2008 Voter Turnout

[frihetsivrare]

It depends on the candidates.  If Clinton and Giuliani are the nominees and no third party breaks 2% of the vote, about 100 people will vote.  My wish is that the number of voters for president will be down in the 35-45% range.  That is IF those are the nominees.  Not voting sends a stronger message than voting for an establishment candidate, or writing in people who are either moderately bad dictators or dead.

If Ron Paul is the nominee of the Republican Party, voter turnout will be at the very least 140 million.  He would win the votes of the vast majority of those who did not vote in 2004 or the 2006 midterms.  At least 90%.  Many of these people don't vote because they don't see enough of a difference between the corporate parties.

As I stated in one of my predictions, third parties will probably have an impact.  Two or more parties will combine for at least 10% of the vote, all coming from new voters.  That will not push it to 140 million, but to at least 130.