LA: Jindal (R) strongly favored to win in the first round of voting

[Storebought]

I guess no one here noticed that, according to this poll, 44% of the black male respondents favored Jindal

Realistically, I think Jindal will get closer to 18% of the black vote, which is just enough to doom the Democrats in the first round anyhow.

Unless someone like Nagin jumps into the race, where's the black vote going to go?

Most likely, blacks simply won't show up at the polls at all. This is especially true for black women, since they don't like any of the choices.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I guess no one here noticed that, according to this poll, 44% of the black male respondents favored Jindal

In my case that's only because this is the first time I spotted this thread.

Quite the most astonishing poll figure I've seen for ages.

[Undisguised Sockpuppet]

How is this surprising? The black vote IS culturally closer to the GOP than the dems..

[Sam Spade]

I guess no one here noticed that, according to this poll, 44% of the black male respondents favored Jindal

In my case that's only because this is the first time I spotted this thread.

Quite the most astonishing poll figure I've seen for ages.

Remember the MOE for these types of subsamples. 

However, as I seem to remember in 2003, Jindal slightly outperformed Bush 2004 numbers in Orleans County (granted, there are other black people in LA) while losing statewide, so he has a historically good record of performance in this area for a Republican.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I guess no one here noticed that, according to this poll, 44% of the black male respondents favored Jindal

Realistically, I think Jindal will get closer to 18% of the black vote, which is just enough to doom the Democrats in the first round anyhow.

Unless someone like Nagin jumps into the race, where's the black vote going to go?

Most likely, blacks simply won't show up at the polls at all. This is especially true for black women, since they don't like any of the choices.

And if most blacks don't show up to the polls (read: blacks that instinctively vote Democrat regardless of candidate), that should push Jindal's showing among the black community higher.