March 19th Official Primary Thread (AZ, FL, IL, KS, OH)
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  March 19th Official Primary Thread (AZ, FL, IL, KS, OH)
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Author Topic: March 19th Official Primary Thread (AZ, FL, IL, KS, OH)  (Read 3058 times)
TodayJunior
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« Reply #25 on: March 19, 2024, 06:23:21 PM »
« edited: March 19, 2024, 06:35:31 PM by TodayJunior »

Florida is 50% reporting with less than 20 minutes after the polls closed. How is counting votes the one thing this state is good at? Did 2000 embarrass them enough to get their act together?

And why is the West Coast so bad at it? California is ballot initiative is still too close to call.
100% the most shameful thing ever bc it altered the course of history. So yes. But to your point other than Texas and California, I don’t understand why the other 47 states can’t count their votes quickly. We should be able to do this in the 21st century.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #26 on: March 19, 2024, 06:24:07 PM »

Haley getting nearly 25% of the vote in Sarasota County. Biden will win some of these anti-Trump voters.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #27 on: March 19, 2024, 06:24:26 PM »

So are all the people who constantly go "this is a bad number for Biden" going to weigh in on Trump in Florida?
Its a meh number but roughly 420k votes were cast before Haley's exit.. and dems cancelled their primary.  

That's irrelevant. Florida is a closed primary.
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #28 on: March 19, 2024, 06:24:58 PM »

We are now the epicenter of republican America. Sigh. Also not surprising there are a lot of internal divisions as well. It’s insane FL DEMS are not able to capitalize on this
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Mike88
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« Reply #29 on: March 19, 2024, 06:27:29 PM »

What is happening at Gadsden county?? Is that some kind of error?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #30 on: March 19, 2024, 06:27:46 PM »

Trump not breaking 80% in Florida would be a bit lackluster for him.
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RI
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« Reply #31 on: March 19, 2024, 06:28:25 PM »

Trump not breaking 80% in Florida would be a bit lackluster for him.

He probably will break 80. Later votes are more Trumpy than the early votes.
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RI
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« Reply #32 on: March 19, 2024, 06:34:35 PM »

Ohio starting to come in as well.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #33 on: March 19, 2024, 06:36:00 PM »

Trump not breaking 80% in Florida would be a bit lackluster for him.

Of course he'll break 80, most of the panhandle is still out.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #34 on: March 19, 2024, 06:39:42 PM »

First Ohio results just dropped. Dolan up by 11% but only Columbus is reporting.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #35 on: March 19, 2024, 06:39:53 PM »

Trump continues to underperform...
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kwabbit
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« Reply #36 on: March 19, 2024, 06:40:45 PM »

First Ohio results just dropped. Dolan up by 11% but only Columbus is reporting.

I think that's a bad sign for him unless LaRose collapsed on e-day and a lot of it went to Dolan. Early 2022 returns were much more favorable to him.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #37 on: March 19, 2024, 06:46:43 PM »

First Ohio results just dropped. Dolan up by 11% but only Columbus is reporting.

I think that's a bad sign for him unless LaRose collapsed on e-day and a lot of it went to Dolan. Early 2022 returns were much more favorable to him.

Yeah, Moreno is only down three now with two more counties reporting- including one that was pro-Dolan.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #38 on: March 19, 2024, 06:46:50 PM »

Haley ahead in Gadsden county
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #39 on: March 19, 2024, 06:48:28 PM »

I think thats a error given Vivek and Christie are in second and third.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #40 on: March 19, 2024, 06:48:44 PM »

First Ohio results just dropped. Dolan up by 11% but only Columbus is reporting.

I think that's a bad sign for him unless LaRose collapsed on e-day and a lot of it went to Dolan. Early 2022 returns were much more favorable to him.

Yeah, Moreno is only down three now with two more counties reporting- including one that was pro-Dolan.

If e-day shifts at all towards Moreno then it's over. I think he might win the early vote anyway but the LaRose collapse is the x-factor that puts things in slight doubt.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #41 on: March 19, 2024, 06:48:59 PM »

We can call Ohio for Trump and Biden.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #42 on: March 19, 2024, 06:49:56 PM »

I wonder what the blue av excuse will be for Trump’s underperformance this time. Florida’s a closed primary so you can’t argue that it’s due to crossovers.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #43 on: March 19, 2024, 06:55:13 PM »

Haley's vote share by county is kind of weird. Pinellas being her second best County is not expected. The GOP base is pretty WWC there. Conversely, I expected better results for her in the Jacksonville and Orlando metros, which have both been trending left and where the GOP base is slightly more educated.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #44 on: March 19, 2024, 06:58:13 PM »


Close ones.
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walleye26
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« Reply #45 on: March 19, 2024, 06:59:52 PM »

Thoughts on the Moreno/Dolan race?
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #46 on: March 19, 2024, 07:02:06 PM »

Dolan's done.

Pretty sure this is all EV.
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #47 on: March 19, 2024, 07:03:57 PM »

Dean Phillips is currently at 10.2% in Ohio. That would be his best showing and only state to break double digits, outside of New Hampshire.

But only 17% is in lol
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #48 on: March 19, 2024, 07:04:12 PM »

Dean Phillips is probably gonna have one of his best showings ever post-dropout in Ohio... due to being the only non-Biden option on the ballot.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #49 on: March 19, 2024, 07:05:59 PM »


Moreno seems like a favorite but still too ealry to call.
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