The pre-Super Tuesday contests thread
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #225 on: March 04, 2024, 09:29:59 PM »

With 18% in, Trump is at 85%. That makes it very likely he will beat the 60% threshold to sweep the dels (29).
Turnout is very pathetic in ND. Only 2,000 Votes Cast. They will barely beat D.C. Even Idaho had more Turnout.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #226 on: March 04, 2024, 09:40:30 PM »

Grand Forks caucus site looks weakest for Trump per NYT. (81-19 Trump vs Haley--- 176 TVs).

Interestingly enough Haley is doing a bit better in Bismarck than I might have expected (81-17 Trump > Haley) ---- 448 TVs).

Most of these are almost all in per NYT...

Suspect Haley will do better in Fargo than either of the two above.

My memory of Minot is a bit ancient so I'll pass on that one...
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emailking
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« Reply #227 on: March 04, 2024, 09:47:35 PM »

Vote's basically in and Donny won 85 to 14.
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ralstonfan65
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« Reply #228 on: March 04, 2024, 09:50:47 PM »

Turnout was a complete joke, though I guess given that there were very few caucus sites that isn't too surprising.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #229 on: March 04, 2024, 09:56:02 PM »

Turnout was a complete joke, though I guess given that there were very few caucus sites that isn't too surprising.
Who would have thought ND having less Turnout then D.C? That wasn't on my bingo card.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #230 on: March 04, 2024, 09:58:59 PM »

Turnout was a complete joke, though I guess given that there were very few caucus sites that isn't too surprising.
Who would have thought ND having less Turnout then D.C? That wasn't on my bingo card.
Neither was it on mine.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #231 on: March 04, 2024, 10:09:58 PM »

Turnout was a complete joke, though I guess given that there were very few caucus sites that isn't too surprising.
Who would have thought ND having less Turnout then D.C? That wasn't on my bingo card.
Neither was it on mine.

Not too big of a shock, though. The population of ND isn’t much higher than DC, but it makes sense that DC would have more politically engaged people.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #232 on: March 04, 2024, 10:20:57 PM »

Turnout was a complete joke, though I guess given that there were very few caucus sites that isn't too surprising.
Who would have thought ND having less Turnout then D.C? That wasn't on my bingo card.
Neither was it on mine.

Not too big of a shock, though. The population of ND isn’t much higher than DC, but it makes sense that DC would have more politically engaged people.
True, but North Dakota is more Republican.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #233 on: March 04, 2024, 10:25:06 PM »

Fargo is officially Trump's worst caucus site thus far, although I would imagine Haley might do better among provisional's.

(80-19 Trump)--- 437 TVs.

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falling apart like the ashes of American flags
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« Reply #234 on: March 04, 2024, 10:49:15 PM »

Ah, I see people here are now discovering the low level of services in North Dakota. Here's a fun fact, there used to be a grand total of four DMVs in the state that are open 5 days a week (the ones in Fargo, Bismarck, Grand Forks, and Minot of course), the others shared staff so there'll be things like being open 3-4 days a week one week and then a lower the next or even just 1-2 days a week in some remote areas with the staff being shuffled around...also things like post offices that are open like 2 hours a day. The DMV accessibility was at least expanded in the last couple years.

There's supposed to be one site for every legislative district in the state but with that reporting I doubt even that's true in some rural areas. Also the lack of any Mandan sites means they probably had to meet in Bismarck even though Mandan is its own LD. Kind of a joke in general.
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Trump v. Wong Kim Ark
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #235 on: March 04, 2024, 11:29:32 PM »

There is one more contest before Super Tuesday tomorrow.

North Dakota will holds its Caucuses today and Results should be coming in after 6pm ET

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/04/us/elections/results-north-dakota-republican-caucus.html

I hope that the ND GOP figures out how to use counties for their results, unlike the Dems there in 2016.
Let's hope.

Well, so much for that.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #236 on: March 04, 2024, 11:35:30 PM »

There is one more contest before Super Tuesday tomorrow.

North Dakota will holds its Caucuses today and Results should be coming in after 6pm ET

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/04/us/elections/results-north-dakota-republican-caucus.html

I hope that the ND GOP figures out how to use counties for their results, unlike the Dems there in 2016.
Let's hope.

Well, so much for that.
Disappointing. We should curb our enthusiasm in the future.
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BRTD
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« Reply #237 on: March 05, 2024, 11:53:39 AM »

County-based caucuses wouldn't make any sense considering how small and remote some of those counties are, look at Slope County's demographics. Even in an election a lot of rural counties would require some people to drive as far as 10 miles to a voting place. Hence why a majority of North Dakota's counties (although not population) are vote by mail only now in a standard primary and general election.
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Don't blame me I voted for Harris
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« Reply #238 on: March 05, 2024, 06:48:48 PM »

I don’t think she’ll pull it off, but if Haley replicates the same polling error that we’ve seen in every contest so far, she’ll take Virginia.
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