Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread
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Author Topic: Official 2024 Presidential Election Results thread  (Read 109740 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2150 on: November 05, 2024, 06:47:25 PM »

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.
Running theme so far
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politicallefty
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« Reply #2151 on: November 05, 2024, 06:47:28 PM »


I think he said there may be some same-day vote in there too.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2152 on: November 05, 2024, 06:47:32 PM »


The only new thing he said beyond the obvious is that the 58% already in include *some* E-Day vote.
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #2153 on: November 05, 2024, 06:47:36 PM »


Also comparing it more to what we might see in suburban Atlanta
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #2154 on: November 05, 2024, 06:47:49 PM »

My heart wants it to be true that EV and Ed is fully depolarized, my head knows they haven't.

The fact that these 80% MAGA counties in Indiana had close to half their voters voting early to begin with says something, I think.
That's a very good point, there are all these hints such as Democrats partisan registration in Clark County and high turnout in Philly as well your point about the huge increase in overall number of early votes but it's frustrating.

Is the remaining Election day vote ultra-maga conspiracy types who still remembers trumps 2020 fear mongering ? Have democrats returned to voting on election day ?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2155 on: November 05, 2024, 06:47:58 PM »

BIG IF TRUE

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100% pro-choice no matter what
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« Reply #2156 on: November 05, 2024, 06:48:00 PM »

Doesn't look like the worst start for Kamala...though obviously there's still a million miles to go and it appears that the rurals are coming in strong. 

Agreed, but the margins are pretty interesting.
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RBH
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« Reply #2157 on: November 05, 2024, 06:48:02 PM »

Bartholomew Co Indiana is 59-39.5 Trump, different from the 62-36 result there in 2020

This would be the home county of Mike Pence, IIRC
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Aurelius2
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« Reply #2158 on: November 05, 2024, 06:48:33 PM »

Georgia: "who do you trust more to handle a crisis?"

Trump 51 / Harris 47

Biden approval: 41 approve, 58 disapprove
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Clarence Boddicker
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« Reply #2159 on: November 05, 2024, 06:48:37 PM »


God, I'd love to hear that about mine. Hasn't gone Dem since Truman.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #2160 on: November 05, 2024, 06:48:38 PM »

The range of possibilities is still huge, it all depends on how election day vote is compared to early vote.  We know that it'll be less polarized that 2020, but how much?  If there's little to no difference then we've got a Harris landslide, but if its nearly as much as 2020- a Trump landslide.

The range will start collapsing quickly once we get election day votes.
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oldtimer
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« Reply #2161 on: November 05, 2024, 06:48:48 PM »

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.
Running theme so far

Trump is down everywhere by around 5% in the first vote dump.
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ExSky
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« Reply #2162 on: November 05, 2024, 06:49:02 PM »

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.
Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #2163 on: November 05, 2024, 06:49:42 PM »

Bartholomew Co Indiana is 59-39.5 Trump, different from the 62-36 result there in 2020

This would be the home county of Mike Pence, IIRC
How much of the vote is in there?
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Banana Republican
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« Reply #2164 on: November 05, 2024, 06:49:51 PM »

https://twitter.com/PollTracker2024/status/1853947056122916920

Quote
Franklin County, KY (51k)

Harris 52% (40% in)
Trump 47%

(Was Trump +1.0 in 2020)
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« Reply #2165 on: November 05, 2024, 06:49:54 PM »

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.
Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

what works works.
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KakyoinMemeHouse
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« Reply #2166 on: November 05, 2024, 06:49:56 PM »

Trump continues to fall behind in most of the counties being called. (compared to his 2020 performance)
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CheapDollarEra?
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« Reply #2167 on: November 05, 2024, 06:50:16 PM »

Are these early Indiana results really all mail EV? (specially all those 50+% results counties)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2168 on: November 05, 2024, 06:50:23 PM »

Georgia SoS says estimated 1.2M ED votes, 5.2M total turnout (a record).

https://x.com/stphnfwlr/status/1853947553479299120
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2169 on: November 05, 2024, 06:50:25 PM »

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.
Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

That was Fetterman's strategy against Oz -- drive down the margin in ruby-red counties from Trump 2020 levels. 
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #2170 on: November 05, 2024, 06:50:26 PM »

Georgia: "who do you trust more to handle a crisis?"

Trump 51 / Harris 47

Biden approval: 41 approve, 58 disapprove

Yeah, if the exit polls for Georgia hold, I think they foretell a very close Trump victory in the state.
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Spectator
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« Reply #2171 on: November 05, 2024, 06:50:33 PM »

But Dixville Notch told me we’d see huge swings
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Zinneke
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« Reply #2172 on: November 05, 2024, 06:50:37 PM »

Georgia: "who do you trust more to handle a crisis?"

Trump 51 / Harris 47

Biden approval: 41 approve, 58 disapprove

Both incredibly and understandably, people seem to have forgotten COVID and Trump's handling of it.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #2173 on: November 05, 2024, 06:50:38 PM »

65% of Bartholomew County just dropped and Trump is slightly down from 2020.
Running theme so far

“Lose by less in areas where you’re losing a lot” is going to be the theme for Harris in the firewall

what works works.
Yeah. You take what you can get as a presidential candidate.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #2174 on: November 05, 2024, 06:51:00 PM »

Taylor Count KY 88% in. Trump +56 vs. Trump +51 in 2020. Trump +51 in 2016.
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