Iowa GOP Caucus (January 15) Megathread - Predictions, Turnout, Results, Etc.

[Dwarven Dragon]

DDNN PROJECTION: Vivek will finish in 4TH, Binkley will finish in 5TH

[Ferguson97]

Deeply unserious state.

https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1747074884566450662

[Alben Barkley]

It seems like a lot of people think the GOP caucus is like the Democratic one. It’s much closer to a primary. There’s a secret ballot; voters aren’t gathering in groups and then reallocating.

I know but it's still dumb to have prayers/speeches before the voting and then count everything by hanhd.

[Averroës]

Seeing a lot of tweets that it was very unethical for networks to call race while people are still actively caucusing

People shouldn't be using their phones during the caucus.

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

DeSantis back into second with an update from Lyon County.

[NOVA Green]

CNN has DeSantis in the lead in Sioux County in the northwest.

Didn't see that CNN one... if so could indicate Trump underperforming a bit in the NW IA "Bible Belt".

[Alben Barkley]

Trump beating Ramaswamy among those who say Trump is unfit to be president, lmao.

Remember there was a moment people took that clown seriously?

[NOVA Green]

In the official count so far, Haley is in 2nd, but in the caucus sites CNN is featuring, DeSantis is 2nd. Could easily end either way.

There are a *lot* of rural counties with no votes reported yet, and I would assume DeSantis will do better than Haley in those. The question is by how much, and can it offset her doing better in places like Des Moines and its suburbs.

Should be noted that Trump's % numbers could drop a bit more in Polk and Linn counties.

[Mexican Wolf]

CNN has DeSantis in the lead in Sioux County in the northwest.

Didn't see that CNN one... if so could indicate Trump underperforming a bit in the NW IA "Bible Belt".

It's a fairly narrow lead (7% and 23 votes over Trump), so it could flip over to Trump in later updates, but it's interesting nonetheless.

[Dwarven Dragon]

Donald J. Trump
1,686    +53.2%53.2%
No delegates—
Ron DeSantis
616    +19.5%19.5
No delegates—
Nikki Haley
581    +18.3%18.3
No delegates—
Vivek Ramaswamy
252    +8.0%8.0
No delegates—
Ryan Binkley
21    +0.7%0.7
No delegates—
Asa Hutchinson
5    +0.2%0.2
No delegates—
Chris Christie
3    +0.1%0.1
No delegates—
Other
3    +0.1%0.1
No delegates—

[South Dakota Democrat]

Trump beating Ramaswamy among those who say Trump is unfit to be president, lmao.

Remember there was a moment people took that clown seriously?

No, I don't remember that.

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

Trump beating Ramaswamy among those who say Trump is unfit to be president, lmao.

Remember there was a moment people took that clown seriously?

You're going to need to be more specific about the clown you are referring to, given that the entire primary is a circus.

[Alben Barkley]

Holy s--t. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the f--king f--k is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a f--king breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want DeSantis to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot f--king deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Iowa? This is so f--ked.

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1747078440010809647

Yeah that makes sense

[Roll Roons]

CNN has DeSantis in the lead in Sioux County in the northwest.

Didn't see that CNN one... if so could indicate Trump underperforming a bit in the NW IA "Bible Belt".

It's a fairly narrow lead (7% and 23 votes over Trump), so it could flip over to Trump in later updates, but it's interesting nonetheless.

Another dump from Lyon County (furthest northwest in the state) has Trump only up by 8 over DeSantis. I guess the Vanderplaats endorsement did sway a decent number of voters.

[NOVA Green]

Trump down to 44% in Polk County could indicate something, depending upon which precincts have reported...

[Ferguson97]

Lmao

https://twitter.com/NapervillePol/status/1747078484407533847

[Flo 2.0]

Steve Kornacki is trying his hardest to make this interesting but it just isn't lol. Think I might go back to watching the Eagles lose.

man, it makes me so sad that they started off the season so strong, pretty much clinching the playoffs in the middle of the season, and they just follow that by losing almost every single game since then  

[Tekken_Guy]

Holy s--t. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the f--king f--k is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a f--king breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want DeSantis to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot f--king deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Iowa? This is so f--ked.

Is this supposed to be a joke? Did you seriously expect DeSantis to be competitive in Iowa?

[Mexican Wolf]

Trump is at 49% on CNN with 4% reporting. Obviously, a win's a win, but how mad will he be if he's under 50% by the end?

[Mexican Wolf]

Holy s--t. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the f--king f--k is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a f--king breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want DeSantis to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot f--king deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Iowa? This is so f--ked.

Is this supposed to be a joke? Did you seriously expect DeSantis to be competitive in Iowa?

It's a meme.

[Tekken_Guy]

Holy s--t. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the f--king f--k is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a f--king breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want DeSantis to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot f--king deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Iowa? This is so f--ked.

Is this supposed to be a joke? Did you seriously expect DeSantis to be competitive in Iowa?

It's a meme.

What’s it from?

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

Holy s--t. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the f--king f--k is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a f--king breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want DeSantis to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot f--king deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Iowa? This is so f--ked.

Is this supposed to be a joke? Did you seriously expect DeSantis to be competitive in Iowa?

It's a meme.

It's an older meme, sir, but it checks out.

[Alben Barkley]

Holy s--t. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the f--king f--k is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a f--king breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want DeSantis to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot f--king deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Iowa? This is so f--ked.

Is this supposed to be a joke? Did you seriously expect DeSantis to be competitive in Iowa?

It's a meme.

What’s it from?

Oldie from the 2016 primaries, was originally about Bernie.

[Alben Barkley]

Holy s--t. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the f--king f--k is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a f--king breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want DeSantis to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot f--king deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Iowa? This is so f--ked.

Is this supposed to be a joke? Did you seriously expect DeSantis to be competitive in Iowa?

It's a meme.

It's an older meme, sir, but it checks out.

The best part is that in itself is an older meme that checks out now.