Redfield & Wilton: Biden +1

[wbrocks67]

(Shift since 5/1):

Biden 43% (+2)
Trump 42% (-1)
Kennedy 5% (-2)

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-13-may-2024/

Bidens first lead here since June 2023

[wbrocks67]

At this point, the only thing that can be said is that nationally it's basically a tied/toss-up at this point

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Finally they have Biden ahead

[GAinDC]

I found this interesting:

The latest research by Redfield & Wilton Strategies finds that 44% of Americans disapprove (-2) and 38% approve (+2) of President Joe Biden’s overall job performance as President. His net approval rating (-6%) is four points up from our previous poll conducted on 1 May, and is the joint-highest rating President Biden has held in our US tracker since 17 May last year. 

This is the lowest disapproval number I've seen from any polling outfit. I wonder why Redfield and Wilton are finding so many undecideds.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

So Biden trails in all swing states, some by double digits, yet is up 1 nationally?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's getting close to voting and voters have buyers remorse on both Biden and Trump but Trump has J6 as CRT room drama takes it's news story each and everyday

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's getting close to voting and voters have buyers remorse on both Biden and Trump but Trump has J6 as CRT room drama takes it's news story each and everyday

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

So Biden trails in all swing states, some by double digits, yet is up 1 nationally?

He's also apparently lost tons of ground in population centers including New York, New Jersey, California, Florida, and Washington. Where is moving left to balance out as a +1 national result? I guess the entire rural mountain west must've moved 10 points left or something.

That or the polling isn't consistent.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They say we should brace for a Trump victory in Nov lol these are polls not votes

[MillennialModerate]

They say we should brace for a Trump victory in Nov lol these are polls not votes

So then why ever bother polling or even responding to the outcomes of polls if the minute you don’t like them you brush them off as “it’s only polling”

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

So Biden trails in all swing states, some by double digits, yet is up 1 nationally?

He's also apparently lost tons of ground in population centers including New York, New Jersey, California, Florida, and Washington. Where is moving left to result in a +1 national result? I guess the entire rural mountain west must've moved 10 points left or something.

That or the polling isn't consistent.

Dread it, run from it, Blutah, Idablue, and Blutana arrive all the same.

[President Johnson]

So Biden trails in all swing states, some by double digits, yet is up 1 nationally?

Yeah, that's what I said before. This does especially not line up by assuming New York and Florida somewhat swing right while Texas and California barely move. From where else would Biden's votes come from?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The PVI won't be 1 because the GCB have Ds ahead by 3 sir Muhammad is right Biden path is Hillary path because outside the rust belt Biden is gonna win battleground states by 4 and I do predict the rust belt to vote more that they did last time for Biden

NV, VA, CO, NM, PA, MI, WI will vote 275 for Biden clinching it

[Tekken_Guy]

If Biden’s leading in Redfield & Wilton of all polls I can’t see any argument that Trump’s the favorite.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

So Biden trails in all swing states, some by double digits, yet is up 1 nationally?

Trump isn't up by double digits in every state, but all the swing states voted right of the country in 2020 so its possible. In fact that's where I have the race right now with a Biden+1-2 PV.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The GCB is D 4 Biden will win by the same amount as last time

[Progressive Pessimist]

Wow! Hopefully this is the start of a new positive trend.

[iceman]

mentality on this forum: if Biden leads by 1 its a legit poll, If Trump leads by 1 or 2, its bogus and the sample is questionable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

mentality on this forum: if Biden leads by 1 its a legit poll, If Trump leads by 1 or 2, its bogus and the sample is questionable.

No we know that Trump needs blue not red states to win that's the flaw in your argument and NV will never vote R 12

[Progressive Pessimist]

mentality on this forum: if Biden leads by 1 its a legit poll, If Trump leads by 1 or 2, its bogus and the sample is questionable.

Given the partisan nature of this poll-or at least how they've tracked Trump-yes, it should be considered in a curve. And many of us are skeptical that Trump could win the popular vote or do as well as he is in certain polls.

[emailking]

Junior at 5 LMAO

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Junior at 5 LMAO

He’ll get less than that.

[emailking]

I hope so.