UK Election Night Discussion.
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  UK Election Night Discussion.
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Author Topic: UK Election Night Discussion.  (Read 45865 times)
All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #1175 on: July 04, 2024, 11:28:28 PM »

Not great that there are going to be fifth-column supporters of a genocidal terrorist organization, who have expressly stated their desire to wipe out all Jews, in Commons.

The DUP?

The DUP is probably the least anti-Semitic party in the House of Commons not in ideology but in terms of actual risk to the Jewish people.

I’m not saying that he was referring to the DUP. I was just confused by his “fifth-columnist terrorist supporter” comment. Especially because calling someone a “fifth columnist” is a very nasty thing to say about people, the kind of thing a McCarthyite or indeed, anti-Semite would be expected to say…

But this is an election thread, so that’s all I’ll say on this subject.
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Compuzled_One
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« Reply #1176 on: July 04, 2024, 11:28:44 PM »

Is Reform expected to gain any more seats?
Wild guess, but maybe some rural ones?
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adma
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« Reply #1177 on: July 04, 2024, 11:28:59 PM »

Cue "Cuthbert Cringeworthy in trash bin" picture re NE Somerset & Hanham.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1178 on: July 04, 2024, 11:29:04 PM »

cut to a US Pundit trying to write their "Dems should get their own Keir Starmer" editorial

Ironically, Biden is sort of our Keir Starmer. Just with worse luck.
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Aurelius2
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« Reply #1179 on: July 04, 2024, 11:29:06 PM »
« Edited: July 04, 2024, 11:33:11 PM by Aurelius2 »



That isn't worth much when the Tories blame their loss on Farage and on their government somehow being woke liberals.
That's only half of it, but they're not wrong. The Tories have been so pathetic the last few years that they've managed to piss off both the right and the left, and for damn good reasons in both cases. What a pathetic husk of a party.

Less on the "woke liberals" thing,  which is a bunch of nonsense, but they made such a royal mess of the economy they ended up having to effectively raise taxes, while also deciding around the same time to start letting in eleventy billion migrants for some reason (while simultaneously making a bunch of sound and fury about attempting to send a few of them to Rwanda).
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axiomsofdominion
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« Reply #1180 on: July 04, 2024, 11:29:13 PM »

Last Tory seat down in Wales.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #1181 on: July 04, 2024, 11:29:40 PM »

SDLP crashes down 17% in Foyle, holds on with the majority slashed to 4,166. They're currently down 4.5% NI wide, and their vote is down in all but one of the declared seats.
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Nitos Mederandel
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« Reply #1182 on: July 04, 2024, 11:29:44 PM »

Labour is going to end up winning less than 35% of the vote. At 35.5% right now. That’s absolutely mental.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #1183 on: July 04, 2024, 11:30:07 PM »


She's gone, though on a surprisingly small swing.
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Migrant Crime
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« Reply #1184 on: July 04, 2024, 11:30:54 PM »


She's gone, though on a surprisingly small swing.

Its the Tamils.

This is disgusting.
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Torrain
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« Reply #1185 on: July 04, 2024, 11:30:59 PM »

SNP hold Arbroath with a 700 vote majority over Labour.
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axiomsofdominion
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« Reply #1186 on: July 04, 2024, 11:31:10 PM »

cut to a US Pundit trying to write their "Dems should get their own Keir Starmer" editorial

Ironically, Biden is sort of our Keir Starmer. Just with worse luck.

We can't use the Starmer strategy anyways, we are a two party country. Starmer's plan was to get an abysmal vote share on super low turnout and just get efficient votes.

Odds on that the US voter turnout will be higher than that of the UK. This is a horrible embarrassment for the UK to lose to the US on this, especially when they had 10+ parties that got into Parliament.
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Red Velvet
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« Reply #1187 on: July 04, 2024, 11:31:34 PM »
« Edited: July 04, 2024, 11:35:41 PM by Red Velvet »

Labour vote share just absolutely in the gutter currently. They better hope some high turnout, high margin seats are still out.

Labour vote share is ridiculously low considering this supermajority - evidencing how they only benefited from the fragmentation of the Right, result has not anything to do with a Labour success or anything.

They grew a lot in Scotland, that’s for sure. But considering their national vote share was kept basically as the same as 2019, that means they LOST vote share to other options as well (like Greens and Leftist Independents) in other places that aren’t Scotland.

Their vote share currently stands at 35,7%, a 1,7% small growth only that was certainly mainly driven by Scotland.
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #1188 on: July 04, 2024, 11:31:45 PM »

cut to a US Pundit trying to write their "Dems should get their own Keir Starmer" editorial

Ironically, Biden is sort of our Keir Starmer. Just with worse luck.

If he were even 10 years younger he'd likely be cruising to reelection.
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jfern
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« Reply #1189 on: July 04, 2024, 11:31:47 PM »

cut to a US Pundit trying to write their "Dems should get their own Keir Starmer" editorial

Ironically, Biden is sort of our Keir Starmer. Just with worse luck.

I was thinking about how lucky both of those are. Biden's luck was mainly in 2020, though.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #1190 on: July 04, 2024, 11:31:57 PM »

GREENS GAIN WAVENEY VALLEY
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RBH
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« Reply #1191 on: July 04, 2024, 11:33:11 PM »


the name makes it sound like a very green place (no word on what it's like in reality)
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Torrain
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« Reply #1192 on: July 04, 2024, 11:33:20 PM »

Labour win Dunfermline & Dollar - locking the SNP out of the Central Belt.
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jfern
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« Reply #1193 on: July 04, 2024, 11:33:47 PM »


I was hoping this one would have a crazy swing that we could easily see like their last gain, but it's a new constituency.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #1194 on: July 04, 2024, 11:33:56 PM »

BRADFORD WEST

Labour 34.0% (−42.2)
Independent Muhammed Islam 32.1% (+32.1)
Green 10.7% (+8.9)
Independent Akeel Hussain 10.3% (+10.3)
Reform 8.6% (+5.1)
Liberal Democrat 2.2% (−0.9)
Conservative 1.0% (−14.1)
Independent Umar Ghafoor 1.0% (+1.0)
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Harlow
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« Reply #1195 on: July 04, 2024, 11:34:04 PM »


Incredible. They're likely to win all four of their targeted seats this election since the only one remaining is Brighton Pavilion. They certainly called their shot.
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axiomsofdominion
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« Reply #1196 on: July 04, 2024, 11:34:06 PM »

Nigel Farage, hero of the left wing and the UK, how much did Labour pay him I wonder?
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Paul Biya isn’t going far enough
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« Reply #1197 on: July 04, 2024, 11:34:28 PM »

It’s a shame Labor will get so close to 417.
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Trump v. Wong Kim Ark
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« Reply #1198 on: July 04, 2024, 11:34:43 PM »

Alliance loses North Down to a Unionist Independent. 7k majority.

Well that's a disappointment. DUP held Belfast East too. Damn.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #1199 on: July 04, 2024, 11:34:46 PM »

Curtice says if Reform voters voted Conservative…Tories would have 293 seats. Labour 283. Lib Dems holding the balance of power
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