Trump 2024 Campaign Senior Adviser Brian Hughes: Trump could win FL by up to 13 Points

[2016]

https://flvoicenews.com/donald-trumps-campaign-not-taking-florida-for-granted-how-much-the-data-says-he-can-win-by/

He is certainly going to win by more than in 2020. If Historical Trends & Stats match up Trump will win the State between 7 and 13 Points, 7 is on the lower side of things.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I think 13 is too high, but around 6-8 seems like a fair range.

[President Johnson]

I think 13 is too high, but around 6-8 seems like a fair range.

Agreed, my estimate would be around 53-44% as of today.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Trump will win Florida bigly, but probably not by this much. I think the abortion referendum on the ballot prevents this kind of landslide.

My prediction is Trump+9.

[🥥🌴]

between 7 and 13 seems fair, esp with current polling.

[TDAS04]

No, I don't think Florida's margin will be double digits. It's not impossible, but the last time that happened for either party was 1988, and I don't think it will happen just yet. Bill Clinton's 1996 6-point win in Florida was the top performance of any presidential candidate since Dukakis got crushed. Trump could still surpass Clinton's win in Florida the with a 7-9% point margin in the state (which I think is most likely).

[2016]

Trump will win Florida bigly, but probably not by this much. I think the abortion referendum on the ballot prevents this kind of landslide.

My prediction is Trump+9.

The Abortion Referendum is challenged before the Florida Supreme Court with DeSantis having appointed 5 of the 7 Justices.

The Florida Supreme Court will hear Oral Arguments next week on this.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

I think Trump probably wins the state between 9-11 %, not as high as 13 % but not as low as 7 % either, especially with the turnout machine in the state the FLGOP seems to be building while the FLDems are completely flopping. The real question is can Rick Scott can his first race by more than 1.2 % for the first time.