Will Nevada voters turnout for President Biden in November?

[holtridge]

Do you think Nevada voters will turnout for President Biden in November or will they stay at home?

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Yes our H delegation is all D

[CheapDollarEra?]

Yes. The Covid restrictions backlash is mostly over.

Yes our H delegation is all D

Nevada is called the Silver State.

Fourth Party System dynamics don't matter anymore, 

[ProgressiveModerate]

One fun fact is that Nevada's raw vote total in Pres cycles has increased every Pres cycle since 1996, however, it's not clear that additional turnout helped Democrats, especially after 2012.

Given NV is going to be a small state that is going to receive heavy investment, I think turnout will be fine for both sides, though some parts of Las Vegas will have really poor turnout as usual.

[dspNY]

Nevada is a big trouble spot for Dems. I think Arizona votes to the left of Nevada this time around. Dems swept the board in Arizona in 2022 but Catherine Cortez Masto barely held her senate seat and the GOP took the governor’s mansion. I’d say NV is the second most vulnerable swing state Biden won to GA

[wbrocks67]

Something that seems underrated is the VBM system - doesn't every voter in NV receive a ballot now?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Nevada is a big trouble spot for Dems. I think Arizona votes to the left of Nevada this time around. Dems swept the board in Arizona in 2022 but Catherine Cortez Masto barely held her senate seat and the GOP took the governor’s mansion. I’d say NV is the second most vulnerable swing state Biden won to GA

Tbf NV Dems did fine in 2022 - they still won the Senate race and barely lost Gov. Rs just did really poorly in most of the other swing states, but to be fair, Laxalt and Lombardo were never the same level of problematic as Mastriano, Dixon, Masters, and Lake.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden should be fine. The state could swing right, yet after 2022 it is clear that Democrats still have strength in the state as far as union/machine turnout, even in the least friendly years for them.

[Liberalrocks]

Yes and he very narrowly likely carries the state.