United Kingdom General Election: July 4, 2024
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Author Topic: United Kingdom General Election: July 4, 2024  (Read 71015 times)
YL
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« Reply #675 on: May 22, 2024, 04:54:23 PM »
Quote from: WD on May 22, 2024, 04:50:43 PM
Would kill to see what’s being said in the WhatsApp group chats right now.

Their track record at leaking suggests you probably won't have to.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #676 on: May 22, 2024, 04:55:42 PM »
Quote from: MABA 2020 on May 22, 2024, 04:50:32 PM
Quote from: Pres Mike on May 22, 2024, 04:09:06 PM
What made Sunak decide to have a July election?

He's bad at politics and incredibly arrogant

More specifically - he apparently saw the rate of inflation has slightly slowed, and in his mind he thought "we're turning it around! Let's seize the momentum!"

Very dumb decision
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Duke of York
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« Reply #677 on: May 22, 2024, 05:05:13 PM »
Quote from: LabourJersey on May 22, 2024, 04:55:42 PM
Quote from: MABA 2020 on May 22, 2024, 04:50:32 PM
Quote from: Pres Mike on May 22, 2024, 04:09:06 PM
What made Sunak decide to have a July election?

He's bad at politics and incredibly arrogant

More specifically - he apparently saw the rate of inflation has slightly slowed, and in his mind he thought "we're turning it around! Let's seize the momentum!"

Very dumb decision
He should have waited to the fall to call the election. By doing it now it guarantees a Labour win.
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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #678 on: May 22, 2024, 05:08:52 PM »
Quote from: Blair on May 22, 2024, 11:52:35 AM
I wonder what the Tories learnt from their local election data

They quite possibly actually swallowed the "hung parliament" kool-aid.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #679 on: May 22, 2024, 05:08:57 PM »
Quote from: Duke of York on May 22, 2024, 05:05:13 PM
Quote from: LabourJersey on May 22, 2024, 04:55:42 PM
Quote from: MABA 2020 on May 22, 2024, 04:50:32 PM
Quote from: Pres Mike on May 22, 2024, 04:09:06 PM
What made Sunak decide to have a July election?

He's bad at politics and incredibly arrogant

More specifically - he apparently saw the rate of inflation has slightly slowed, and in his mind he thought "we're turning it around! Let's seize the momentum!"

Very dumb decision
He should have waited to the fall to call the election. By doing it now it guarantees a Labour win.

I mean, practically any time would "guarantee" a Labour win at this rate. But this timing is particularly dumb.
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warandwar
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« Reply #680 on: May 22, 2024, 05:18:46 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 22, 2024, 03:43:43 PM


Selections are going to come fast now. Here's the Lib-Dems choosing someone asap for a target seat. And Corbyns former seat becomes even more of a stitch-up:



How many seats has Paul Mason failed to be selected in at this point?
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Thomas D
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« Reply #681 on: May 22, 2024, 05:20:45 PM »


Only 4 times??
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Benjamin Frank 2.0
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« Reply #682 on: May 22, 2024, 05:25:19 PM »
Quote from: warandwar on May 22, 2024, 05:18:46 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 22, 2024, 03:43:43 PM

Selections are going to come fast now. Here's the Lib-Dems choosing someone asap for a target seat. And Corbyns former seat becomes even more of a stitch-up:



How many seats has Paul Mason failed to be selected in at this point?

The great British comedian Tony Hancock was from East Cheam.
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TheTide
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« Reply #683 on: May 22, 2024, 05:32:44 PM »
Reform holding an event tomorrow in which Nigel Farage's role in the campaign will be announced.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #684 on: May 22, 2024, 05:33:51 PM »
Don't you think Sunak looks tired?
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MABA 2020
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« Reply #685 on: May 22, 2024, 05:41:18 PM »

They're thinking Attlee, Wilson and Blair but they're not taking into account Wilsons second term or MacDonald so it would be technically more like the seventh time for Starmer
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #686 on: May 22, 2024, 05:41:35 PM »
Quote from: Thomas D on May 22, 2024, 05:20:45 PM


Only 4 times??

Yeah this is wrong

McDonald: 1924, 1929
Atlee: 1945
Wilson: 1964, 1974
Blair: 1997
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adma
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« Reply #687 on: May 22, 2024, 05:47:32 PM »
You might as well call this the "Sock It To Me" election at this point.  And because Sunak (unlike Nixon) has a British accent like Judy Carne, he got soaked ;-)
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Torrain
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« Reply #688 on: May 22, 2024, 05:53:27 PM »
Quote from: TheTide on May 22, 2024, 05:32:44 PM
Reform holding an event tomorrow in which Nigel Farage's role in the campaign will be announced.

