What would a "good" performance for Nikki Haley be tonight?

[mjba257]

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say she'll carry Vermont for a variety of reasons. Of course. a win in any state will be spun as a major victory by her campaign, but winning Vermont to me is the bare minimum. I think she needs to pull off an upset in at least one other state in order to justify staying in the race. Also, strong performances in big states like TX and CA could be a moral victory for her.

What's your guys' take?

[Anti-Penguin Tariff Voter]

No such thing exists for her. She should’ve dropped out by now as she has no path to even be competitive

[mjba257]

No such thing exists for her. She should’ve dropped out by now as she has no path to even be competitive

You realize the longer she stays in, the more damage she does to Trump. Shouldn't you be rooting for that? Or are you afraid something's gonna happen to Trump and she'll end up the nominee by default? Because we all know she'd be a formidable opponent in a general.

[Anti-Penguin Tariff Voter]

No such thing exists for her. She should’ve dropped out by now as she has no path to even be competitive

You realize the longer she stays in, the more damage she does to Trump. Shouldn't you be rooting for that? Or are you afraid something's gonna happen to Trump and she'll end up the nominee by default? Because we all know she'd be a formidable opponent in a general.

Is she really doing damage to trump? Yea she’s getting 30% of the electorate in GOP primaries but we’ve known there’s some amount of “never trumper” republicans who are probably going to vote for Biden or third party in the general.

All she’s really doing is making herself look like she bad and out of touch. Trump has enough of his own damage without Haley giving him a few paper cuts

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Winning Vermont

[Lief 🗽]

Winning one or more states.

[Dwarven Dragon]

Winning VT, VA, UT, AK, along with some CDs in Texas and holding Trump under the 67% threshold in TN and the 80% threshold in MN.

It's a tall order but that's what she needs to show there's a real appetite for her candidacy.

[Joe Biden 2028]

Preventing Trump from claiming the nomination for another week is the absolute best she can do with her pathetic campaign

[PeteB]

In light of the unique nature of the race where on one hand we have an almost "cultish" (but in most cases half-hearted) alignment behind Trump, and on the other anticipation of the legal processes against him, her goals are not too high.  As long as she is getting 25-30% of the overall GOP vote, she will have funds to soldier on and it can be considered a good result.

Of course winning a state (I concur with the others that VT is the prime target) or holding Trump to less than 50% of the total delegates after Super Tuesday would be considered a major win.

[mjba257]

In light of the unique nature of the race where on one hand we have an almost "cultish" (but in most cases half-hearted) alignment behind Trump, and on the other anticipation of the legal processes against him, her goals are not too high.  As long as she is getting 25-30% of the overall GOP vote, she will have funds to soldier on and it can be considered a good result.

Of course winning a state (I concur with the others that VT is the prime target) or holding Trump to less than 50% of the total delegates after Super Tuesday would be considered a major win.

I'm torn between Haley's end game. Either she is gearing up for a third party run (ik she'd denied it but she also said she wouldn't run against Trump, so take it with a grain of salt) or she is waiting out for Trump to be taken out. Some say she is setting herself up for 2028, but idk about that. she may be damaged goods after coming out of this primary. her only chance at being the GOP nominee is getting the nomination by default this year.