AZ: Noble Predictive Insights: Trump +3 (H2H), +7 (field)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 15, 2024, 01:53:23 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  AZ: Noble Predictive Insights: Trump +3 (H2H), +7 (field)
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: AZ: Noble Predictive Insights: Trump +3 (H2H), +7 (field)  (Read 325 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 22, 2024, 10:10:09 AM »

New Poll: Arizona President by Noble Predictive Insights on 2024-05-14

Summary: D: 36%, R: 43%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2024, 10:14:16 AM »

RFK is on the ballot in AZ so it's +3
Logged
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,047


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2024, 11:03:04 AM »

I was actually polled for this one, but I don't recall them asking me about the Presidential race.
Logged
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,641
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2024, 11:06:21 AM »

What was the last poll?
Logged
xavier110
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,618
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2024, 11:42:02 AM »

Noble was very all over the place until landing in a safe spot in their final 2022 poll (they still had Lake winning but they had it close, either by 1 or 2 points, with her under 50 percent).

I maintain that the realistic range of possible outcomes here is Biden +1.5/2 (basically Kelly 2020) to Trump+3 (his 2016 performance). There will not be any result outside this range, and every election result since 2016 suggests the MAGA folks, including Trump, will underperform their polls here.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 10 queries.