Primaries to watch Tuesday (5/14/24)- Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia

[DrScholl]

Hogan's numbers are weak against a very weak opponent. He is posting tepid numbers in most of the conservative counties.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Also, the Nebraska GOP radical's decision to endorse the challenger to all of their congressional incumbents seems to be doing damage. But without the more Trump-Friendly E-Day, we can't exactly say by how much.

What was the reason for this?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

NC:

Lt Gov R: Weatherman
NC-13 R: Knott

WV:

Sen R: Justice
AG R: McCuskey
Agriculture R: Leonhardt
Sec State R: Warner
WV-1 R: Miller
WV-2 R: Moore

Uncalled:
NC Auditor R
WV Sen D
WV Gov R
WV AG D
WV Auditor R
WV-1 D
MD
NE

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1790553066422317225?t=-Tv617Px65ZYppOznUEFXQ&...

Like yeah, it'll take a while,  but the winner should be obvious.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Yeah, I guess Trone technically still has path to winning at the moment, but it’s disappearing quite rapidly.

[wbrocks67]

Hogan's numbers are weak against a very weak opponent. He is posting tepid numbers in most of the conservative counties.

Was just gonna say, him only getting 65% of the primary against a bunch of nobodies is pretty bad for him, given his like 75% approval rating statewide lol

[Oryxslayer]

Also, the Nebraska GOP radical's decision to endorse the challenger to all of their congressional incumbents seems to be doing damage. But without the more Trump-Friendly E-Day, we can't exactly say by how much.

What was the reason for this?

Idk, I'm just repeating what was said in the intro on page 1. I guess yet another example of conventions being more "stupid crazy" than voters.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

And there we have it. David beats Goliath.

https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1790555221065626015?s=46

[Fancyarcher]

Hogan's numbers are weak against a very weak opponent. He is posting tepid numbers in most of the conservative counties.

Was just gonna say, him only getting 65% of the primary against a bunch of nobodies is pretty bad for him, given his like 75% approval rating statewide lol

I knew Justice would do better than him. Hogan has no enthusiasm among the GOP base. He's destined to be another Bredesen and Bullock, and thank god for that.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

NE-SEN R: Fischer
NE- Special Sen R: Ricketts
NE-1 R: Flood
NE-2 R: Bacon
NE-3 R: Smith

Uncalled:

NE-3 D
NC Auditor R
WV Sen D
WV Gov R
WV AG D
WV Auditor R
WV-1 D
MD

[Fancyarcher]

I didn't have an allegiance with either candidate, but I'm so glad we're not sending another white billionaire to the senate.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

2 new black women in the Senate

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

MD-Sen R: Hogan
MD-Sen D: Alsobrooks
MD-1 D: Miller
MD-1 R: Harris
MD-2 D: Olszewski
MD-2 R: Klacik
MD-4 D: Ivey
MD-5 D: Hoyer
MD-6 D: Delaney
MD-6 R: Parrot
MD-7 D: Mfume
MD-7 R: Collier
MD-8 D: Raskin
MD-8 R: Riley

Uncalled:

NE-3 D
NC Auditor R
WV Sen D
WV Gov R
WV AG D
WV Auditor R
WV-1 D
MD-3 D
MD-3 R

[Minnesota Mike]

Well I called that one wrong. Congratulations Senator Elect Alsobrooks.

[Fancyarcher]

Honestly, this just makes me question if polls truly are undercutting or doing poorly with getting the urban black vote correctly.

[wbrocks67]

Does Hogan dip below 60% with election day complete? I guess he would stay afloat though with the late VBM, but it looks kind of dicey.

[ProgressiveModerate]

So glad Alsobrooks seems to be winning. I'm glad being rich can't buy you a Senate seat and Alsobrooks seems like a genuinely good person. This and Kim in NJ will be huge wins for the Senate.

[wbrocks67]

So glad Alsobrooks seems to be winning. I'm glad being rich can't buy you a Senate seat and Alsobrooks seems like a genuinely good person. This and Kim in NJ will be huge wins for the Senate.

The new class of Dems is really refreshing - Rochester, Kim, Alsobrooks, etc

[Fancyarcher]

Does Hogan dip below 60% with election day complete? I guess he would stay afloat though with the late VBM, but it looks kind of dicey.

A pitiful performance. Likely D my ass.

[Oryxslayer]

The margin with Eday voters has only gone up from 57-38 to 59-36 Alsobrooks, just in case you need any further proof this won't be close.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

So glad Alsobrooks seems to be winning. I'm glad being rich can't buy you a Senate seat and Alsobrooks seems like a genuinely good person. This and Kim in NJ will be huge wins for the Senate.

My understanding is that Alsobrooks and Trone are essentially identical on policy (and Alsobrooks may even be slightly more pro-Israel than Trone?).

[wbrocks67]

Although we didn't have much late polling, it's clear Alsobrooks got late momentum and seems to be likely to outperform Emerson's final poll.

It's almost as if early polls are not super indicative sometimes!!!

[Aurelius2]

Logan, Mingo, y'all okay up there?

[Minnesota Mike]

MD-06:  Looks like it's two time loser Neil Parrott vs April Delaney. I have to think Democrats like that matchup.

[ProgressiveModerate]

So glad Alsobrooks seems to be winning. I'm glad being rich can't buy you a Senate seat and Alsobrooks seems like a genuinely good person. This and Kim in NJ will be huge wins for the Senate.

My understanding is that Alsobrooks and Trone are essentially identical on policy (and Alsobrooks may even be slightly more pro-Israel than Trone?).

Yeah from a policy perspective Trone was fine, I just like how this primary proved you can;t just buy a Senate seat because you're rich.