Why are downtown Austin precincts not very D? (user search)
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  Why are downtown Austin precincts not very D? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why are downtown Austin precincts not very D?  (Read 801 times)
Sol
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,147
Bosnia and Herzegovina


« on: March 03, 2024, 10:38:17 PM »

It looks like the core of downtown Austin has doubled in population between 2010 and 2020, going from 5000ish people to 10000ish people. If it's anything like the downtowns of other big Southern cities, it probably didn't have too many people before the present-day boom and a good chunk of those new residents are condo-dwellers paying a premium to live downtown.

Austin has a lot of interesting and culturally rich neighborhoods, so choosing to live downtown means you're probably more focused on work instead of experiencing the city's culture. People of that class and with those priorities voting to the right of the rest of the city makes sense imo.
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Sol
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,147
Bosnia and Herzegovina


« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2024, 02:55:42 AM »
« Edited: March 04, 2024, 03:02:29 AM by Sol »

It looks like the core of downtown Austin has doubled in population between 2010 and 2020, going from 5000ish people to 10000ish people. If it's anything like the downtowns of other big Southern cities, it probably didn't have too many people before the present-day boom and a good chunk of those new residents are condo-dwellers paying a premium to live downtown.

Austin has a lot of interesting and culturally rich neighborhoods, so choosing to live downtown means you're probably more focused on work instead of experiencing the city's culture. People of that class and with those priorities voting to the right of the rest of the city makes sense imo.

Interesting point, but counterpoint: the downtown is a neighborhood in itself and generally those who are willing to give up a single family home with backyard for living in a dense walkable urban neighborhood skew heavily D.

There are a lot of people who prioritize walkability and density, but very few where that's the only factor. People who prioritize those factors are generally also going to be interested in culture, the arts, etc. and I suspect other areas of the city are going to be a better fit for that, especially when they're probably much cheaper too. Austin isn't the sort of place where you can easily get away with living without a car anyway; the people in downtown probably have parking garages in their buildings.

It's an imperfect analogy, but to use a New York parallel it's the same reason why people in Midtown or the Financial District are to the right of hipsters in gentrifying Brooklyn, except some of them vote Republican because Texas.

I should also caveat this with the fact that I don't know much about the built environment in Austin and am somewhat extrapolating based on places I know better -- so this could easily be wrong.
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Sol
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,147
Bosnia and Herzegovina


« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2024, 10:00:02 PM »
« Edited: March 09, 2024, 11:37:09 PM by Sol »

The CBDs of many Sun Belt cities are more GOP-voting than their other urban neighborhoods.  A lot of it is explained by racial demographics, but it's also the case that suits-in-a-glass-penthouse will skew more conservative than the kombucha-drinking gentrifiers who prefer more creative neighborhoods.  

Austin isn't even the best place to see this.  The main downtown precincts in Houston and Nashville voted for Romney!

Also the wealthy condo-dwellers in downtown Houston mostly still today work in the oil and gas industry. Nashville as the state capital is going to have a similar effect to Austin where Republican-oriented lobbyists and other workers related to the fact that the Republican-dominated state government is based there will live downtown near the capitol building.

Which is roughly the same point I was making earlier.

I don't know if that quite holds up though. You don't get a similar effect in North Carolina (where the state capitol is in one of the more Democratic parts of the city, even before recent shifts) or Georgia (where granted Atlanta is a much larger city). Meanwhile, there are similar patterns to this in Charlotte (where Republicans used to win in neighborhoods quite close to downtown).

State government employees are going to vary a lot, and most will not be partisan Republicans. Many also can't afford to live in expensive apartment buildings downtown and will live elsewhere. IMO this dynamic is a result of social class+educated white voters in the south being more conservative than elsewhere.
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