So either supporting from the sidelines (with the occasional rally), or announcing a run in Clacton?
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Duke of York
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« Reply #689 on: May 22, 2024, 05:59:38 PM »
Quote from: warandwar on May 22, 2024, 05:18:46 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 22, 2024, 03:43:43 PM


Selections are going to come fast now. Here's the Lib-Dems choosing someone asap for a target seat. And Corbyns former seat becomes even more of a stitch-up:



How many seats has Paul Mason failed to be selected in at this point?

How are candidates chosen?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #690 on: May 22, 2024, 06:08:17 PM »
Quote from: Duke of York on May 22, 2024, 05:59:38 PM
Quote from: warandwar on May 22, 2024, 05:18:46 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 22, 2024, 03:43:43 PM


Selections are going to come fast now. Here's the Lib-Dems choosing someone asap for a target seat. And Corbyns former seat becomes even more of a stitch-up:



How many seats has Paul Mason failed to be selected in at this point?

How are candidates chosen?

Someone else can give a better, more in depth explanation, but it varies by party and seat. The most simple way is the party just picking their candidate internally. Either internally at the top, or among local party people, depends. That may happen a lot soon if the seat is seen to be a no-win, just to get people in place. The big boys though usually have had the party merely vet and winnow down the potential candidates who apply, and then put the remainder before a vote of the constituency membership.



In terms of candidates currently selected, wikipedia of all places actually has a fairly good consolidated list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candidates_in_the_2024_United_Kingdom_general_election#Candidates_by_constituency
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #691 on: May 22, 2024, 07:56:00 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 22, 2024, 03:43:43 PM


Selections are going to come fast now. Here's the Lib-Dems choosing someone asap for a target seat. And Corbyns former seat becomes even more of a stitch-up:



what's the deadline for selections?
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #692 on: May 22, 2024, 08:45:46 PM »
Quote from: JimJamUK on May 22, 2024, 02:49:30 PM
Quote from: Logical on May 22, 2024, 02:00:21 PM
I wonder if Seb Payne will manage to weasel himself into a safe seat now.
Tory chairman Richard Holden is also sniffing round for a seat. He had a strong claim to stand in the redrawn Bishop Auckland with a 15% Tory majority (much safer than his current seat), but, well, he clearly wants a much safer seat than that given the circumstances.
If he doesn’t hold on he’d still have a decent claim to that safer seat once it surely goes to a by-election. I doubt the local member will want to hang around in parliament after defeat.
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Pericles
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« Reply #693 on: May 22, 2024, 08:54:58 PM »
Where can I find the notional margins for this election's seats, and ideally demographic data by seat too?
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Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins
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« Reply #694 on: May 22, 2024, 09:24:46 PM »
Any idea if their will be any Nationalist and Unionist pacts in Northern Ireland this time?
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #695 on: May 22, 2024, 09:28:47 PM »
Quote from: Pericles on May 22, 2024, 08:54:58 PM
Where can I find the notional margins for this election's seats, and ideally demographic data by seat too?

And going off that, is there one for the previous elections/boundaries?
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Storr
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« Reply #696 on: May 22, 2024, 09:30:49 PM »
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #697 on: May 22, 2024, 09:59:33 PM »
Quote from: Pericles on May 22, 2024, 03:14:31 PM
Sunak being soaked in the rain really sets the mood. What a classic moment.

Tbh, if he'd announce it on another day or moment, he still would be soaked in the rain since that's basically the weather for you in this area summed up for all of 2024
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YL
YorkshireLiberal
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« Reply #698 on: May 22, 2024, 10:04:07 PM »
Quote from: LabourJersey on May 22, 2024, 07:56:00 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 22, 2024, 03:43:43 PM


Selections are going to come fast now. Here's the Lib-Dems choosing someone asap for a target seat. And Corbyns former seat becomes even more of a stitch-up:



what's the deadline for selections?

Nominations close at 4pm on Friday 7 June, so in time for that.
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Dr. Cynic
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« Reply #699 on: May 22, 2024, 10:54:46 PM »
Quote from: LAB-LIB on May 22, 2024, 11:50:56 AM
Starmer looking and sounding like a PM.

I'd hope so, because he's about to be.
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