FL-SEN: D-Internal Poll Rick Scott + 3
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  FL-SEN: D-Internal Poll Rick Scott + 3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: FL-SEN: D-Internal Poll Rick Scott + 3  (Read 766 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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« on: March 05, 2024, 12:18:02 PM »
When even a Democratic Internal Poll sponsored by EmilysList can't give you a lead you are in a whole lot of trouble if you are a Florida Democrat running Statewide.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2024, 12:49:56 PM »
Go Powell
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Arizona Iced Tea
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2024, 04:12:25 PM »
I think Rick Scott shouldn't have a difficult time winning, but he is going to underperform significantly. He will not pass double digits and will not collect Miami-Dade county.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2024, 05:38:36 PM »
We all know it was safe R.

Scott may underperform Trump though. And if Scott+3 will be all he can muster, that is actually quite pathetic by Florida standards.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2024, 12:06:36 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 05, 2024, 05:38:36 PM
We all know it was safe R.

Scott may underperform Trump though. And if Scott+3 will be all he can muster, that is actually quite pathetic by Florida standards.

No it's no IAN
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Ron DeSantis enthusiast
FranciscoM97
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« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2024, 03:05:51 AM »
If Scott is +3 in a D internal then he probably is up by 7-8 points
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Pericles
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« Reply #6 on: March 06, 2024, 03:20:30 AM »
It would be fitting if Rick Scott won by an extremely close margin again, but it looks like this time will be a lot easier for him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2024, 04:19:13 AM »
Quote from: Ron DeSantis enthusiast on March 06, 2024, 03:05:51 AM
If Scott is +3 in a D internal then he probably is up by 7-8 points

Lol this is bad news for Scott
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Ron DeSantis enthusiast
FranciscoM97
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« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2024, 03:07:39 AM »
Quote from: Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers on March 06, 2024, 04:19:13 AM
Quote from: Ron DeSantis enthusiast on March 06, 2024, 03:05:51 AM
If Scott is +3 in a D internal then he probably is up by 7-8 points

Lol this is bad news for Scott

Why? Florida is a safe red state, he is not going to lose
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #9 on: March 07, 2024, 10:08:47 AM »
Quote from: Ron DeSantis enthusiast on March 06, 2024, 03:05:51 AM
If Scott is +3 in a D internal then he probably is up by 7-8 points
Nope, internals are not always wrong folks
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TheTide
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« Reply #10 on: March 07, 2024, 02:51:40 PM »
I'm guessing Scott +5 and Trump +7. Scott would have probably won by around 1 (yet again) if he had been up in 2020.

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President Johnson
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« Reply #11 on: March 07, 2024, 02:58:13 PM »
Safe Republican.

We're not falling for this again. Democrats should triage Florida this November. Focus on Texas instead.
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20RP12
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« Reply #12 on: March 07, 2024, 03:20:06 PM »
I definitely believe Powell gets about 41%.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #13 on: March 07, 2024, 03:28:46 PM »
Quote from: TheTide on March 07, 2024, 02:51:40 PM
I'm guessing Scott +5 and Trump +7. Scott would have probably won by around 1 (yet again) if he had been up in 2020.



As an incumbent? He probably wins by around 2-3 points like Trump did in 2020. If it was a rerun of the 2018 race with Nelson as the incumbent then yeah I could have seen him win by a little more than his actual margin.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: March 07, 2024, 08:54:38 PM »
I watch out for split ticket MD Sen/Prez TX and FL, OH and MT
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Gracile
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2024, 12:30:02 PM »
I actually think Scott could underperform Trump a bit (especially because he is facing an opponent from Miami-Dade), but winning by a +3 victory margin is not realistic and far too generous to DMP. I don't think anyone sees the outcome as being in doubt given how much FL has shifted toward the GOP. Safe R.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: March 11, 2024, 06:52:33 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on March 07, 2024, 10:08:47 AM
Quote from: Ron DeSantis enthusiast on March 06, 2024, 03:05:51 AM
If Scott is +3 in a D internal then he probably is up by 7-8 points
Nope, internals are not always wrong folks
They are very wrong when PPP is still polling a Florida 2020 Electorate! Nonsense.

R's have a 5 Percentage Point Registration Edge and they have a sample with D's ahead.
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