2025 Canadian election - April 28

[CumbrianLefty]

If these numbers hold, I have a hard time seeing Jagmeet Singh continue as leader.

If he even holds his own seat.....

[DL]

IMHO there is almost zero chance Singh stays on as NDP leader no matter how many seats they win. Even if the NDP somehow managed to turn things around and win 40 seats I get the feeling that he has had it. It’s been eight gruelling years of 100 hour work weeks and he has two kids under the age of 5 and a wife who would probably divorce him if he didn’t retire as leader after the election.

[Flyersfan232]

IMHO there is almost zero chance Singh stays on as NDP leader no matter how many seats they win. Even if the NDP somehow managed to turn things around and win 40 seats I get the feeling that he has had it. It’s been eight gruelling years of 100 hour work weeks and he has two kids under the age of 5 and a wife who would probably divorce him if he didn’t retire as leader after the election.

hè might not even have a seat by June who is best and who is likely to replace him?

[DL]

IMHO there is almost zero chance Singh stays on as NDP leader no matter how many seats they win. Even if the NDP somehow managed to turn things around and win 40 seats I get the feeling that he has had it. It’s been eight gruelling years of 100 hour work weeks and he has two kids under the age of 5 and a wife who would probably divorce him if he didn’t retire as leader after the election.

hè might not even have a seat by June who is best and who is likely to replace him?

A lot of people talk about Heather MacPherson the MP for Edmonton-Strathcona

[Flyersfan232]

IMHO there is almost zero chance Singh stays on as NDP leader no matter how many seats they win. Even if the NDP somehow managed to turn things around and win 40 seats I get the feeling that he has had it. It’s been eight gruelling years of 100 hour work weeks and he has two kids under the age of 5 and a wife who would probably divorce him if he didn’t retire as leader after the election.

hè might not even have a seat by June who is best and who is likely to replace him?

A lot of people talk about Heather MacPherson the MP for Edmonton-Strathcona

Layton rotting dead body perhaps?

[adma]

If these numbers hold, I have a hard time seeing Jagmeet Singh continue as leader.

If he even holds his own seat.....

Thus my M.J. Coldwell in '58 analogy.

[Can't Back Down When Punched!]

Randy announces he's not running for re-election after previously having been re-nominated...yeah, that basically confirms Carney's running in Edmonton Centre.

[Can't Back Down When Punched!]

The other option recently opened up for Carney is Nepean, Chandra Arya was disqualified for undisclosed reasons. But I think Edmonton Centre is the better option. He was raised in Edmonton, running in Alberta as LPC leader carries stronger optics, and honestly I think Edmonton Centre is a better riding for Liberals than Nepean in the current dynamic (more NDP votes to coalesce)

[Whale Psychiatrist]

Randy announces he's not running for re-election after previously having been re-nominated...yeah, that basically confirms Carney's running in Edmonton Centre.

Which Randy?

[DL]

Randy announces he's not running for re-election after previously having been re-nominated...yeah, that basically confirms Carney's running in Edmonton Centre.

That could also be where Edmonton mayor Amarjeet Sohi would run

[brucejoel99]

Randy announces he's not running for re-election after previously having been re-nominated...yeah, that basically confirms Carney's running in Edmonton Centre.

That could also be where Edmonton mayor Amarjeet Sohi would run

https://twitter.com/JSJamato/status/1903241854256287966https://twitter.com/JSJamato/status/1903245207803662624

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

Randy announces he's not running for re-election after previously having been re-nominated...yeah, that basically confirms Carney's running in Edmonton Centre.

Which Randy?

One originally from Colorado 

[Can't Back Down When Punched!]

Randy announces he's not running for re-election after previously having been re-nominated...yeah, that basically confirms Carney's running in Edmonton Centre.

Which Randy?

The other one. No, not the other one, the other one.

[Can't Back Down When Punched!]

Any rumours on where Evan Solomon is running? There are four City of Toronto ridings that don't have Liberal candidates right now. It shouldn't be hard to find Liberals to run in Toronto, maybe the party is keeping those warm for potential star candidates.

