Biden/Trump's best/worst states on Super Tuesday - thoughts?
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  Biden/Trump's best/worst states on Super Tuesday - thoughts?
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Author Topic: Biden/Trump's best/worst states on Super Tuesday - thoughts?  (Read 302 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: March 06, 2024, 01:20:14 PM »

Biden:
Maine: 93%
Tennessee: 92%
Iowa: 91%
California: 89%
Vermont: 89%
Virginia: 89%
Alabama: 89%
Arkansas: 89%
Utah: 88%
North Carolina: 87%
Texas: 85%
Colorado: 84%
Massachusetts: 83%
Oklahoma: 73%
Minnesota: 71%

Trump:
Alaska: 88%
Alabama: 83%
Oklahoma: 82%
California: 79%
Texas: 78%
Arkansas: 77%
Tennessee: 77%
North Carolina: 74%
Maine: 73%
Minnesota: 69%
Colorado: 63%
Virginia: 63%
Massachusetts: 60%
Utah: 57%
Vermont: 46%
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2024, 02:01:54 PM »

I'm a bit shocked at Trumps #s in Arkansas and TN, wouldn't expect him to do worse there than AL.

For Biden, surprised he didn't hit 90 in AL or further, like TN. His Utah and VT #s are surprising, especially Utah. Obv MN is the big (bad) surprise on his end.
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xavier110
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« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2024, 02:20:40 PM »

I didn’t even realize that Biden performed worse in MN than OK. That is genuinely shocking.

It’s fairly interesting that he did worst in some of the nation’s most educated D voter bases: CO, MA, MN… it’s no wonder that Trump did worst with those same type of states.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
freethinkingindy
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« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2024, 11:15:40 PM »

Why did Biden do so bad in Oklahoma? Yes some of that is probably Ancestral Democrats, but he didn't do as poorly in other ancestrally Democratic areas.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2024, 11:20:27 PM »

California is extremely polarized.
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kelestian
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« Reply #5 on: March 07, 2024, 10:53:18 AM »

Why did Biden do so bad in Oklahoma? Yes some of that is probably Ancestral Democrats, but he didn't do as poorly in other ancestrally Democratic areas.

Oklahoma was the worst state for Obama in 2012 primary. He lost 14 counties.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: March 07, 2024, 01:28:57 PM »

Probably worth noting that these won't necessarily be the exact final percentages in a few of the states. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: March 07, 2024, 01:36:47 PM »

Why did Biden do so bad in Oklahoma? Yes some of that is probably Ancestral Democrats, but he didn't do as poorly in other ancestrally Democratic areas.

Part of it might be that those types of Democrats are still voting in Presidential primaries there whereas maybe they're not as much in Arkansas for example.

There might be more to it than that though. I could see those people voting big for Phillips but why Williamson?
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emailking
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« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2024, 01:42:03 PM »

Notice you can't just shift Biden's numbers down to get Trump's. You have to shift them down and then stretch them down even more to replicate Trump's performance.
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