Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread  (Read 109333 times)
Fargobison
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« Reply #3475 on: November 05, 2024, 09:08:19 PM »
Quote from: RBH on November 05, 2024, 09:05:19 PM
Quote from: President Johnson 🥥🌴 on November 05, 2024, 09:04:19 PM
Trump will win the popular vote at this rate, and probably get to over 50%. A convicted felon who attempted a coup and can't formulate a coherant policy. Let that sunk in.

every single Harris campaign official should never work in their field again if that happens.. blacklist them and send them to lose campaigns in Peru

No every single person that wanted and helped Biden run in 2024 are the people you are really looking for. He was completely cooked before it started.
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emailking
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« Reply #3476 on: November 05, 2024, 09:08:28 PM »
Quote from: emailking on November 05, 2024, 11:23:47 AM
I just ordered my pizza for tonight. 🍕

My pizza's here.
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Can't Bear
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« Reply #3477 on: November 05, 2024, 09:08:29 PM »
Quote from: CentristRepublican on November 05, 2024, 08:59:24 PM
RHODE ISLAND FINALLY CALLED ON CNN BUT ONLY HARRIS+5.5

The Needle predicts D+14
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Banana Republican
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« Reply #3478 on: November 05, 2024, 09:08:31 PM »
Quote from: Obiden2020 on November 05, 2024, 08:54:20 PM
Dooming is insane at this point. There have been Zero trump upsets. Just cause Kamala isnt winning an Obama esque victory doesnt mean she's done.

So far it's not that different from 2020 in terms of that. Doesn't mean it will end the same way as 2020, of course, but it's premature to say Trump is going to win.
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RBH
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« Reply #3479 on: November 05, 2024, 09:08:42 PM »
so basically Harris gonna gain nothing from a Dobbs backlash in states like Rhode Island and also lose the more anti-choice Dems? lovely
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3480 on: November 05, 2024, 09:08:44 PM »
What are the odds of Democrats flipping the House while losing the Presidency?
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #3481 on: November 05, 2024, 09:09:40 PM »
65-35 Harris.. a double digits swing.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #3482 on: November 05, 2024, 09:09:45 PM »
Williamson, TN shockingly is looking like a strong Republican swing.  It was Trump +26 last time, and he's up 33 with 82% in per the NYT.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #3483 on: November 05, 2024, 09:09:58 PM »
America doesn’t want a woman President
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UNL
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« Reply #3484 on: November 05, 2024, 09:10:06 PM »
What the  is going on in Sandoval County, New Mexico? This is where Santa Fe is, 5-6 point underperformance from 2020. 73% in
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pepper11
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« Reply #3485 on: November 05, 2024, 09:10:14 PM »
Needle continues to tick very slowly in Trump direction  in MI and PA. Very slightly but continually.
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Chief Justice PiT
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« Reply #3486 on: November 05, 2024, 09:10:33 PM »
Quote from: PoliticsWatcher1 on November 05, 2024, 09:04:19 PM
10 point swing to Trump in Dallas, TX compared to 2020.

     Trump is notching impressive swings across Texas. While it is easy to attribute this to Latinos, the big movement in 2020 was localized to the RGV and the big Texas cities all swung D. Now they are moving R, which indicates that what is happening is qualitatively different than what we saw there last time.
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jojoju1998
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« Reply #3487 on: November 05, 2024, 09:10:34 PM »
Well, Looks like my suspicions were correct. I had a hunch that Kamala's campaign, although near flawless in it's execution, did not aim right when it came to demograhics, and messaging. She seems to be underperforming with blue collar workers, that are white, Asian, Hispanic, you name it, and the only group she seems to be doing well with is with college educated voters.


I will write more on this if the trend holds up, but the democratic party has to look at itself.
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ConDemocrat
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« Reply #3488 on: November 05, 2024, 09:10:49 PM »
I did some back of the hand math and Trump should win Kansas by just about five points exactly. Fort Hays really is the gold standard there.
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Aurelius2
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« Reply #3489 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:02 PM »
The Needle now has the median outcome for the popular vote at Harris +0.5, down from Harris +1.3 when the Needle first went online earlier.
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #3490 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:10 PM »

I warned you.
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Can't Back Down When Punched!
laddicus finch
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« Reply #3491 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:14 PM »
Quote from: RBH on November 05, 2024, 09:08:42 PM
so basically Harris gonna gain nothing from a Dobbs backlash in states like Rhode Island and also lose the more anti-choice Dems? lovely

NBC exit poll has Trump winning 28% of pro-choicers and Harris winning 9% of pro-lifers. We saw this in the midterms too. So yeah pretty much what you said
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SuzerainOfSwat
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« Reply #3492 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:17 PM »
I think Doomerism among Dems is a little funny, reminds me of what I saw elsewhere in 2020.
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Aurelius2
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« Reply #3493 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:29 PM »
Quote from: UNL on November 05, 2024, 09:10:06 PM
What the  is going on in Sandoval County, New Mexico? This is where Santa Fe is, 5-6 point underperformance from 2020. 73% in
Santa Fe is in Santa Fe County, not Sandoval County.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #3494 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:39 PM »
😞
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SN2903
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« Reply #3495 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:44 PM »
VA is a really really good sign for Trump. Something big is going on.
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Doomer
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« Reply #3496 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:47 PM »


Not only him but Michael Moore, James Carville, Larry Sabato….
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Crumpets
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« Reply #3497 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:51 PM »
NBC finally calls Mississippi for Trump.
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Alan Simpson
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« Reply #3498 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:55 PM »
John King on CNN indicates that many votes from areas expected to vote Democratic outstanding in Virginia, No. Carolina and Georgia.
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PoliticsWatcher1
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« Reply #3499 on: November 05, 2024, 09:11:57 PM »
It seems like everywhere across the board, we are seeing 8-10 point shifts.
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