Super Tuesday (March 5) primaries thread

[Mr. Third-Wayist]

Mainly interested in the California primaries; there's a state senate election in my hometown that I'm paying close attention to between Jesse Arreguin (Berkeley mayor, backed by developers and Uber) and Kathryn Lyberger (union president). Jovanka Beckles (DSA) and Dan Kalb (some guy from the Oakland city council? I don't really know much about him) are also running. I voted for Beckles, since it's a top-two primary, but I expect Lyberger and Arreguin to win. But there's no polling done, so anything could happen.

Also paying some attention to Prop 1, CA-SEN, and the local Democratic Party Committee races. Prop 1 will probably succeed, but polling has been narrowing fast. Plus, I'd like to see Newsom get a black eye. CA-SEN also seems sewn up by Schiff & Garvey, but you never know with these things. I could be pleasantly surprised.

Happy Eday! Making a warm plate of spaghetti aglio e olio to kick things off.

I had spaghetti when trump won in 2016, so I may not be making that lol

[RI]

Poll closing timeline:

6:00pm ET: IA (D)
7:00pm ET: VA, VT
7:30pm ET: NC
8:00pm ET: AL, MA, ME, OK, TN, TX (some)
8:30pm ET: AR, AS (D)
9:00pm ET: CO, MN, TX (all)
10:00pm ET: UT (D)
11:00pm ET: CA, UT (R)
12:00am ET: AK (R)

[2016]

We will have EXIT POLLS but only from Virginia, North Carolina and California.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

We will have EXIT POLLS but only from Virginia, North Carolina and California.

Boooo!!

[Illiniwek]

Oh man, its really Super Tuesday?

[Vern]

I voted for Haley. But I voted early.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

If Haley gets 100+ delegates today, is this considered a "victory" for her?

[Eraserhead]

We will have EXIT POLLS but only from Virginia, North Carolina and California.

Eh, better than nothing I guess.

[Whale Psychiatrist]

Am I the only one not even planning to watch results tonight? Maybe I'll tune in if Haley suspends her campaign, I figured I'd have had to change my display name by now anyway.

[Senator Incitatus]

Looking to see which states outside California and New England Biden keeps pace in turnout.

[emailking]

Am I the only one not even planning to watch results tonight? Maybe I'll tune in if Haley suspends her campaign, I figured I'd have had to change my display name by now anyway.

I'm going to check in periodically on TV and will refresh this thread once in a while, while watching movies. On a normal Super T I concentrate on just that but this is going to be a really boring Super T, lol.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Phillips said today he might be out soon:

Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota, a long-shot Democratic presidential candidate, just voted (for himself) at a church in Plymouth, Minn.

Phillips, who has yet to capture a single delegate and is almost certain to lose his home state today, hinted that his time in the race may be coming to an end, saying that he would be “making some decisions over the coming days.”

He added, “I recognize I’m not winning a lot of delegates and probably won’t win any states” but he argued that his campaign had been successful nonetheless. “I got people talking,” he said. “I got people participating.”

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/03/05/us/super-tuesday-election-updates

[Dwarven Dragon]

If Haley gets 100+ delegates today, is this considered a "victory" for her?

Yes, because that likely means she's winning VT

[2016]

We will have EXIT POLLS but only from Virginia, North Carolina and California.

Eh, better than nothing I guess.

I would have loved to see a Texas Exit Poll but I guess they don't view the TX Dem Senate Primary as competitive. I also would have loved one from Colorado.

I agree with NC, VA, CA.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

CA and IL primary are very important

[Eraserhead]

Phillips said today he might be out soon:

Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota, a long-shot Democratic presidential candidate, just voted (for himself) at a church in Plymouth, Minn.

Phillips, who has yet to capture a single delegate and is almost certain to lose his home state today, hinted that his time in the race may be coming to an end, saying that he would be “making some decisions over the coming days.”

He added, “I recognize I’m not winning a lot of delegates and probably won’t win any states” but he argued that his campaign had been successful nonetheless. “I got people talking,” he said. “I got people participating.”

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/03/05/us/super-tuesday-election-updates

I wonder if he'll leave and then rejoin the race like Willamson did.

[2016]

Nikki Haleys presence in the GOP Presidential Primary has already massive Down Ballot Consequences:

While Ohio doesn't vote on ST a new Poll shows Matt Dolan surging just like he did in 2022 and if Haley would stay in until March 19 that might Dolan with enough of a boost to beat Trump endorsed Bernie Moreno.

A Dolan Victory would almost automatically flip the Ohio Senate Race. Dolan would do Circles around Sherrod Brown.

[Mopsus]

Oh man, its really Super Tuesday?

“Super” is a giant overstatement.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Oh man, its really Super Tuesday?

“Super” is a giant overstatement.

It's more like "Sleeper" this year.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Phillips said today he might be out soon:

Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota, a long-shot Democratic presidential candidate, just voted (for himself) at a church in Plymouth, Minn.

Phillips, who has yet to capture a single delegate and is almost certain to lose his home state today, hinted that his time in the race may be coming to an end, saying that he would be “making some decisions over the coming days.”

He added, “I recognize I’m not winning a lot of delegates and probably won’t win any states” but he argued that his campaign had been successful nonetheless. “I got people talking,” he said. “I got people participating.”

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/03/05/us/super-tuesday-election-updates

I wonder if he'll leave and then rejoin the race like Willamson did.

Speaking of Williamson: https://www.theonion.com/marianne-williamson-successfully-primaries-biden-in-all-1851298077

[Eraserhead]

Does Phillips beat Williamson anywhere today other than Minnesota?

[Dwarven Dragon]

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/05/us/elections/results-texas-primary.html

NYT page. That is Texas and you can easily navigate to the other pages from there.

DDNN will be calling both sides Presidential primaries AFTER ALL POLLS have closed in a given state.

[Harlow]

Just voted here in MA. I was the only one at my precinct at time of voting, lol.

[Whale Psychiatrist]

Oh man, its really Super Tuesday?

“Super” is a giant overstatement.

It's more like "Sleeper" this year.

I prefer Stupor Tuesday myself

[Arizona Iced Tea]

What do you guys think the 2020 electorate is in each Republican primary?

I think every state will obviously have a Trump electorate except Vermont and maybe Massachusetts or Virginia.