MI-07 and MI-08
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  MI-07 and MI-08
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Poll
Question: Who wins these districts?
#1
Biden wins them both
 
#2
Biden wins MI-07, Trump MI-08
 
#3
Trump wins MI-07, Biden MI-08
 
#4
Trump wins them Both
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 17

Author Topic: MI-07 and MI-08  (Read 356 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: February 04, 2024, 12:00:08 AM »

Two narrow Biden 2020 districts in Michigan. Who wins them in 2024?
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oldtimer
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2024, 07:11:18 AM »

If the polls are correct Trump ought to win them both.

Trump did carry MI-07 in 2016 anyway.

And Biden won MI-08 by less than the state.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2024, 07:06:02 PM »

Trump could win them while Democratic candidates in the House do as well.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2024, 07:39:52 PM »

Trump wins MI-08, which has a far more working class and minority presence. MI-07 is more suburban and college educated, but also still right of the state. If Trump carries Michigan he likely takes both.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2024, 09:00:25 PM »

Trump wins MI-08, which has a far more working class and minority presence. MI-07 is more suburban and college educated, but also still right of the state. If Trump carries Michigan he likely takes both.

Another factor to consider in MI-08 is Flint and Saginaw's relatively fast depopulation, especially in black communities.

I think MI-07 probably votes closely inline with the state.

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Devils30
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« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2024, 09:19:29 PM »

Trump wins MI-08, which has a far more working class and minority presence. MI-07 is more suburban and college educated, but also still right of the state. If Trump carries Michigan he likely takes both.

I think MI-8 for Trump more likely. The open house race should be interesting too, seat is usually more Dem downballot so 51-49 R for President and 51-49 D for Congress can’t be ruled out.
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CheapDollarEra?
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« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2024, 09:26:38 PM »

Biden should focus on the oth district areas. Some union voters there may replace the arab lost votes.
7th seems like a democrat trending area.
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