CO-04: Ken Buck to resign next week.

[Tekken_Guy]

W Boebert!!!

I think congress would be better off without Boebert in it. People like her and MTG make the body ungovernable.

Also it won’t be as easy as you think. Color me skeptical she wins that primary. She seems like another Madison Cawthorn where Trump can’t bail her out no matter how hard he tries.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Have democrats nominated anyone yet?

[Tekken_Guy]

Have democrats nominated anyone yet?

They do on Monday I believe.

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/colo_politics/status/1775000408080941416

[Minnesota Mike]

https://coloradosun.com/2024/04/05/lauren-boebert-4th-congressional-district/

PUEBLO — U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert’s name will be first on the June 25 Republican primary ballot in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District after she won the district’s GOP nominating assembly Friday.

Boebert won 41% of the delegate vote, enough to prevent former state Sen. Ted Harvey of Highlands Ranch from appearing on the ballot. He received about 26% of the delegate vote, but needed 30% to make the ballot.

[Minnesota Mike]

There are several other candidates who could make the primary ballot if they turned in enough valid signatures. Harvey will not be on the ballot because he relied solely on the assembly and did not file a petition.

[Tekken_Guy]

https://coloradosun.com/2024/04/05/lauren-boebert-4th-congressional-district/

PUEBLO — U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert’s name will be first on the June 25 Republican primary ballot in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District after she won the district’s GOP nominating assembly Friday.

Boebert won 41% of the delegate vote, enough to prevent former state Sen. Ted Harvey of Highlands Ranch from appearing on the ballot. He received about 26% of the delegate vote, but needed 30% to make the ballot.

Trumpy candidates always overperform at the assembly so this is a highwater marker for Boebert. She likely has no path to 50% in the primary and will be lucky to crack 40%.

With Harvey out, unless Lynch proves to be stronger than anticipated, Sonnenberg’s the only major candidate left in the establishment lane, which is good news for him in a district O’Dea won by 10 points in the 2022 primary. Meanwhile Holtorf and Flora will be mostly siphoning MAGA votes away from Boebert.

[coloradocowboi]

I wouldn’t count out Boebert yet. Yes, she didn’t clear 50. But she did eliminate her worst competition in DougCo. In a low turnout primary, she can still make it through.

Also forgot that I have gotta disagree with Tekken Guy. Douglas Co. isn’t even the best suburb. That’s Jeffco. And not just cuz the politics. Everything in dougco is a big chain store and it’s just boring

[Tekken_Guy]

I wouldn’t count out Boebert yet. Yes, she didn’t clear 50. But she did eliminate her worst competition in DougCo. In a low turnout primary, she can still make it through.

Also forgot that I have gotta disagree with Tekken Guy. Douglas Co. isn’t even the best suburb. That’s Jeffco. And not just cuz the politics. Everything in dougco is a big chain store and it’s just boring

Harvey was Sonnenberg’s biggest competition for Douglas County votes, if anything. He was running as the main establishment guy for Douglas’s suburban votes and without him Sonnenberg is the only major candidate left in that lane (unless you count Lynch). Flora is the one who’s getting all the MAGA votes in Douglas that aren’t going Boebert, and she’s still in the race, plus there’s Holtorf who’s a threat to her in the eastern rurals.

Also Boebert would do best in a high turnout primary when low information Trump voters in the rurals come out in droves and unfortunately for her the presidential primary in CO was in March. Low turnout means more weight to Douglas suburbanites and thus Sonnenberg.