Georgia Supreme Court Election
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June 03, 2024, 06:53:26 AM
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Author Topic: Georgia Supreme Court Election  (Read 4764 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #50 on: May 21, 2024, 02:07:51 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on May 21, 2024, 02:03:52 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 21, 2024, 11:43:25 AM
I just voted at my precinct in western Forsyth County.  There was one other voter present; I joked to the poll worker that they looked overwhelmed, and she said well, it's starting to pick up.  I was voter #122 at the precinct, but I have nothing to compare that to because I usually do early voting (just never got around to it for this election).

Are you in one of those giant 20k people precincts in Forsyth County - if so that seems pretty horrible for turnout.

Last time I checked we had something over 5000 registered voters in the precinct.
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mjba257
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« Reply #51 on: May 21, 2024, 02:13:54 PM »
Not a Georgian, but my understanding it's technically a "nonpartisan race". Given the little attention its been given, perhaps many voters will just vote the incumbent, not even realizing his party. This isn't a rare phenomena, especially with low-profile, non-partisan races. Voters will either vote whoever the incumbent is (unless they are unhappy with the state of things) or vote who evers name appears first.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #52 on: May 21, 2024, 02:16:37 PM »
Quote from: mjba257 on May 21, 2024, 02:13:54 PM
Not a Georgian, but my understanding it's technically a "nonpartisan race". Given the little attention its been given, perhaps many voters will just vote the incumbent, not even realizing his party. This isn't a rare phenomena, especially with low-profile, non-partisan races. Voters will either vote whoever the incumbent is (unless they are unhappy with the state of things) or vote who evers name appears first.

Barrow's name was first, but Pinson was identified as the incumbent, so maybe those will cancel out. Smiley
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #53 on: May 21, 2024, 02:44:24 PM »
Do we know anything about spending?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #54 on: May 21, 2024, 03:40:29 PM »

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Yelnoc
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« Reply #55 on: May 21, 2024, 04:46:13 PM »
A lesson for you all in the importance of early voting:

I have COVID and didn't early vote :/
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #56 on: May 21, 2024, 05:26:22 PM »
Hm, not great. Rs outspent $1.7M to $1.4M
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #57 on: May 21, 2024, 05:27:23 PM »
Just voted for the first time.

#240 in my precinct of 2100 people in Cobb County.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #58 on: May 21, 2024, 05:31:35 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Decider on May 21, 2024, 05:27:23 PM
Just voted for the first time.

#240 in my precinct of 2100 people in Cobb County.

Does that include EV or just today? Honestly that doesn't sound bad at all given its a sleepy race.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #59 on: May 21, 2024, 05:33:58 PM »
DDHQ link

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/Primaries/races/georgia-state-supreme-court-nonpartisan-general-election-pinson-s-seat
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #60 on: May 21, 2024, 05:35:34 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 21, 2024, 05:31:35 PM
Quote from: Malarkey Decider on May 21, 2024, 05:27:23 PM
Just voted for the first time.

#240 in my precinct of 2100 people in Cobb County.

Does that include EV or just today? Honestly that doesn't sound bad at all given its a sleepy race.

I'm not sure.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #61 on: May 21, 2024, 05:48:47 PM »
Does anyone have a list of county benchmarks for this race? Like, if this race is at all competitive, what should we be looking for?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #62 on: May 21, 2024, 05:49:58 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on May 21, 2024, 05:48:47 PM
Does anyone have a list of county benchmarks for this race? Like, if this race is at all competitive, what should we be looking for?

Maybe the 2022 AG race? Rs won that by 5

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-georgia-attorney-general.html
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #63 on: May 21, 2024, 06:03:11 PM »
and we have a map!

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/21/us/elections/results-georgia-supreme-court.html
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #64 on: May 21, 2024, 06:06:34 PM »
Lowndes County (55-43 Trump in 2020) is now 60-40 Pinson. Not a good early sign for Barrow, but this is the only county that's even half in. It's early.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #65 on: May 21, 2024, 06:08:30 PM »
There is no way Pinson is doing better in deep blue Douglas county than the rurals up north.
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Boobs
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« Reply #66 on: May 21, 2024, 06:09:54 PM »
Barrow with 67% in 90% Trump-supporting Glasscock County. Pack it up folks!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #67 on: May 21, 2024, 06:11:46 PM »
Hm, Barrow seems to be holding his own (so far) in some of the rurals. Definitly doesn't look like a total blowout
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #68 on: May 21, 2024, 06:13:06 PM »
In Liberty County Barrow's only up 12 when Biden won it by 24. Another bad sign for him. Of course, it only means so much for the presidential election, but I'd like to see a sign that black voters aren't abandoning Democrats in droves.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #69 on: May 21, 2024, 06:13:24 PM »
Looking back on previous years, it's just insane that GA had a VBM operation for like, what, 2 years and then they got rid of it?
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #70 on: May 21, 2024, 06:13:41 PM »
Non-partisan races always produce some funky maps.
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KakyoinMemeHouse
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« Reply #71 on: May 21, 2024, 06:14:14 PM »
Looking good for Barrow.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #72 on: May 21, 2024, 06:14:21 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 21, 2024, 06:11:46 PM
Hm, Barrow seems to be holding his own (so far) in some of the rurals. Definitly doesn't look like a total blowout
He's holding up really well in Trump counties but doing poorly in Biden ones its bizarre.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #73 on: May 21, 2024, 06:15:14 PM »
It's only 3% in, but based on the current counties in it looks like Pinson wins by high single digits.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #74 on: May 21, 2024, 06:15:25 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on May 21, 2024, 06:14:21 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 21, 2024, 06:11:46 PM
Hm, Barrow seems to be holding his own (so far) in some of the rurals. Definitly doesn't look like a total blowout
He's holding up really well in Trump counties but doing poorly in Biden ones its bizarre.

The only Biden one I see he's doing meh in that has somewhat substantial vote is Liberty and Douglas. Richmond looks fine so far
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