NE Sen Predictions
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2025, 10:57:47 AM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Virginiá, KaiserDave)
  NE Sen Predictions
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: Who wins and by how much?
#1
Osborn by >1 point
 
#2
Osborn by <1 point
 
#3
Fischer by less than 3 points
 
#4
Fischer by 3-5 points
 
#5
Fischer by 5-7 points
 
#6
Fischer by 7-10 points
 
#7
Fischer by 10-12 points
 
#8
Fischer by >12 points
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 126

Author Topic: NE Sen Predictions  (Read 2589 times)
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 20, 2024, 05:48:34 PM »

?
Logged
Compuzled_One
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,685
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2024, 06:00:56 PM »

Fischer by something that rounds to a percent.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2024, 06:17:03 PM »

Fischer+6.
Logged
doc gerritcole
goatofalltrades
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,474


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2024, 02:13:18 AM »

Osborne by less than 1k votes
Logged
Jumped off the American Sinking Ship
weatherboy1102
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2024, 02:58:03 AM »

Fischer by about 5, though I’m gonna go under 5. Osborne is running a great campaign but I just can’t see Nebraska of all places flipping.
Logged
Vertigo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 636
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2024, 03:11:31 AM »

Fischer +8
Logged
Zedonathin2020
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,452
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2024, 01:31:01 PM »

Fischer by anywhere between 6 to 10%
Logged
here2view
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,081
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -1.04

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2024, 03:22:11 PM »

Fischer +10
Logged
Schumer can go f*** himself!
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2024, 03:22:51 PM »

Osborn by 3

No guts, no glory Tongue
Logged
Zenobiyl
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 782
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: 2.43


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2024, 05:46:46 PM »

Fischer by ~3%
Logged
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2024, 08:07:47 PM »

Fischer by about 5, though I’m gonna go under 5. Osborne is running a great campaign but I just can’t see Nebraska of all places flipping.

Agreed. Normally I'd highball it more than that, but Osborn has actually hit 50% in a few polls so I imagine that his margin of defeat will ultimately actually be pretty narrow (I define narrow as sub 5 points).
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,195
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2024, 01:58:11 PM »

All depends on how well Osborn can convince voters he wont caucus with the Dems.

I think his image is perfect for the midwest and Nebraska and I think in a blue wave year he honestly could have won this thing. This year I think he makes it pretty close, but just short (Hard to overcome POTUS turnout in NE) but he makes a legitimate run at it to the point where people ask him to run again.

Fischer by 2-3
Logged
For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,332
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2024, 10:13:09 PM »

Fischer by about 8, which is quite an embarrassing result.
Logged
I love MAGA, don’t send me to the camps
xavier110
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,564
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2024, 11:00:28 PM »

Fischer by more than 12.
Logged
Vertigo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 636
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2024, 11:20:01 PM »

If he loses this, he should run for NE-01 in 2026
Logged
Cowboys for Christ
kongress
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2024, 11:42:10 PM »

If he loses this, he should run for NE-01 in 2026

He lives in NE-02.
Logged
Vertigo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 636
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2024, 12:03:49 AM »

Then NE-02 if Bacon doesn't lose. Although he might struggle to win the primary as his vibes are more rural than suburban.
Logged
Compuzled_One
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,685
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2024, 07:15:44 AM »

Damn, there goes my hope about that.

I do think he should go for the governorship or Senate sometime this decade.
Logged
Rhenna
Gabor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 653
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2024, 03:34:38 PM »

That Fischer +6 poll seemed about right
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,641
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2024, 09:33:45 PM »

Fischer by 11.
Logged
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2024, 06:25:47 PM »


He could still technically run in NE-01, though allegations of being a carpetbagger would be particularly damaging given the reputation he's trying to cultivate for himself.
Logged
Cowboys for Christ
kongress
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2024, 09:35:23 AM »


He could still technically run in NE-01, though allegations of being a carpetbagger would be particularly damaging given the reputation he's trying to cultivate for himself.

...actually, I think he DOES live in NE-01. As I have understood, Osborn lives in Chalco, and that area is at the west edge of the Sarpy cut in NE-01. Last decade's Sarpy cut was much further east.

I did not know (until today) that NE-01 took in almost all of Sarpy County's suburbs; the only Sarpy suburbs that are still in NE-02 still are the far SW suburbs (e.g. Gretna).
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,195
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2024, 02:30:58 PM »

The fact I'm the most optimistic prediction in this thread tells me the sunshine has gotten too bright for me. Maybe more like 5-6 points.

Regardless this is on the assumption he's done an adequate job of convincing Nebraskans he's not a Democrat in an Independents clothing.
Logged
MarkD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2024, 09:57:14 PM »

Fisher by 5-7%.
Logged
KakyoinMemeHouse
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,748
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2024, 10:11:35 PM »

Maybe a narrow Fischer win, but i'm starting to get some pretty positive vibes overall. I definitely don't think a Osborn win is out of the cards.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 11 queries.