I&I/TIPP: Biden +2, +1

[wbrocks67]

Biden (D) 42%
Trump (R) 40%
Other 10%
Not sure 8%

[Biden +3 in April, 43-40]

Biden (D) 39%
Trump (R) 38%
Kennedy (I) 12%
Stein (G) 1%
West (I) 1%
Other 2%
Not sure 7%

[Tied, 38-38 in April)

https://tippinsights.com/biden-and-trump-neck-and-neck-but-most-americans-think-trump-will-win-i-i-tipp-poll/#google_vignette

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great poll

[CookieDamage]

So unchanged from their last poll basically

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Ik They where accurate in 2020 but how accurate where they in 2016?

[President Johnson]

Neither candidate above 42% means this poll is worthless. At best, it reaffirms that it's a tossup.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Neither candidate above 42% means this poll is worthless. At best, it reaffirms that it's a tossup.

Tilt D is where I have it RN and this poll seems to confirm that.

But yeah polls really need to work on pushing people. I could excuse this in November/December but this is getting ridiculous now.

[kwabbit]

Neither candidate above 42% means this poll is worthless. At best, it reaffirms that it's a tossup.

Tilt D is where I have it RN and this poll seems to confirm that.

But yeah polls really need to work on pushing people. I could excuse this in November/December but this is getting ridiculous now.

Biden +2 or +1 would be tossup or tilt Trump. 538 has the Trump EC advantage at 1.7 at the moment. Trump +1 nationally, Trump +2.7 in WI. The EC advantage has been gradually building as Biden has improved more nationally than in the Rust Belt (expected given that Biden's increased support from non-Whites has fueled the national improvement).

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Neither candidate above 42% means this poll is worthless. At best, it reaffirms that it's a tossup.

Tilt D is where I have it RN and this poll seems to confirm that.

But yeah polls really need to work on pushing people. I could excuse this in November/December but this is getting ridiculous now.

Biden +2 or +1 would be tossup or tilt Trump. 538 has the Trump EC advantage at 1.7 at the moment. Trump +1 nationally, Trump +2.7 in WI. The EC advantage has been gradually building as Biden has improved more nationally than in the Rust Belt (expected given that Biden's increased support from non-Whites has fueled the national improvement).

Oh yeah I agree it would be a tossup, tilt basically means tossup I think part of Biden’s stronger improvements nationally than in states is that we haven’t gotten a whole lot of high quality state polling yet. But even the rust belt is far tighter than a few months back.