NY-03 Special Election Megathread
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Author Topic: NY-03 Special Election Megathread  (Read 22084 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #500 on: February 13, 2024, 09:30:10 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on February 13, 2024, 09:29:51 PM
Quote from: Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom on February 13, 2024, 09:27:34 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on February 13, 2024, 09:24:06 PM
Like, this is pretty insane. Zimmerman won Queens by 4, and Biden 19. Suozzi outperforming both of them right now.

God the Twitter commentariat meltdown (*cough* Ettingermentum *cough*) is going to be glorious.

Was he predicting a GOP victory? I muted him a while ago.
On that note do you have SnowLabrador on ignore?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #501 on: February 13, 2024, 09:30:15 PM »
Nassau really taking forever to drop their EV...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #502 on: February 13, 2024, 09:30:17 PM »
NYC Dems rebound!

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Atlas Force
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« Reply #503 on: February 13, 2024, 09:30:23 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on February 13, 2024, 09:22:42 PM
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #504 on: February 13, 2024, 09:30:29 PM »

It was called nearly an hour ago.

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=573465.msg9384581#msg9384581

Anyway this race is long past over. Seems like good news for the Dems. It suggests that polling error may be the main reason why Biden is polling poorly, so Biden still has a good shot of winning in November.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
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« Reply #505 on: February 13, 2024, 09:30:47 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on February 13, 2024, 09:29:20 PM
Well, I'll admit to being wrong this time. I guess there'll be record ticket-splitting in November.

Don't worry, the high-propensity Trump voters in November will flip this seat back to the GOP (and cause Biden to lose in a historic landslide).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #506 on: February 13, 2024, 09:30:55 PM »
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #507 on: February 13, 2024, 09:31:34 PM »
My Dave Wasserman senses are tingling, I can feel a call coming from him very soon.
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Atlas Force
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« Reply #508 on: February 13, 2024, 09:31:34 PM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #509 on: February 13, 2024, 09:32:03 PM »
Getting down to the wire in Queens. 89% in, 24k counted. Suozzi 62-38.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #510 on: February 13, 2024, 09:32:33 PM »
Mystery of Nassau continues... they just added another couple hundred TVs to the total...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #511 on: February 13, 2024, 09:32:41 PM »
Who would've thought Queens would basically entirely report before Nassau did anything
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #512 on: February 13, 2024, 09:33:18 PM »

No, that's just your plagiarism of Wasserman's style. Neither he or anyone else serious has called it.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #513 on: February 13, 2024, 09:33:33 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on February 13, 2024, 09:30:23 PM
Quote from: Atlas Force on February 13, 2024, 09:22:42 PM




Hopefully NYC Dems finally learned their lesson. Not a single vote should be taken for granted.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #514 on: February 13, 2024, 09:35:01 PM »
Gee, who would've thought Democrats organizing and making an effort would continue the party's win streak in elections?

I know it's still early, but come on!
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The Economy is Getting Worse
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« Reply #515 on: February 13, 2024, 09:35:38 PM »
Looks like Suozzi is headed for a comfortable win, but there was expected to be a huge Santos penalty.
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Atlas Force
mlee117379
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« Reply #516 on: February 13, 2024, 09:36:11 PM »
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DrScholl
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« Reply #517 on: February 13, 2024, 09:36:32 PM »
Quote from: NOVA Green on February 13, 2024, 09:27:35 PM
NYT now up to 2.4k TV (52-48 D)... so Benjamin's question still stands where they are getting these numbers from.



They probably are calling the Board of Elections and getting numbers before they are posted. I know that some press outlets do that.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
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« Reply #518 on: February 13, 2024, 09:36:42 PM »
Are we just assuming Nassau will vote for Pilip as a whole or could Suozzi narrowly carry it?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #519 on: February 13, 2024, 09:37:14 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on February 13, 2024, 09:36:11 PM


LMAO
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Duke of York
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« Reply #520 on: February 13, 2024, 09:37:32 PM »
Quote from: Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver on February 13, 2024, 09:36:42 PM
Are we just assuming Nassau will vote for Pilip as a whole or could Suozzi narrowly carry it?
hard to say, He was county executive and a former Congressman who was quite popular. he could win it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #521 on: February 13, 2024, 09:37:46 PM »
Quote from: Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver on February 13, 2024, 09:36:42 PM
Are we just assuming Nassau will vote for Pilip as a whole or could Suozzi narrowly carry it?

It's possible; Santos won it by 10 in 2022.
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ꙮ
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« Reply #522 on: February 13, 2024, 09:38:01 PM »
Suozzi just lost 0.3% in the 10 seconds I was on the NYT results page. If we conservatively assume that was an unlikely fluke, and that he only loses that much every 30 seconds, we can still see that before the end of the night he'll be reduced to ~-25% of the vote. It's over.
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JMT
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« Reply #523 on: February 13, 2024, 09:38:23 PM »
Quote from: Dr Oz Lost Party! on February 13, 2024, 09:31:34 PM
My Dave Wasserman senses are tingling, I can feel a call coming from him very soon.

Yeah wait where is Dave / why hasn’t he tweeted anything tonight?
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Atlas Force
mlee117379
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« Reply #524 on: February 13, 2024, 09:38:54 PM »
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