Will all states that flip go in same direction?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 10, 2025, 10:53:49 AM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  Will all states that flip go in same direction?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Will all states that flip go in same direction?  (Read 316 times)
mileslunn
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,838
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 02, 2024, 02:09:49 AM »
Since 2008, any state changes have all been in same direction:

2008: 9 Democrat gains

2012: 2 GOP gains

2016: 6 GOP gains

2020: 5 Democrat gains

Last time you had states go in opposite direction was 2004 in which you had one Democrat pick up (New Hampshire) and two GOP pick ups (Iowa and New Mexico) so how likely do you think it is we have what happened in 2004 where both Biden and Trump gain at least one state they didn't win in 2020?
Logged
Trump v. Wong Kim Ark
Fubart Solman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,647
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 02, 2024, 02:19:53 AM »
North Carolina is the one possible sticking point for Trump. I could see him flipping other states and losing NC. Idk about Biden; I can’t immediately think of states that would flip to Trump while Biden flipped another state.

I could obviously see Biden losing states while still winning the election, but that’s not the question asked of course.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,134
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 02, 2024, 09:48:16 AM »
Yes. Trump will gain at least a state or 2. I have him at worst winning NV, GA and Biden holding the others.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 9 queries.