6/18 Congressional Primaries Discussion: VA, OK, GA

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

VA 7 R: Anderson

Uncalled:

VA 10 D
OK Corporation Commissioner R

[Oryxslayer]

If McGuire (likely) stays the course, it will be entirely down to the classic tale of regional loyalties. In such a low turnout contest the comparatively higher voter turnout in the Richmond counties that he has repped for a while relative to the rest.

[The Mikado]

Time for the first incumbent defeat of the cycle in Bob Bad, then probably another next week in Bowman.

I still don't really get why Bob Good is in so much danger...don't Republican primary electorates tend to love the furthest right insane MAGA candidate possible? I know he was an issue for McCarthy and during the election to replace him, but some Republicans who were *too* loyal to him have faced close calls this cycle.

Trump is punishing him for endorsing Ron DeSantis over him. Ron DeSantis was more right wing than Trump, but MAGA is a more powerful force in the GOP than the right wing is. Trump is trying to make an example out of Good that there should be no opposition to him within the GOP.

[Horus]

Good seems to be catching up, will be hilarious if he ends up winning. Seems like the type to hold a grudge too, I would certainly welcome the infighting.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Yeah, NYTimes saying >95% was in when in reality a quarter of the vote was still out was a big mistake. McGuire is only up by a point now.

[wnwnwn]

Between Subramanyam and Helmer, who is the most progressive?

[Nyvin]

McGuire's lead down to 550 votes and there's still quite a bit left everywhere, including some in Charlottesville/Albemarle.  

Edit - Good took the lead!  Lynchburg just brought him ahead

[The Mikado]

Good up by 200 votes. Very much anyone's game.

[Horus]

Between Subramanyam and Helmer, who is the most progressive?

Doesn't seem to be much of a difference but Helmer had a late breaking SA scandal. Subramanyam looks solid, mostly focusing on corruption and healthcare.

More importantly, the carpetbagging, super pro Israel Eileen Filler-Corn went down in flames.

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

VA 10 D: Subramanyam
OK Corporation Commissioner R: Bingman

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

McGuire's lead down to 550 votes and there's still quite a bit left everywhere, including some in Charlottesville/Albemarle.  

Edit - Good took the lead!  Lynchburg just brought him ahead

I bet it was Liberty University. They must love how much Good hates gays.

[wnwnwn]

Between Subramanyam and Helmer, who is the most progressive?

Doesn't seem to be much of a difference but Helmer has some nasty scandals. Subramanyam looks solid, mostly focusing on corruption and healthcare.

More importantly, the carpetbagging, super pro Israel Eileen Filler-Corn went down in flames.

Is he the local version of Marty Dolan or what?

[Proud Independent]

If Good survives this, hopefully he'd do some introspection and look as to why he was even vulnerable to a primary.


HINT- It wasn't just the Trump endorsement.

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Call in VA-5 R for McGuire is retracted

[Aurelius2]

Hope McGuire pulls this out over Bob Bad.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Compared to other states, NYTimes seems to always have a really hard time estimating what percent of the vote is remaining in Virginia. It's making it very difficult to tell if/where McGuire can make up the current gap of 100 votes.

...and as I was typing this, McGuire now leads by 28 votes. This one is going to be a nailbiter. I wonder if anyone will try to claim voter fraud?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

At this point this is closer than Maryland was in the 1904 election.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Got to laugh at online desantis supporters lamenting the fact Good could lose his primary..

DeSantis didn't even bother to endorse him, despite Good being one of his early supporters.

[Spectator]

Got to laugh at online desantis supporters lamenting the fact Good could lose his primary..

DeSantis didn't even bother to endorse him, despite Good being one of his early supporters.

Honestly that’s pretty sh**tty of DeSantis, and I could not care less about the result of this primary.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1803247672431718812

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1803244501730759137

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1803247672431718812

Those include Dems - especially in Albemarle - so how meaningful they are is unknown. 

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1803244501730759137

Him and Miles are just about the only people on "Election Twitter" worth listening to.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Got to laugh at online desantis supporters lamenting the fact Good could lose his primary..

DeSantis didn't even bother to endorse him, despite Good being one of his early supporters.

Honestly that’s pretty sh**tty of DeSantis, and I could not care less about the result of this primary.

Evidently shows his lack of backbone..

Although, I'm not sure how Good was expecting his slew of antagonising people (first Riggleman, then McCarthy, finally Trump) wasn't eventually going to backfire.

[Tekken_Guy]

If Bob Good goes down that's certainly going to embolden efforts to take out the likes of MTG, Boebert and Gaetz in future primaries. MTG and Gaetz seem to have gotten off easy this year and the establishment really fumbled the ball with Boebert this cycle.