May Primaries Coverage Thread

[wbrocks67]

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.

[SnowLabrador]

Looks like Trump's starting to consolidate his base - Haley is only at 5% per NYT.

[wbrocks67]

Looks like Trump's starting to consolidate his base - Haley is only at 5% per NYT.

Because there's a bunch of other people on this ballot. They add up to 13% right now.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

KY Dem Primary actually a little competitive

Joseph R. Biden Jr.*incumbent
1,501   +69.3%69.3%   
No delegates—
Uncommitted
426   +19.7%19.7   
No delegates—
Dean Phillips
123   +5.7%5.7   
No delegates—
Marianne Williamson
115   +5.3%5.3   
No delegates

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Donald J. Trump
8,586   +84.2%84.2%   
No delegates—
Nikki Haley
738   +7.2%7.2   
No delegates—
Uncommitted
380   +3.7%3.7   
No delegates—
Ron DeSantis
259   +2.5%2.5   
No delegates—
Chris Christie
126   +1.2%1.2   
No delegates—
Vivek Ramaswamy
65   +0.6%0.6   
No delegates—
Ryan Binkley
39   +0.4%0.4   
No delegates—
Total reported
10,193

Joseph R. Biden Jr.*incumbent
9,630   +82.8%82.8%   
No delegates—
Uncommitted
1,290   +11.1%11.1   
No delegates—
Marianne Williamson
408   +3.5%3.5   
No delegates—
Dean Phillips
305   +2.6%2.6   
No delegates—
Total reported
11,633

[wbrocks67]

Trump at 75% in Jefferson County, same old story

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.

For the 100th time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Trump at just 69% in Lexington.

[wbrocks67]

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.

For the 100t time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.

Trump is a known commodity with zero actual opposition. He is the de facto incumbent for the GOP. There's absolutely reason to compare them.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.

For the 100t time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.

Trump is a known commodity with zero actual opposition. He is the de facto incumbent for the GOP. There's absolutely reason to compare them.

Nikki Haley has near universal name ID and when she was in the race, majorly fundraised.. incumbents usually don't face such opposition.

In every open primary for decades, there's been some degree of "dead vote" for withdrawn candidates.. its just electoral precedent.  

[wbrocks67]

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.

For the 100t time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.

Trump is a known commodity with zero actual opposition. He is the de facto incumbent for the GOP. There's absolutely reason to compare them.

Nikki Haley has near universal name ID and when she was in the race, majorly fundraised.. incumbents usually don't face such opposition.

In every open primary for decades, there's been some degree of "dead vote" for withdrawn candidates.. its just electoral precedent.  

Nikki Haley dropped out nearly 3 months ago. She is a protest vote at this point, pure and simple. Same as Phillips or Williamson. Doesn't matter if she was "officially" in the race and fundraised at this point in the game.

[wbrocks67]

From what I can tell, Obama only won 58% in KY in 2012? 42% went uncommitted

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.

For the 100t time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.

Trump is a known commodity with zero actual opposition. He is the de facto incumbent for the GOP. There's absolutely reason to compare them.

Nikki Haley has near universal name ID and when she was in the race, majorly fundraised.. incumbents usually don't face such opposition.

In every open primary for decades, there's been some degree of "dead vote" for withdrawn candidates.. its just electoral precedent.  

Nikki Haley dropped out nearly 3 months ago. She is a protest vote at this point, pure and simple. Same as Phillips or Williamson. Doesn't matter if she was "officially" in the race and fundraised at this point in the game.

It matters that there's a well known name on the ballot for the traditional open primary "dead vote" to go to.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Trump and Biden have won in KY, though Uncommitted Ds may walk away with some delegates.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Inb4 some galaxy brains say that Uncommitted's performance shows that Kentuckians are displeased with Biden's Palestine policies.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Inb4 some galaxy brains say that Uncommitted's performance shows that Kentuckians are displeased with Biden's Palestine policies.

I'd have you know that there is a strong Hamas supporting contingent in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfields.


lol.

[Devils30]

Inb4 some galaxy brains say that Uncommitted's performance shows that Kentuckians are displeased with Biden's Palestine policies.

I'd have you know that there is a strong Hamas supporting contingent in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfields.


lol.

Yep, I am sure that is the reason they are voting uncommitted!

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Inb4 some galaxy brains say that Uncommitted's performance shows that Kentuckians are displeased with Biden's Palestine policies.

I'd have you know that there is a strong Hamas supporting contingent in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfields.


lol.

Yep, I am sure that is the reason they are voting uncommitted!

I know, as I told you.

There isn't a house in Elliott County that doesn't have a portrait of Ismail Haniyeh on their wall.

[oldkyhome]

Voted uncommitted today in Kentucky. I’m curious to see if Biden will lose any counties to it. It certainly won’t be to the extent of 2012, but I won’t be surprised a few in coal country defect (obviously not because of Gaza, or anything similar).

[Eraserhead]

I wish "Uncommitted' was an option on the Oregon ballot. We may see Williamson's best performance of the race later tonight though (unless there's a crazy amount of write-ins).

[wbrocks67]

I wish "Uncommitted' was an option on the Oregon ballot. We may see Williamson's best performance of the race later tonight though (unless there's a crazy amount of wrire-ins).

NYT has a spot for write-ins in their tally

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Voted uncommitted today in Kentucky. I’m curious to see if Biden will lose any counties to it. It certainly won’t be to the extent of 2012, but I won’t be surprised a few in coal country defect (obviously not because of Gaza, or anything similar).

Uncommitted has won Breathitt, Union, Robertson, Wolfe, Knott and Floyd so far.

[Eraserhead]

I wish "Uncommitted' was an option on the Oregon ballot. We may see Williamson's best performance of the race later tonight though (unless there's a crazy amount of write-ins).

NYT has a spot for write-ins in their tally

I could see something like:

Biden: 82%
Williamson: 10%
Write-In: 8%

Just a guess though. Who knows...

[oldkyhome]

Voted uncommitted today in Kentucky. I’m curious to see if Biden will lose any counties to it. It certainly won’t be to the extent of 2012, but I won’t be surprised a few in coal country defect (obviously not because of Gaza, or anything similar).

Uncommitted has won Breathitt, Robertson, Wolfe, Knott and Floyd so far.

Ballard now too.

[wbrocks67]

Fayette finally in, looks like Biden will end up with about 71%, slightly above WV performance