French National Assembly Elections, 06/30-07/07

[Mike88]

Mélenchon says that NFP candidates will withdraw if they poll third but qualify to the 2nd round, in order to defeat the RN.

[wbrocks67]

Headlines are suggesting RN took a "strong lead" in the first round - do they consider 34-29 a very strong lead??

[Sestak]

Mélenchon says that NFP candidates will withdraw if they poll third but qualify to the 2nd round, in order to defeat the RN.

This is the logical move; NFP doesn't really have any chance at winning any triangulaires in which they are third after this round anyway.

[Oryxslayer]

Mikaele Seo (ENS) reelected directly in Wallis and Futuna.

Incumbent MoDem Frantz Gumbs (41%) goes to runoff with Alexandra Questel (20%) (DVD) in Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin.

Estelle Youssouffa (DVD & RN leanings) reelected direcly in Mayotte 1.

Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon incumbent Stéphane Lenormand (DVD) goes to runoff with Frédéric Beaumont (Misc Left).

[Storr]

"Republicans do not give voting instructions for the second round

"We are fighting the excesses of a far left dominated by La France Insoumise, which wants to demolish our institutions, deconstruct our civilization, and which represents an absolute danger for our country." the Les Républicains party said in a statement. "The National Rally is not the solution for France either, because its demagogic program will lead to chaos and the impoverishment of our country." the text added, affirming that it would let "the French express themselves in conscience.""

https://www.lemonde.fr/politique/live/2024/06/30/en-direct-resultats-legislatives-2024-paroles-d-electeurs-c-est-tellement-important-cette-fois_6245488_823448.html?#id-1643757

[sudenmorsian]

Marcon endorsing the extremist antisemitic far left it seems

What an uncharitable take

[Lumine]

Very intrigued with that percentage for LR. Does that mean Ciotti's move flopped and the anti-Ciotti committee is at least saving the furniture or averting total disaster?

[OSR stands with Israel]

Macron should stay out of the 2nd round . The RN is the lesser evil compared to the left

[Antonio the Sixth]

Very intrigued with that percentage for LR. Does that mean Ciotti's move flopped and the anti-Ciotti committee is at least saving the furniture or averting total disaster?

That might be the case, but it will really depend on constituency by constituency results. 10% is not nearly enough to be qualified in most places, and it's still below the already pathetic 13% last time, so some losses are inevitable. But with strong local incumbents there's always a chance of quality in enough places to save most of the group. They had 60 incumbent, so if they were able to save 40-50 it'd be a pretty good night.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Mélenchon says that NFP candidates will withdraw if they poll third but qualify to the 2nd round, in order to defeat the RN.

This is the logical move; NFP doesn't really have any chance at winning any triangulaires in which they are third after this round anyway.

And it drives home the core message and point of a Popular Front.

[jaichind]

Mélenchon says that NFP candidates will withdraw if they poll third but qualify to the 2nd round, in order to defeat the RN.

I think that is on the premise that NFP will be at least 2nd in most seats.  He is doing this more to pressure ENS to do the same when they are in 3rd place.

[Mike88]

59.97% counted:

38.2% RN+allies, 6 elected
24.4% NFP+allies, 1
19.5% Ensemble+allies, 1
11.4% Republicains+allies, 2

[Logical]

With 99% of the vote counted Flanby ahead in a three way contest. He should be favored in the runoff.

NFP 37.65% (Flanby)
RN 30.87%
LR 28.64% (incumbent)
------------------------------------
LO 1.98%
REC 0.86%

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Headlines are suggesting RN took a "strong lead" in the first round - do they consider 34-29 a very strong lead??

It isn't a massive lead, but it is a clear lead, especially when you're talking of electoral blocs in the 30s and 20s.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Macron should stay out of the 2nd round . The RN is the lesser evil compared to the left

Push comes to shove you’d back fascist before the left

[RGM2609]

59.97% counted:

38.2% RN+allies, 5 elected
24.4% NFP+allies, 1
19.5% Ensemble+allies, 1
11.4% Republicains+allies, 2

Sorry, where can I see these results?

[jaichind]

Ciotti's outfit at 4% of the vote is pretty good.

[lfromnj]

Even if Macrons party dropped  out for LFI the vast majority of their voters would prefer RN anyway .

[Mike88]

59.97% counted:

38.2% RN+allies, 5 elected
24.4% NFP+allies, 1
19.5% Ensemble+allies, 1
11.4% Republicains+allies, 2

Sorry, where can I see these results?

Ministry of Interior results page.

[jaichind]

Looks like Reconquête has been completely squeezed. 

[Hindsight was 2020]

Headlines are suggesting RN took a "strong lead" in the first round - do they consider 34-29 a very strong lead??

It isn't a massive lead, but it is a clear lead, especially when you're talking of electoral blocs in the 30s and 20s.

Good thing that it looks like Macron will ally with the left to block them from taking over

[RGM2609]

59.97% counted:

38.2% RN+allies, 5 elected
24.4% NFP+allies, 1
19.5% Ensemble+allies, 1
11.4% Republicains+allies, 2

Sorry, where can I see these results?

Ministry of Interior results page.

Many thanks!

[Storr]

"Edouard Philippe calls on the Horizons candidates who came third to withdraw to avoid the election of RN or LFI deputies"

https://www.lemonde.fr/politique/live/2024/06/30/en-direct-resultats-legislatives-2024-paroles-d-electeurs-c-est-tellement-important-cette-fois_6245488_823448.html?#id-1644128

[axiomsofdominion]

I'm pretty sour on Melenchon ever since he said he'd abandon the French to become an immigrant party. But what he doesn't understand is that immigrants are even more socially conservative than natives and more prone to fascism, even if they support welfare benefits.

[Almost Anyone But Biden Or Trump (ABBoT but not Greg Abbott)]

Well, hopefully Macron's plan all along was in fact actually for RN to win and for them to fail in government and become unpopular as a result.

And hopefully he is enough of a super-genius to ensure that actually happens, rather than this backfiring disastrously.