Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Are these early Indiana results really all mail EV? (specially all those 66+% results counties)

No they aren't according to Kornacki

[Aurelius2]

Taylor, KY is 88% in according to NYT. 77/21 Trump. 75/24 last time. Still a bit of MoE from the last 12%.

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.

Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

That was Fetterman's strategy against Oz -- drive down the margin in ruby-red counties from Trump 2020 levels. 

Evidently it worked.

[Red Velvet]

I’ll wait for the counties to reach 100% but if they’re around the same as right now, I have seen enough. Kamala Harris will win this election, even if Trump flips AZ, NV and GA in a pessimistic scenario.

No way you have these trends in Indiana (on par with 2020 or even a bit better for democrats) and Kamala still loses in MI, WI, PA.

[ultraviolet]

This still means nothing. I remember at this time in 2020 people were using these earliest votes to confirm the Dem landslide. In today’s environment, anything can change, and quickly.

[wbrocks67]

Are these early Indiana results really all mail EV? (specially all those 50+% results counties)

apparently some, like Hamilton, have some ED

[Brittain33]

Trump continues to fall behind in most of the counties being called. (compared to his 2020 performance)

Literally 0 counties have been called.

[RBH]

Bartholomew Co Indiana is 59-39.5 Trump, different from the 62-36 result there in 2020

This would be the home county of Mike Pence, IIRC

How much of the vote is in there?

AP says 10% but also has 23k votes.. Bartholomew cast around 35k votes in 2020

[100% pro-choice no matter what]

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.

Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

what works works.

Yeah. You take what you can get as a presidential candidate.

Particularly since the Hamilton County results we have so far indicate that there's no Harris suburban collapse at the very least.

[TWTown]

88% of Taylor County, Kentucky is in and Trump is doing better than 2020

[oldtimer]

Are these early Indiana results really all mail EV? (specially all those 50+% results counties)

I don't know, I guess mail since it's a huge dump in one go.

That's why I'm waiting for a 100% IN county.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Taylor County, KY claims to be 88% in. If true it would be a decent right shift from 2020 but also a notable turnout decline overall. Makes me think it's not really 88% in.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Taylor Count KY 88% in. Trump +56 vs. Trump +51 in 2020. Trump +51 in 2016.

Omgfg...please tell me this is a reporting error or something. Kamala can't afford any rural erosion.

[Hindsight was 2020]

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.

Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

Months ago they said in the rust belt they wanted to try out Fetterman’s 2022 strategy of putting resources into red areas to shave a few points off while still running in the cities and suburbs

[wbrocks67]

This still means nothing. I remember at this time in 2020 people were using these earliest votes to confirm the Dem landslide. In today’s environment, anything can change, and quickly.

They really weren't, and that was also when literally 75% of Democrats were voting early lol

[Aurelius2]

Georgia: "who do you trust more to handle a crisis?"

Trump 51 / Harris 47

Biden approval: 41 approve, 58 disapprove

Both incredibly and understandably, people seem to have forgotten COVID and Trump's handling of it.

Many of Trump's voters do remember covid, and they remember that unlike many Dem governors (looking at you Newsom) he didn't impose never ending lockdowns.

[Mehmentum]

Are these early Indiana results really all mail EV? (specially all those 66+% results counties)

No they aren't according to Kornacki

That's encouraging.

[Fargobison]

Hamilton is interesting but I need to see more.

[GeorgiaModerate]

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.

Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

That was Fetterman's strategy against Oz -- drive down the margin in ruby-red counties from Trump 2020 levels. 

I fondly remember your county-by-county PA updates through the night.  Are you going to do that again tonight?

[LimoLiberal]

Taylor, KY is 88% in according to NYT. 77/21 Trump. 75/24 last time. Still a bit of MoE from the last 12%.

Looks like turnout is way down from 2020 if that's true?

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.

Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

what works works.

Yeah. You take what you can get as a presidential candidate.

Particularly since the Hamilton County results we have so far indicate that there's no Harris suburban collapse at the very least.

It would be quite something if we only see Trump-era trends intensify.

[Kamala-Tim 2024]

Georgia: "who do you trust more to handle a crisis?"

Trump 51 / Harris 47

Biden approval: 41 approve, 58 disapprove

Yeah, if the exit polls for Georgia hold, I think they foretell a very close Trump victory in the state.

The polls in Georgia are literally not closed.

[wbrocks67]

Taylor Count KY 88% in. Trump +56 vs. Trump +51 in 2020. Trump +51 in 2016.

Omgfg...please tell me this is a reporting error or something. Kamala can't afford any rural erosion.

She can in KY lol

[Aurelius2]

Taylor, KY is 88% in according to NYT. 77/21 Trump. 75/24 last time. Still a bit of MoE from the last 12%.

Looks like turnout is way down from 2020 if that's true?

Yeah this might be an error.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Taylor Count KY 88% in. Trump +56 vs. Trump +51 in 2020. Trump +51 in 2016.

Omgfg...please tell me this is a reporting error or something. Kamala can't afford any rural erosion.

She can in KY lol

Not in the rest of the Midwest or NC.