Rate Trump’s chances in each of these states
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
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Author Topic: Rate Trump’s chances in each of these states  (Read 736 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: March 14, 2024, 01:30:25 PM »
Arizona
Georgia
Michigan
Nevada
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
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DK_Mo82
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2024, 01:31:45 PM »

Arizona 55
Georgia 62
Michigan 49
Nevada 51
North Carolina 60
Pennsylvania 44
Wisconsin 51
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
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« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2024, 01:34:23 PM »
NC 90
GA 90
WI 80
AZ 75
MI 75
PA 75
NV 70
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Zenobiyl
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« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2024, 03:00:05 PM »
Arizona 25
Georgia 60
Michigan 40
Nevada 55
North Carolina 90
Pennsylvania 45
Wisconsin 55
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2024, 06:49:47 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on March 14, 2024, 01:30:25 PM
Arizona
Georgia
Michigan
Nevada
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

North Carolina • 95%
Wisconsin • 80%
Georgia • 80%
Arizona • 75%
Nevada • 45%
Michigan • 35%
Pennsylvania 30%

I’m going to add Nebraska-02 in there• 60%
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2024, 06:54:30 PM »
Fascinating to see the divergences of opinion here.
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Mr. Third-Wayist
Liam
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« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2024, 06:59:50 PM »
Arizona 40
Georgia 55
Michigan 40
Nevada 45
North Carolina 65
Pennsylvania 40
Wisconsin 45

Overall; 40
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xavier110
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2024, 07:43:04 PM »
Arizona - 30%
Georgia - 40%
Michigan - 55%
Nevada - 50%
North Carolina - 85%
Pennsylvania - 55%
Wisconsin - 55%
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TDAS04
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« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2024, 11:22:09 PM »
Arizona - 42%
Georgia - 56%
Michigan - 41%
Nevada - 48%
North Carolina - 78%
Pennsylvania - 35%
Wisconsin - 39%
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here2view
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« Reply #9 on: March 16, 2024, 10:05:37 AM »
Arizona 40%
Georgia 55%
Michigan 40%
Nevada 55%
North Carolina 80%
Pennsylvania 40%
Wisconsin 45%

I think Biden's path runs through Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania
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oldtimer
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« Reply #10 on: March 16, 2024, 10:26:58 AM »
GA 100 (primary+polls)
NC 100 (come on)
NV 100 (registration)
AZ 75
WI 75
MI 66 (primary+polls)
PA 66

Basically in line with Biden having a 1 in 4 chance to win.
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Kleine Scheiße
PeteHam
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« Reply #11 on: March 16, 2024, 11:10:49 AM »
« Edited: March 16, 2024, 11:15:07 AM by Kleine Scheiße »
Arizona -- 50
Georgia -- 65
Michigan -- 45
Nevada -- 50
North Carolina -- 70
Pennsylvania -- 40
Wisconsin -- 40

This would be a 270D-251R map with 17 EVs as a tossup.
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Torie
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« Reply #12 on: March 16, 2024, 11:27:19 AM »
Do you factor in the chances that Trump will be convicted of a crime in these odds?
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CheapDollarEra?
wnwnwn
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« Reply #13 on: March 16, 2024, 11:32:58 AM »
Arizona 50%
Georgia 51%
Michigan 50%
Nevada 49%
North Carolina 69%
Pennsylvania 45%
Wisconsin 51%
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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« Reply #14 on: March 16, 2024, 11:40:28 AM »
Arizona - 53%
Georgia - 55%
Michigan - 46%
Nevada - 44%
North Carolina - 72%
Pennsylvania - 18%
Wisconsin - 31%
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