Could Trump get at least 1/3 of popular vote in all 50 states?
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  Could Trump get at least 1/3 of popular vote in all 50 states?
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Author Topic: Could Trump get at least 1/3 of popular vote in all 50 states?  (Read 403 times)
mileslunn
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« on: February 03, 2024, 09:49:26 PM »

Last time GOP got over 1/3 in all 50 states was 2004.  Since then usually only a few states below 1/3 but I do think there is a possibility Trump does.  Admittedly Vermont will probably be the toughest but not impossible.  California, Hawaii, Massachusetts, and Maryland only others he might fall short but good chance gets over in those.  Remaining 45 states pretty much certain he gets above 1/3
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Compuzled_One
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« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2024, 03:41:01 PM »

I think if a bunch of stuff goes wrong for Biden, Trump might.
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Utilitarian Governance
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« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2024, 11:27:57 PM »

Almost certainly as he was pretty close to doing that in 2020. If things go catastrophically for Biden, he might even get 40 in every state.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2024, 11:59:21 PM »

Lean no. VT, MA, and MD all have dreadful shifts for the GOP in recent years and good chance they swing left again in 2024 even if Trump is improving nationally (as MA and MD did in 2016)
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mileslunn
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« Reply #4 on: February 06, 2024, 02:22:40 AM »

Almost certainly as he was pretty close to doing that in 2020. If things go catastrophically for Biden, he might even get 40 in every state.

California, Vermont, Massachusetts, and Maryland I am pretty certain Trump will not crack 40% in as number who dislike GOP too high to realistically happen.  Hawaii having a more swingy electorate I think is possible albeit very unlikely.  New York is very possible considering midterms although no guarantee.  Washington, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Delaware Trump fell just shy so while no guarantee gets over 40% in all four mentioned, I would be shocked if he doesn't cross 40% in threshold in at least one of those four.
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MarkD
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« Reply #5 on: February 06, 2024, 08:57:19 PM »

The answer to "all 50 states" is no, because he certainly won't get 1/3 in Vermont or Massachusetts.

I wonder if he'll claim, again, that he WON all 50 states.
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