Fox’s Battleground Map has Kansas as Safe D
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  Fox’s Battleground Map has Kansas as Safe D 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Fox’s Battleground Map has Kansas as Safe D  (Read 1120 times)
OSR stands with Israel
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« on: March 06, 2024, 11:00:28 AM »
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The Mikado
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« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2024, 11:03:03 AM »
Ignoring that obvious typo...pretty good generally, though I'd swap WI and MI and boost MN from Lean to Likely.

Also just go ahead and make Iowa Safe R.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2024, 11:03:17 AM »
« Edited: March 06, 2024, 11:08:00 AM by Sir Mohamed »
Is KS an that an error?

MI and GA are Tossups and not Lean D/R. NC imho is also a tossup or just Tilt R. I'd also move TX to Lean R. IA meanwhile is Safe R.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2024, 11:06:13 AM »
Michigan, PA and Wisconsin are all obvious tossups.

I'm not sure how someone can justify Lean D Michigan while trump leads the state average by 3.6%.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2024, 11:08:09 AM »
GA is a toss up.
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Consuming is good, it's what we're made for
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« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2024, 11:08:35 AM »
If Kansas doesn't go Democrat on election night, that's because Trump stole it. I will not accept a Trump victory in Kansas.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #6 on: March 06, 2024, 11:08:53 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on March 06, 2024, 11:03:17 AM
KS safe D? Is that an error?

MI and GA are Tossups and not Lean D/R. NC imho is also a tossup or just Tilt R. I'd also move TX to Lean R. IA meanwhile is Safe R.

TX definitely should be likely R . It would at least an 2008 style wave for the democrats to have a real shot at flipping it so likely is a good indicator. This is how I define the 3 this far out actually
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GAinDC
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« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2024, 11:11:42 AM »
To be fair, if you're just going by polling, Georgia is definitely Lean R right now.

However, based on Biden's strength with Black voters in the primaries, Democrats' success in federal races there since 2020, and Trump's Fulton County trial dominating local news there, I think it will wind up being a tossup this fall.

Edit: Blue Kansas?! Oh yes! lol
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #8 on: March 06, 2024, 11:32:17 AM »
Yeah it’s an obvious graphical error. The 251 EVs for Trump (2020+GA) include Kansas
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: March 06, 2024, 11:34:06 AM »
FL and TX are definitely in play because ALLRED and Powell are kneck and kneck with Rs
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #10 on: March 06, 2024, 12:16:22 PM »
It’s obvious the mules will steal Kansas for Biden.
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SWE
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« Reply #11 on: March 06, 2024, 12:17:22 PM »
They're right
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Rand
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« Reply #12 on: March 06, 2024, 12:19:26 PM »
We need a complete and total shutdown of Fox News’ graphics department until we can figure out what the hell is going on.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #13 on: March 06, 2024, 12:21:39 PM »
Quote from: Rand on March 06, 2024, 12:19:26 PM
We need a complete and total shutdown of Fox News’ graphics department until we can figure out what the hell is going on.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: March 06, 2024, 12:44:19 PM »
I always put FL, OH, TX and NC and GA as wave insurance it's only a matter of time we break through again, maps are blank on Eday


We know it will come down to WI, MI and PA
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Crumpets
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« Reply #15 on: March 06, 2024, 12:49:29 PM »
Georgia lean R but Michigan lean D? I guess I'll give them props for not just hedging and calling them all tossups.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #16 on: March 06, 2024, 12:56:36 PM »
How long before someone posts this on TikTok yelling about "THE SCRIPT GOT LEAKED!??!!"
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: March 06, 2024, 01:10:10 PM »
Not an unreasonable map.  I'm really starting to think the 270-268 Biden win (he wins PA+WI of those tossups, Trump wins AZ+NV) is looking increasingly plausible.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #18 on: March 06, 2024, 01:20:29 PM »
I just realized they also seem to have NE-AL as only likely Trump but have NE-2 as safe Biden.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #19 on: March 06, 2024, 01:23:57 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on March 06, 2024, 01:10:10 PM
Not an unreasonable map.  I'm really starting to think the 270-268 Biden win (he wins PA+WI of those tossups, Trump wins AZ+NV) is looking increasingly plausible.

I think Biden's in decent shape in AZ, or will be.

Biden might want to kick the tires on NE-02 and campaign in Omaha just in case because your map turns 269-269 if Biden loses it.
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Joe Biden 2028
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« Reply #20 on: March 06, 2024, 01:47:06 PM »
1. Georgia is a toss up
2. PA will go Democrat before MI
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #21 on: March 06, 2024, 01:52:14 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on March 06, 2024, 01:20:29 PM
I just realized they also seem to have NE-AL as only likely Trump but have NE-2 as safe Biden.

I guess if Biden carries NE-2 by a large margin and keeps it close in NE-1....A lot of turnout needed in NE-3 to override that....
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #22 on: March 06, 2024, 01:55:26 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on March 06, 2024, 12:16:22 PM
It’s obvious the mules will steal Kansas for Biden.

I can't believe the Scarecrow and the Tin man both conspired to throw out thousands upon thousands of GOP votes in rural Kansas.
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #23 on: March 06, 2024, 01:55:54 PM »
Here's a plausible scenario where those 2 additional EVs in Nebraska make all the difference.
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Plankton5165
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« Reply #24 on: March 06, 2024, 01:58:07 PM »
Trump tends to do well in yellow states. I wouldn't be surprised if he did so this time as well. Sometimes, he'll also take a light blue.

It might actually depend on which states are yellow days before the election.
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