[Flyersfan232]

The other option recently opened up for Carney is Nepean, Chandra Arya was disqualified for undisclosed reasons. But I think Edmonton Centre is the better option. He was raised in Edmonton, running in Alberta as LPC leader carries stronger optics, and honestly I think Edmonton Centre is a better riding for Liberals than Nepean in the current dynamic (more NDP votes to coalesce)

tories would have won the new edmonton centre is 2021

[Whale Psychiatrist]

Apparently the former Strathcona candidate is now running in Edmonton Centre, so it's still up in the air where Carney is going.

[oldtimer]

If these numbers hold, I have a hard time seeing Jagmeet Singh continue as leader.

If he even holds his own seat.....

Well Nick Clegg survived 2015, but probably with lent Tory votes who still thought they might need him to prop them up in case they fell short of a majority.

I don't know if the Liberals would be that kind to the leader of their coalition partner.

[Can't Back Down When Punched!]

The other option recently opened up for Carney is Nepean, Chandra Arya was disqualified for undisclosed reasons. But I think Edmonton Centre is the better option. He was raised in Edmonton, running in Alberta as LPC leader carries stronger optics, and honestly I think Edmonton Centre is a better riding for Liberals than Nepean in the current dynamic (more NDP votes to coalesce)

tories would have won the new edmonton centre is 2021

With a strong NDP split though, unlikely to happen this time, and barring an early writ surge the NDP will likely do the Ontario thing and concentrate their resources on incumbent ridings.

[Can't Back Down When Punched!]

Apparently the former Strathcona candidate is now running in Edmonton Centre, so it's still up in the air where Carney is going.

Well that's that I guess. Not that I want a Liberal government, but if we're gonna have one, having the Liberal Prime Minister represent Alberta would be strong symbolism given the context of everything. But if he's ruling out Centre, I doubt he will pick any of the other available seats in Edmonton which are likely to still be an uphill battle for Liberals regardless of everything else going on.

[adma]

The other option recently opened up for Carney is Nepean, Chandra Arya was disqualified for undisclosed reasons. But I think Edmonton Centre is the better option. He was raised in Edmonton, running in Alberta as LPC leader carries stronger optics, and honestly I think Edmonton Centre is a better riding for Liberals than Nepean in the current dynamic (more NDP votes to coalesce)

tories would have won the new edmonton centre is 2021

With a strong NDP split though, unlikely to happen this time, and barring an early writ surge the NDP will likely do the Ontario thing and concentrate their resources on incumbent ridings.

Plus one must consider the gradual "organic" leftward morph of the urban Alberta ridings--one that's played out municipally and provincially, but not yet federally because deeply-ingrained habit is hard to overturn.  Indeed, it'd seem that it'd just require the right kind of Lib/NDP leadership and broader political climate to break the urban-Alberta Con monolith federally--and *maybe* under Carney, the likelihood's closer in view than ever.  (Sort of like Justinmania enabling the Libs' breaking through in the BC Lower Mainland in '15)

[Gass3268]

https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:kx375dszrbvqtu7o4xxxmojn/post/3lkyqnumvz22n

[The '90s' Last Champion]

Carney is running in Nepean

https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/mark-carney-to-run-in-ottawa-area-riding-as-canadians-get-set-to-vote-april/article_3640eed4-9cec-41bb-9def-1b50b86a3916.html

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

Carney is running in Nepean

https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/mark-carney-to-run-in-ottawa-area-riding-as-canadians-get-set-to-vote-april/article_3640eed4-9cec-41bb-9def-1b50b86a3916.html

So Carney and Pollievre will be running in neighboring ridings...

[DL]

Carney is running in Nepean

https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/mark-carney-to-run-in-ottawa-area-riding-as-canadians-get-set-to-vote-april/article_3640eed4-9cec-41bb-9def-1b50b86a3916.html

So Carney and Pollievre will be running in neighboring ridings...

Wouldn’t be the first time. In 2015 Mulcair, Trudeau and Duceppe all had adjacent ridings in Montreal!

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

Carney is running in Nepean

https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/mark-carney-to-run-in-ottawa-area-riding-as-canadians-get-set-to-vote-april/article_3640eed4-9cec-41bb-9def-1b50b86a3916.html

So Carney and Pollievre will be running in neighboring ridings...

Wouldn’t be the first time. In 2015 Mulcair, Trudeau and Duceppe all had adjacent ridings in Montreal!

That has to be a record.