Who wins Miami-Dade?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 10, 2025, 10:53:21 AM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  Who wins Miami-Dade?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who wins Miami-Dade County?
#1
Biden		  
#2
Trump		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 69

Author Topic: Who wins Miami-Dade?  (Read 996 times)
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,928
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 01, 2024, 02:38:32 PM »
Who wins Miami-Dade County in 2024?
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2024, 02:41:39 PM »
I'm almost more curious about Palm Beach.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,520


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2024, 02:54:22 PM »
Tilt R. Black turnout should be better than 2022, but it also showed sign of another decent rightwards shift among Cubans which would do Biden in. Biden and Dems generally seem likely to bail on the state generally, and local R machine is like 1000 times better than local Dem machine. I also think there’s a lot of self-sorting going in where Miami attracts people predisposed to Conservative politics.
Logged
Raccoon
jamespol
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,351


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2024, 03:10:29 PM »
Tilt R.

While I still am attracted to south american men and would want to GRAB on many of them.. I am not very optimistic about their political trends.. and that is before we even account for cubans.

The Spanish Language media I listened to from Miami is not making me optimistic for Democrats.

But it will NOT be a DeSantis blow out either.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,632
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2024, 03:21:33 PM »
Biden, but very narrowly. Actually could go either way, especially if Democrats cede Florida.
Logged
Raccoon
jamespol
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,351


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2024, 03:35:48 PM »
omg i loved miami dade..

warm and humid

great nature...

and other reasons.
Logged
Duke 🇺🇸
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,232


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2024, 03:36:33 PM »
How many times are we going to ask this question?
Logged
Rhode Islander First, American Second
freethinkingindy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,078
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2024, 08:41:23 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on March 01, 2024, 02:41:39 PM
I'm almost more curious about Palm Beach.

This says it all.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,849


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2024, 08:47:45 PM »
Agreed! Folks being more about Palm Beach then Miami-Dade speaks volumes. Look, it's not gonna be like 2022 but I still think Trump can win Miami-Dade.
And I think Trump can win the State of FL by double digits especially if Bidens Support among Blacks stays as soft.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,520


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 02, 2024, 01:24:56 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on March 01, 2024, 08:47:45 PM
Agreed! Folks being more about Palm Beach then Miami-Dade speaks volumes. Look, it's not gonna be like 2022 but I still think Trump can win Miami-Dade.
And I think Trump can win the State of FL by double digits especially if Bidens Support among Blacks stays as soft.

Biden should do fine in Palm Beach imo. Even Demmings won it as she lost by 17% statewide and Palm Beach generally has demographics that Biden is doing fine with like older liberal Seniors. Could swing right due to Dems pulling out of FL and R favorable growth patterns, but 13% is still a decently large gap to close. Lean if not Likely D.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,816
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 02, 2024, 03:20:38 PM »
Pure tossup, will be in single digits no matter what.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,849


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 04, 2024, 06:09:30 PM »
Democrats will have a monumental bad Night on November 5th in Florida


Republicans are now 854,000 Registered Voters ahead of Democrats.

A TSUNAMI WAVE is going to sweep over Florida on Nov 5.
Logged
インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 51,844
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 04, 2024, 07:06:39 PM »
Biden but by a tiny margin.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,479


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 04, 2024, 07:13:12 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on March 02, 2024, 01:24:56 AM
Quote from: 2016 on March 01, 2024, 08:47:45 PM
Agreed! Folks being more about Palm Beach then Miami-Dade speaks volumes. Look, it's not gonna be like 2022 but I still think Trump can win Miami-Dade.
And I think Trump can win the State of FL by double digits especially if Bidens Support among Blacks stays as soft.

Biden should do fine in Palm Beach imo. Even Demmings won it as she lost by 17% statewide and Palm Beach generally has demographics that Biden is doing fine with like older liberal Seniors. Could swing right due to Dems pulling out of FL and R favorable growth patterns, but 13% is still a decently large gap to close. Lean if not Likely D.

Isn't a huge chunk of Palm Beach's older white population Jewish?  Older Jewish snowbirds seem like a demographic that could have big swings over Israel.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,849


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 04, 2024, 07:32:36 PM »
Quote from: 15 Down, 35 To Go on March 04, 2024, 07:13:12 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on March 02, 2024, 01:24:56 AM
Quote from: 2016 on March 01, 2024, 08:47:45 PM
Agreed! Folks being more about Palm Beach then Miami-Dade speaks volumes. Look, it's not gonna be like 2022 but I still think Trump can win Miami-Dade.
And I think Trump can win the State of FL by double digits especially if Bidens Support among Blacks stays as soft.

Biden should do fine in Palm Beach imo. Even Demmings won it as she lost by 17% statewide and Palm Beach generally has demographics that Biden is doing fine with like older liberal Seniors. Could swing right due to Dems pulling out of FL and R favorable growth patterns, but 13% is still a decently large gap to close. Lean if not Likely D.

Isn't a huge chunk of Palm Beach's older white population Jewish?  Older Jewish snowbirds seem like a demographic that could have big swings over Israel.
Republicans are quite smart in Florida: It looks like they are going to target both Rep. Darren Soto (FL-8) and Rep. Jared Moskowitz (FL-23). Both are potential Statewide Candidates so if they manage to take them out Florida D's are really done.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,849


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 04, 2024, 07:44:51 PM »


Gentle remainder to Olowakandi + all the partisan hacks here: During the 2016 & 2020 Election Cycles we had 3 Times as many Florida Polls matching up Trump vs Clinton and Trump vs Biden. This is clearly an Indicator that the formerly Swing State is not a Battleground State anymore.

The Hill/DecisionDeskHQ has Trump ahead by 9 Points on Average.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,849


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 04, 2024, 07:52:35 PM »
Florida State Party Chairwoman Nikki Fried has suspended Miami-Dade County Democratic Party Chair Robert Dempster



Folks, wipeout incoming!
Logged
Kevin Graham
Patrick97
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,962
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 04, 2024, 08:47:26 PM »
Girl we get yall got Florida
Logged
It's Time.
Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,371
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 04, 2024, 08:55:19 PM »
Safe R. Florida is becoming the hub of the GOP. Democrats have overestimated themselves in every FL election in the last 10 years, and I see no reason for that not to continue. At this point even beating Crist/Demings 44-45% vote share would be better than I expect.
Logged
Steve from Lambeth
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,866
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: March 04, 2024, 09:26:00 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on March 04, 2024, 07:44:51 PM
Gentle remainder to Olowakandi + all the partisan hacks here: During the 2016 & 2020 Election Cycles we had 3 Times as many Florida Polls matching up Trump vs Clinton and Trump vs Biden. This is clearly an Indicator that the formerly Swing State is not a Battleground State anymore.

The Hill/DecisionDeskHQ has Trump ahead by 9 Points on Average.
olawakandi is Talk Elections' number one enemy of polling.
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,815
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: March 04, 2024, 09:37:57 PM »
TX is in play not FL
Logged
Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,972
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: March 04, 2024, 10:06:50 PM »
Safe R. Florida in general is quickly becoming a self-sorting Republican vote sink at the expense of other states.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.05 seconds with 11 queries.