Which year does this election resemble?

[BigVic]

2000 for me. A close race but a dull primary season.

[TheTide]

2000 was not a dull primary season. The collision between McCain and Bush was a defining moment in the history of the Republican Party.

[GAinDC]

2000

Bush was leading Gore for most of the campaign, but fundamentals kicked in and it settled into a neck and neck race toward the end

https://news.gallup.com/poll/9898/2000-presidential-election-midyear-gallup-report.aspx

[Sir Mohamed]

2024.

Almost no election is like another.

[Mr. Third-Wayist]

2004/2012

[CheapDollarEra?]

2000

[HagridOfTheDeep]

1980 but with polarization.

[Duke 🇺🇸]

None we have ever seen in our history

[Wrong about 2024 Ghost]

1932.

[Steve from Lambeth]

If Joe Biden's reelection prospects resemble those of any Democratic incumbent, Woodrow Wilson is that incumbent. He has ushered through various major bills that are, and remain, the subject of Republican loathing. The Republicans have a star candidate who can point to a substantial record. Matters of policy and substance are unlikely to be discussed and the election will hinge on a few close states where, all things considered, the Democrats are likely to win.

[HisGrace]

Maybe 68 with a matchup nobody wants and a large chunk of people feeling disenfranchised.

[Compuzled_One]

1892, unironically.

[AltWorlder]

Originally I thought it was 2012, which really seemed like a boring election cycle to me. But everything since Oct. 7th has changed things up.

[darklordoftech]

1892, especially if Trump wins. If Biden wins, 1956. If Trump wins, 1800 and 1828.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

1968

[Reactionary Libertarian]

If Joe Biden's reelection prospects resemble those of any Democratic incumbent, Woodrow Wilson is that incumbent. He has ushered through various major bills that are, and remain, the subject of Republican loathing. The Republicans have a star candidate who can point to a substantial record. Matters of policy and substance are unlikely to be discussed and the election will hinge on a few close states where, all things considered, the Democrats are likely to win.

That doesn’t seem true. On the legislative side, Biden has mostly governed as a standard center-leftist, with the exception of the inflationary ARP. And that didn’t really spawn Republican loathing outside the inflationary effects. The IRA has seen hardly any backlash; it’s not remotely comparable to things like the ACA or the Federal Reserve. Backlash to Biden is about inflation, the open border, and general malaise. As for Trump, he is not a “star candidate”.

This election is closest to 1980, except the GOP nominee is extremely flawed and demographic change makes it impossible for Republicans to win a landslide. That’s why Biden can still win.

[robocop]

1948 or 1968 or 2016.

[DS0816]

Electorally…

• 1892—due to specific candidates

• 2008—due to incumbent party, with severely unpopular incumbent president, and obvious turn toward the opposition party for the pickup

This can be looked at in more ways than one.

Election 1892 is obvious, due to rematch of specific general-election candidates, which tends to be the first thing on people’s minds. (Who—not which party—will win.)

Election 2008 is also springing to mind because the nation’s people, as they do here with Election 2024, did not want the incumbent White House party—which also has an incumbent U.S. president with a job approval struggling for 40 percent—to have the next four years.

[Joe Biden 2028]

Off topic, I think 2020 resembled 2012. I was looking at the demographics and Biden largely did Obama 2012 numbers with whites, rural and seniors. But less with minorities and urban voters. Biden did Obama 2008 numbers with suburbs.

[Ferguson97]

2016, but this time Trump is Clinton.

[Devils30]

1948

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

2008 but reverse.

[Del Tachi]

1980 but with polarization.

[Skill and Chance]

Either 1892 or 1948

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

None....Saying that any election involving Trump resembles any election not involving him is really normalizing Trump in a very worrisome way.