Nevada Primary/Caucus (Feb. 6/8) Megathread

[Arizona Iced Tea]

It looks like R primary + caucus will narrowly beat out the Dem primary in terms of total ballots.

[Trump v. Wong Kim Ark]

Well that was a farce. Good job Nevada Republicans for coming up with such a stupid system. Haley obviously still would’ve lost, but it’s rather insulting how this election was conducted. And that goes for other states that used primaries and caucuses in the past too.

[Birdish]

It looks like R primary + caucus will narrowly beat out the Dem primary in terms of total ballots.

That doesn't seem like a great comparison since I assume voters could participate in both. 

[Annatar]

Its been 3 days and NV still hasn't counted all the votes cast in the primary despite turnout being a fraction of what it will be in the presidential election. How long will it take them to count votes in November.

[bilaps]

Its been 3 days and NV still hasn't counted all the votes cast in the primary despite turnout being a fraction of what it will be in the presidential election. How long will it take them to count votes in November.

As long as it takes for outcome they prefer.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Expected Trump to get 85%-90%.. but its evidence of a superb campaign operation that there was zero slippage to Binkley. 

[wbrocks67]

It looks like R primary + caucus will narrowly beat out the Dem primary in terms of total ballots.

That doesn't seem like a great comparison since I assume voters could participate in both. 

Honestly which makes it even worse. Right now, we're sitting at about 140K on the GOP side and 126K on the Dem side, but Dems still have a decent chunk missing (NYT remains at 89%). You'd think it would be a bit of a red flag that with IA and NV now having really meh turnout for the GOP and Dems nearly or at their numbers with a completely uncontested primary...

[wbrocks67]

Its been 3 days and NV still hasn't counted all the votes cast in the primary despite turnout being a fraction of what it will be in the presidential election. How long will it take them to count votes in November.

Yeah, this is where I'm at. It's Friday, now 3 days after the election, and Dems are still sitting at 89%. Washoe at 72%. This is ridiculous.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Could they be waiting for signature curing on some ballots?

[wbrocks67]

Could they be waiting for signature curing on some ballots?

Possibly - but Washoe also still seems to have too much out for that to be the case. 90% would signal that to me but 72%? NYT could also just be bad at updating, but it also is troubling to me that if they are waiting for some more ballots to cure, then someone at NV SOS should say that. I get these races are inconsequential, but it's just a bad look when we're talking about <150K ballots statewide and they're not even counted in 4 days.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Guys, the team responsible for the NYT results is just bad at reporting:

In fact, about 99% of the vote is counted in Nevada in both primaries.

There are only 1.500 ballots left to cure (not all of them will be) in the D primary, and a similar amount in the R primary ... and a few provisional ballots.

The NYT is just being absurd in thinking only 85% is counted.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Its been 3 days and NV still hasn't counted all the votes cast in the primary despite turnout being a fraction of what it will be in the presidential election. How long will it take them to count votes in November.

Yeah, this is where I'm at. It's Friday, now 3 days after the election, and Dems are still sitting at 89%. Washoe at 72%. This is ridiculous.

Ignore those percentages from NYT, almost everything is counted.

[wbrocks67]

NV SOS has this:

DEM: 129,323
Biden - 89.4% (115,574)
None of these - 5.6% (7,183)
Williamson - 3.0% (3,887)

REP: 76,675
None of these - 63.3% (48,500)
Haley - 30.6% (23,475)
Pence - 3.9% (2,960)

So I assume Dems will top out around 130k, just narrowly missing SC's turnout for biggest this cycle. Funny how Dem turnout (in raw #s) has been so consistent - 124K in NH, 131K in SC, 130K in NV.

Also means Reps will end up around ~137,000 for total NV turnout between caucus and primary, which is incredibly low turnout compared to Dems 130k, and given that I'm sure there were a good amount of voters who voted in both.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

NV SOS has this:

DEM: 129,323
Biden - 89.4% (115,574)
None of these - 5.6% (7,183)
Williamson - 3.0% (3,887)

REP: 76,675
None of these - 63.3% (48,500)
Haley - 30.6% (23,475)
Pence - 3.9% (2,960)

So I assume Dems will top out around 130k, just narrowly missing SC's turnout for biggest this cycle. Funny how Dem turnout (in raw #s) has been so consistent - 124K in NH, 131K in SC, 130K in NV.

Also means Reps will end up around ~137,000 for total NV turnout between caucus and primary, which is incredibly low turnout compared to Dems 130k, and given that I'm sure there were a good amount of voters who voted in both.

134.000 D ballots have been accepted for counting:

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showpublisheddocument/12998/638430703279930000

This would suggest that 95%+ of the vote had been counted until yesterday.

And a lot of signature cures won't happen and provisional ballots won't be accepted, so it's closer to 98-99% in.