansas by just about five points exactly. Fort Hays really is the gold standard there.

Will the Midwest at-large bail out the country?
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