Was the state of the union bump real?
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April 27, 2024, 07:30:47 PM
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  Was the state of the union bump real?		 « previous next »
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Question: Was the state of the union bump real?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: Was the state of the union bump real?  (Read 386 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: March 27, 2024, 05:36:21 PM »
Was the state of the union bump real or fake?
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2024, 05:39:47 PM »
I honestly think it was just moreso biden and trump being nominated and it being solidified as a Biden trump race
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: March 27, 2024, 06:00:57 PM »
Yes, it was Biden's biggest opportunity to get his message ourmt, and he's been actively campaigning on that message since.
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Harry
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« Reply #3 on: March 27, 2024, 06:03:39 PM »
It sure looks like it was. I guess it could just be a coincidence.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: March 27, 2024, 06:19:00 PM »
Yes, Conserv want to say it was no bump we are in a polarized environment we aren't gonna see 7 pt Biden leads unless it's reflected in the end vote

2008/12/18 large waves it took until Sept before there was large bump
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2024, 06:20:25 PM »
« Edited: March 27, 2024, 06:24:19 PM by AncestralDemocrat. »
Yes, but there's some evidence its dissipated given his approval has once again began to dip below 40% on 538 and RCP.
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emailking
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« Reply #6 on: March 27, 2024, 07:44:46 PM »
Hopefully no SOTU bump deniers on this forum.
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oldtimer
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« Reply #7 on: March 28, 2024, 04:59:34 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on March 27, 2024, 06:20:25 PM
Yes, but there's some evidence its dissipated given his approval has once again began to dip below 40% on 538 and RCP.

I've measured it at around 3.5 points on average in the swing states, we will see if it holds.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: March 28, 2024, 05:06:51 PM »
Yes Fox news is still padding Trump +5 leads to justify no SOTU bounce and it's a carbon copy of Rassy plus 6 polls, yeah it was a SOTU bump but we aren't gonna see Biden plus 7 polls like before
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: March 28, 2024, 05:08:14 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on March 27, 2024, 06:20:25 PM
Yes, but there's some evidence its dissipated given his approval has once again began to dip below 40% on 538 and RCP.


Trump has the same Approvals that's why he is tied with Biden guess what Bush W Approvals and Bush H Approvals are 55 percent that's why Rs are struggling with Trump's
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #10 on: March 28, 2024, 05:08:42 PM »
Biden is clearly received a bump since the State of the Union, but I don't know if it's because of the State of the Union.
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