UK Election Night Discussion.
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  UK Election Night Discussion.
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Author Topic: UK Election Night Discussion.  (Read 45866 times)
Red Velvet
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« Reply #1150 on: July 04, 2024, 11:22:46 PM »

An independent Unionist (Alex Easton - ex DUP) picked up North Down from Alliance.

Yeah, he’s the 5th independent to win today and the 1st who’s not a leftist (3 were Gaza Independents and 1 was Jeremy Corbyn)
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100% pro-choice no matter what
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1151 on: July 04, 2024, 11:22:51 PM »

Kim Leadbeater wins comfortably, Gaza independent only gets 1500 or so votes- did most of the Muslim population get put in the new Dewsbury seat?
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Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins
johnzaharoff
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« Reply #1152 on: July 04, 2024, 11:22:59 PM »

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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #1153 on: July 04, 2024, 11:23:29 PM »

DUP hold Belfast East with a slight swing away from Alliance.
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Skye
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« Reply #1154 on: July 04, 2024, 11:23:36 PM »

The DUP holds Belfast East.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #1155 on: July 04, 2024, 11:23:49 PM »

BBC reporting that Liz Trusses seat is on the knife-edge.
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Whale Psychiatrist
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« Reply #1156 on: July 04, 2024, 11:23:58 PM »

Surely the Tories can’t pick up HALF of the remaining 150 undeclared seats? Seems a heavy lift, even if the later results favor them.

Libdems are maxed out and Reform is spent. It's a two-horse race going forward.
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RBH
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« Reply #1157 on: July 04, 2024, 11:24:09 PM »

cut to a US Pundit trying to write their "Dems should get their own Keir Starmer" editorial
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Torrain
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« Reply #1158 on: July 04, 2024, 11:24:13 PM »

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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #1159 on: July 04, 2024, 11:24:42 PM »

126 seats left

Labour at 362
Conservative at 82

Meaning Tories likely to win more than half of remaining seats
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Migrant Crime
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« Reply #1160 on: July 04, 2024, 11:24:58 PM »

Great night for Unionism!
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axiomsofdominion
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« Reply #1161 on: July 04, 2024, 11:25:02 PM »

Labour vote share just absolutely in the gutter currently. They better hope some high turnout, high margin seats are still out.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1162 on: July 04, 2024, 11:25:09 PM »



That isn't worth much when the Tories blame their loss on Farage and on their government somehow being woke liberals.
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Calgacus
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« Reply #1163 on: July 04, 2024, 11:25:30 PM »

Yeah, it looks like the Lib Dems are likely to overperform at the expense of the Tories

overperform the exit poll?



Yeah
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Compuzled_One
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« Reply #1164 on: July 04, 2024, 11:26:04 PM »



That isn't worth much when the Tories blame their loss on Farage and on their government somehow being woke liberals.
Do you think Nigel' take over?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #1165 on: July 04, 2024, 11:26:11 PM »

BBC reporting that Liz Trusses seat is on the knife-edge.

We've already been waiting most of a percent of a Truss Prime Ministership for them to count that one.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1166 on: July 04, 2024, 11:26:17 PM »

Revised BBC numbers
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#UnbanTender
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« Reply #1167 on: July 04, 2024, 11:26:41 PM »

DUP holds off Alliance's challenge in Belfast East.
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Torrain
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« Reply #1168 on: July 04, 2024, 11:26:48 PM »

SNP win Moray West - majority of 1k.

Their vote declined more sharply than the Tories, heading to Labour.
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Horus
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« Reply #1169 on: July 04, 2024, 11:26:53 PM »

Is Reform expected to gain any more seats?
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #1170 on: July 04, 2024, 11:26:57 PM »

New BBC forcast:

Labour 408
Conservatives 136
LD 66
SNP 8
PC 4
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Harlow
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« Reply #1171 on: July 04, 2024, 11:27:00 PM »

"he looks like john oliver cosplaying as john oliver cosplaying as the monopoly man" - my non-UK politics following friend after I showed them a picture of JRM with a top hat (you know the one).
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1172 on: July 04, 2024, 11:27:07 PM »

Independent (DUP backed Unionist) knocks Alliance out of north down. DUP hold belfast east. Alliance still on one off disgust.

 Sad.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #1173 on: July 04, 2024, 11:27:37 PM »

BBC FORECAST UPDATE:

Labour 408
Conservative 136
Liberal Democrats 66
SNP 8
Reform 4
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Cassius
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« Reply #1174 on: July 04, 2024, 11:28:24 PM »

Labour almost certain to underperform the vote share that they got in their last general election win, 2005. Let’s see if they drop below 35%.
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