NV-SEN: NYT/Siena Rosen +2

[Podgy the Bear]

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/democrats-senate-battleground-poll.html

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

Incumbent Senator at 40% is bad, but NV polls generally overstate the GOP


If the Trump number is accurate I can't see Rosen holding on, but i'm skeptical it is. Pure tossup. 

[Sir Mohamed]

Incumbent Senator at 40% is bad, but NV polls generally overstate the GOP


If the Trump number is accurate I can't see Rosen holding on, but i'm skeptical it is. Pure tossup. 

Yup, though the results could be similar to 2022 senate and governor. Rosen is CCM and Biden is Sisolak. Either way I expect neither winner at the presidential and senate level to reach 50%.

[wbrocks67]

Incumbent Senator at 40% is bad, but NV polls generally overstate the GOP


If the Trump number is accurate I can't see Rosen holding on, but i'm skeptical it is. Pure tossup. 

Yup, though the results could be similar to 2022 senate and governor. Rosen is CCM and Biden is Sisolak. Either way I expect neither winner at the presidential and senate level to reach 50%.

I also feel like we got a lot of polls in 2022 of the same, where Cortez Masto was only at 40-45%

[Spectator]

This is the one race where I don’t understand the Trump-Rosen voters. The other states kind of make sense. Rosen is a freshman without much of a profile and is very generic running against Brown, who is probably the least problematic of the Republican Senate candidates in the major states aside from Rogers.

[wbrocks67]

This is the one race where I don’t understand the Trump-Rosen voters. The other states kind of make sense. Rosen is a freshman without much of a profile and is very generic running against Brown, who is probably the least problematic of the Republican Senate candidates in the major states aside from Rogers.

It's almost as if they're probably not real Trump voters

[Progressive Pessimist]

Rosen+2 seems within the realm of possibility.

Trump's margin here absolutely is not.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

This is the one race where I don’t understand the Trump-Rosen voters. The other states kind of make sense. Rosen is a freshman without much of a profile and is very generic running against Brown, who is probably the least problematic of the Republican Senate candidates in the major states aside from Rogers.

Because Biden is extremely unpopular

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

This is the one race where I don’t understand the Trump-Rosen voters. The other states kind of make sense. Rosen is a freshman without much of a profile and is very generic running against Brown, who is probably the least problematic of the Republican Senate candidates in the major states aside from Rogers.

Because Biden is extremely unpopular

It is more likely name recognition on GOP Senate candidates. I expect the cross over vote to decline

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the one race where I don’t understand the Trump-Rosen voters. The other states kind of make sense. Rosen is a freshman without much of a profile and is very generic running against Brown, who is probably the least problematic of the Republican Senate candidates in the major states aside from Rogers.

Because Biden is extremely unpopular
[/quote

We haven't voted yet we are gonna see Biden polls coverage with the S numbers just wait