2024 Gerrymandering Game

[ProgressiveModerate]

There will be too challenges; to try and draw a California gerrymander that maximizes Trump 2024 seats and a Texas gerrymander that maximizes Biden 2024 seats. Whoever draws the most seats for each wins; if there's a tie, the tiebreaker will be the closest Trump seat for Cali and Biden seat for Texas.

There aren't that many rules; districts must be within +/-1000 in deviation, districts must be contiguous (touch point continuity doesn't count), but don't worry about road continuity, precincts may be split however precinct splitting may make knowing the true exact result. All precincts (including 0 pop ones) must be assigned to a district. The maps don't have to be compact or VRA compliant - go wild!

We'll be drawing these as if they were congressional maps - 52 and 38 seats respectively using 2020 pop. Use the adjusted pop numbers in California.

Submit maps here using DRA anytime until November 5. You can revise your submissions but only get one submission per state; your most recent links on this thread will be assumed to be final submissions for this competition. We will use 2024 election data as calculated by DRA.

Go Wild!

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I tried doing this once with California when I was bored, I think I pulled off 13 Trump seats.

[wnwnwn]

There will be too challenges; to try and draw a California gerrymander that maximizes Trump 2024 seats and a Texas gerrymander that maximizes Biden 2024 seats. Whoever draws the most seats for each wins; if there's a tie, the tiebreaker will be the closest Trump seat for Cali and Biden seat for Texas.

There aren't that many rules; districts must be within +/-1000 in deviation, districts must be contiguous (touch point continuity doesn't count), but don't worry about road continuity, precincts may be split however precinct splitting may make knowing the true exact result. All precincts (including 0 pop ones) must be assigned to a district. The maps don't have to be compact or VRA compliant - go wild!

We'll be drawing these as if they were congressional maps - 52 and 38 seats respectively using 2020 pop. Use the adjusted pop numbers in California.

Submit maps here using DRA anytime until November 5. You can revise your submissions but only get one submission per state; your most recent links on this thread will be assumed to be final submissions for this competition. We will use 2024 election data as calculated by DRA.

Go Wild!

What would be the margin minimuns?
0,1%? 1%? 10%?

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

do we need to follow the VRA in terms of majority minority districts?

[Schiff for Senate]

There will be too challenges; to try and draw a California gerrymander that maximizes Trump 2024 seats and a Texas gerrymander that maximizes Biden 2024 seats. Whoever draws the most seats for each wins; if there's a tie, the tiebreaker will be the closest Trump seat for Cali and Biden seat for Texas.

There aren't that many rules; districts must be within +/-1000 in deviation, districts must be contiguous (touch point continuity doesn't count), but don't worry about road continuity, precincts may be split however precinct splitting may make knowing the true exact result. All precincts (including 0 pop ones) must be assigned to a district. The maps don't have to be compact or VRA compliant - go wild!

We'll be drawing these as if they were congressional maps - 52 and 38 seats respectively using 2020 pop. Use the adjusted pop numbers in California.

Submit maps here using DRA anytime until November 5. You can revise your submissions but only get one submission per state; your most recent links on this thread will be assumed to be final submissions for this competition. We will use 2024 election data as calculated by DRA.

Go Wild!

What would be the margin minimuns?
0,1%? 1%? 10%?

I think only outcome matters; i.e., a one-vote plurality is enough.

[ProgressiveModerate]

There will be too challenges; to try and draw a California gerrymander that maximizes Trump 2024 seats and a Texas gerrymander that maximizes Biden 2024 seats. Whoever draws the most seats for each wins; if there's a tie, the tiebreaker will be the closest Trump seat for Cali and Biden seat for Texas.

There aren't that many rules; districts must be within +/-1000 in deviation, districts must be contiguous (touch point continuity doesn't count), but don't worry about road continuity, precincts may be split however precinct splitting may make knowing the true exact result. All precincts (including 0 pop ones) must be assigned to a district. The maps don't have to be compact or VRA compliant - go wild!

We'll be drawing these as if they were congressional maps - 52 and 38 seats respectively using 2020 pop. Use the adjusted pop numbers in California.

Submit maps here using DRA anytime until November 5. You can revise your submissions but only get one submission per state; your most recent links on this thread will be assumed to be final submissions for this competition. We will use 2024 election data as calculated by DRA.

Go Wild!

What would be the margin minimuns?
0,1%? 1%? 10%?

I think only outcome matters; i.e., a one-vote plurality is enough.

Yep. Winning by 1 vote is fine

Very unlikely to happen but ties won’t count as a Trump or Biden won seat.

[ProgressiveModerate]

do we need to follow the VRA in terms of majority minority districts?

Nope - it’s in the rules above. Just continuity and equal population

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This looks fun.

[wnwnwn]

Max Biden Texas

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e5fa63e5-6559-4242-be9d-0285b96039d1

Only 4 Trump districts.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Max Biden Texas

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e5fa63e5-6559-4242-be9d-0285b96039d1

Only 4 Trump districts.

Impressive - wonder if they’ll all hold for 2024!

[Schiff for Senate]

Max Biden Texas

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e5fa63e5-6559-4242-be9d-0285b96039d1

Only 4 Trump districts.

Impressive - wonder if they’ll all hold for 2024!

Definitely not, lmao. There are two pure RGV seats in there that voted Biden+0.1 and Biden+0.2.

[patzer]

Max Biden Texas

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e5fa63e5-6559-4242-be9d-0285b96039d1

Only 4 Trump districts.

Impressive - wonder if they’ll all hold for 2024!

Definitely not, lmao. There are two pure RGV seats in there that voted Biden+0.1 and Biden+0.2.

Yeah, I would personally be inclined to not go below Biden+10 in the RGV, but maybe accept some Trump+3 seats in left trending bits of DFW.

[kwabbit]

Max Biden Texas

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e5fa63e5-6559-4242-be9d-0285b96039d1

Only 4 Trump districts.

Impressive - wonder if they’ll all hold for 2024!

Definitely not, lmao. There are two pure RGV seats in there that voted Biden+0.1 and Biden+0.2.

The RGV seats could also swing to Biden. I wouldn't be that surprised if a seat like that ends up anywhere between Biden +10 and Trump +20.

[wnwnwn]

Trump max California

https://davesredistricting.org/join/95e0f0c6-4318-4c35-b228-64f5da9e71d3

18 Trump seats

[wnwnwn]

Ah, its a game for 2024? Well, let´s hope most of my seats stay.

[Schiff for Senate]

Someone can probably beat me, but in my defense, I tried not to make it too horribly un-compact: https://davesredistricting.org/join/2cbc98b5-d882-4484-adde-68a10a6d0b5d

The hope here is that only the 7 solid red seats (1, 2, 4, 14, 29, 30, 32) vote for Trump this year.

Out of the remaining 31 that I expect to go Democratic this year, 26 voted for Biden - the other 5 broke for Trump by a few points but have been deliberately drawn in such a way that they are zooming leftwards and will most likely flip to Biden this year:

3 (Denton County): Trump+13.2 in 2016, Trump+0.3 in 2020
5 (Collin County): Trump+17.8 in 2016, Trump+5.6 in 2020
6 (Collin, Rockwall, Dallas): Trump+12.5 in 2016, Trump+2.9 in 2020
19 (Bell, Burleson, Milam, Lee, Brazos, Travis): Trump+12.9 in 2016, Trump+3.7 in 2020
33 (Harris, Montgomery): Trump+6.9 in 2016, Trump+1.2 in 2020