Sarah Palin runs in 2012
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June 16, 2024, 03:09:01 PM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  Sarah Palin runs in 2012
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Samof94
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« on: May 24, 2024, 01:50:23 PM »

How well does she do if she runs in the primary???
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2024, 06:56:29 PM »

This would prevent the rotating anti-Romney candidates from rising in the polls. Bachmann, Perry, and Cain would do as well as Lindsey Graham did in 2016.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2024, 07:48:28 PM »
« Edited: May 25, 2024, 10:48:07 AM by Agonized-Statism »

She's Romney's primary arch nemesis throughout the primaries, like darklordoftech pointed out, but ultimately falls short. It wouldn't be for nought, however, because she would be in a great position to force Romney to be more combative- IMO, an explicitly Tea Party Romney carries Florida, outperforming ours.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #3 on: May 26, 2024, 03:33:51 PM »



If she won the nomination, she'd carry all the Romney states except NC.

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holtridge
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« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2024, 09:06:18 PM »



If she won the nomination, she'd carry all the Romney states except NC.


You really think Palin would have gotten 190 electoral votes?
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2024, 09:12:54 PM »



If she won the nomination, she'd carry all the Romney states except NC.


You really think Palin would have gotten 190 electoral votes?

That's her ceiling.  The only states I might consider as soft are AZ and MAYBE IN or  MO.  That would have put her at 159 EV, but it would have required an extraordinary amount of luck.

Palin was much more well-regarded by the GOP base in 2012 than she is now.  Today, she's viewed as a quitter and a loser, but that wasn't the case in 2012.
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holtridge
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« Reply #6 on: June 11, 2024, 04:08:59 PM »



If she won the nomination, she'd carry all the Romney states except NC.


You really think Palin would have gotten 190 electoral votes?

That's her ceiling.  The only states I might consider as soft are AZ and MAYBE IN or  MO.  That would have put her at 159 EV, but it would have required an extraordinary amount of luck.

Palin was much more well-regarded by the GOP base in 2012 than she is now.  Today, she's viewed as a quitter and a loser, but that wasn't the case in 2012.
Things would have really had to fallen in place for her to win Georgia and Missouri.
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