6/25 Primaries Discussion (CO, UT, NY)

[Minnesota Mike]

I didn't see this and made a threat for NY only.
Should I end it or this threat should onlt carry UT and SC?

I'd have NY and CO with their own threads. No one cares about the other states.

I do. One thread is best IMO. In fact I would rather the CO special and Gov race be included in this thread to.

[Minnesota Mike]

I didn't see this and made a threat for NY only.
Should I end it or this threat should onlt carry UT and SC?

I'd have NY and CO with their own threads. No one cares about the other states.

I care

SC-03 runoff might be the most interesting race of the night.

[Gracile]

I didn't see this and made a threat for NY only.
Should I end it or this threat should onlt carry UT and SC?

I merged your thread with this one (typically we have a stand-alone election night thread for all regular congressional primaries held on the same day).

[Minnesota Mike]

Biggs seems to be holding her own with ED voters, a change from 2 weeks ago.

[wnwnwn]

I didn't see this and made a threat for NY only.
Should I end it or this threat should onlt carry UT and SC?

I'd have NY and CO with their own threads. No one cares about the other states.

I think each state should haveits own threat, but obviously NY is more prominent.

[Matty]

When will NY results start coming?

[axiomsofdominion]

When will NY results start coming?

Roughly 70 minutes for meaningful results.

[Tekken_Guy]

When will NY results start coming?

Roughly 70 minutes for meaningful results.

You think Colorado comes in first?

[Oryxslayer]

Biggs seems to be holding her own with ED voters, a change from 2 weeks ago.

Yes if anything this time there's a fairly favorable geographic divide transpiring in her favor. The South/Columbia facing counties can never outvote the Upcountry, but they certainly could with 2/3 of the NW counties.


Also incumbent R currently down in SD23. Apparently she's one of the Republicans who led the vote against a absolutist version of abortion restrictions.

[axiomsofdominion]

When will NY results start coming?

Roughly 70 minutes for meaningful results.

You think Colorado comes in first?

Not sure. Possible. Don't they both stop voting at the same time?

[Tekken_Guy]

When will NY results start coming?

Roughly 70 minutes for meaningful results.

You think Colorado comes in first?

Not sure. Possible. Don't they both stop voting at the same time?

Yeah. Polls close in both states at 9.

[Minnesota Mike]

I didn't see this and made a threat for NY only.
Should I end it or this threat should onlt carry UT and SC?

I'd have NY and CO with their own threads. No one cares about the other states.

I think each state should haveits own threat, but obviously NY is more prominent.

Why? We will have an incumbent go down in NY but we already know that, nothing else in NY on the federal level should be close.

[Minnesota Mike]

Oconee County is 88% in and Biggs leads by 16%. She won it by 1% last time.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

I didn't see this and made a threat for NY only.
Should I end it or this threat should onlt carry UT and SC?

I'd have NY and CO with their own threads. No one cares about the other states.

I think each state should haveits own threat, but obviously NY is more prominent.

Why? We will have an incumbent go down in NY but we already know that, nothing else in NY on the federal level should be close.

There are a few other contested Congressional primaries on Long Island, but they're much closer to Schiff vs. Porter than they are Bowman vs. Latimer.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/LindsayOnAir/status/1805736661210534172

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

What is the takeaway if Sheri Biggs beats Trump-backed Mark Burns? You'd expect this district to be one of the most likely in the country to follow Trump's marching orders. Could racism be a factor here?

[axiomsofdominion]

What is the takeaway if Sheri Biggs beats Trump-backed Mark Burns? You'd expect this district to be one of the most likely in the country to follow Trump's marching orders. Could racism be a factor here?

Some evidence that Burns will overtake her due to eday vote, since the other votes are almost all used up. Hard to say. Probably a little racism. Maybe some local politics stuff.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

I admittedly wasn't following Boebert's race that closely but why did Sonnenberg fizzle out? I thought he would be the standard bearer for the normal sane Republicans. How did the ball get dropped so hard to keep Boebert out of Congress?

[GeorgiaModerate]

What is the takeaway if Sheri Biggs beats Trump-backed Mark Burns? You'd expect this district to be one of the most likely in the country to follow Trump's marching orders. Could racism be a factor here?

Some evidence that Burns will overtake her due to eday vote, since the other votes are almost all used up. Hard to say. Probably a little racism. Maybe some local politics stuff.

It could happen, but I think I'd rather be in Biggs's position at this point.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

What is the takeaway if Sheri Biggs beats Trump-backed Mark Burns? You'd expect this district to be one of the most likely in the country to follow Trump's marching orders. Could racism be a factor here?

Same takeaway as GA-10 last cycle, local beats national and carpetbaggers never prosper.

[Minnesota Mike]

What is the takeaway if Sheri Biggs beats Trump-backed Mark Burns? You'd expect this district to be one of the most likely in the country to follow Trump's marching orders. Could racism be a factor here?

Racism and the fact batsh**t crazy will only get you so far. Mark Burns is a horrible horrible person and the fact he came this close scares me.

[Proud Independent]

I admittedly wasn't following Boebert's race that closely but why did Sonnenberg fizzle out? I thought he would be the standard bearer for the normal sane Republicans. How did the ball get dropped so hard to keep Boebert out of Congress?

She had the most COH meaning more advertising+Trump/Johnsons endorsement. Really that simple.

[Oryxslayer]

What is the takeaway if Sheri Biggs beats Trump-backed Mark Burns? You'd expect this district to be one of the most likely in the country to follow Trump's marching orders. Could racism be a factor here?

Some evidence that Burns will overtake her due to eday vote, since the other votes are almost all used up. Hard to say. Probably a little racism. Maybe some local politics stuff.

She's been winning the EDay vote presently. Primary consolidation has seemingly made this a geographic contest rather than a vote-type contest.

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

Never been a huge Mannion fan but hoping for him over Klee Hood.

Also delusionally hoping for Tenney to finally lose, but another embarrassing underperformance would also be acceptable.

[Tekken_Guy]

I admittedly wasn't following Boebert's race that closely but why did Sonnenberg fizzle out? I thought he would be the standard bearer for the normal sane Republicans. How did the ball get dropped so hard to keep Boebert out of Congress?

She had the most COH meaning more advertising+Trump/Johnsons endorsement. Really that simple.

Wasn’t this the same thing with Cawthorn? He also had Trump’s support and raised more than Edwards.