All the national polls (Even the ones Biden are leading) this year shows plausible Trump EV wins

[Woody]

Biden won the PV by 4.5 points last time around with the election being decided by some 40 thousand votes.

Every poll released so far this year have at best shown Biden leading by +3 (With the exception of the two Quinnipiac polls in February and January, +6 and +4 respectively, now it's +3 Biden.

This is of course the current president's best showing polls, with the overwhelming majority still outright being won by Trump from tied to +8.

So in essence, all the polling outlets have a Trump favored election, or at best, another nail-biter where Biden has to win through the skin of his teeth.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Yes.

[Redban]

But Hillary almost won at +2.1% nationally. So it varies

[soundchaser]

Even if you take these polls at face value this far it out, it depends on where things are shifting. Vote swing is not uniform.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol it's a 290 D map these are the same polls that have MC Trump leading by 9 in PA in database Dec polls with RFK getting 15

No one is gonna believe you REDBAN your credibility is on par with Riverwalk

[emailking]

You're assuming Republicans have a structural EC advantage. Evidence seems good they did the last 2 elections (and Dems the 3 elections before that), but it could go the other way this time.

[BlueSwan]

You're assuming Republicans have a structural EC advantage. Evidence seems good they did the last 2 elections (and Dems the 3 elections before that), but it could go the other way this time.

Polling suggests that Trump still has an EV advantage with him holding larger leads in the key swing states than he does nationally.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It doesn't matter about polls it matters about votes how many times do Ds have to tell Rs this

[The Vorlon]

This is based upon a proportional shift from 2020

https://ibb.co/Wf5RRvZ

At 51/48 its a coin toss.