ElectionBettingOdds: Trump now leads Biden by 10%

[Tekken_Guy]

[Redban]

Biden supporters have to unskew these odds for us by telling us how the oddsmakers are not finding representative samples of Democratic gamblers

[Progressive Pessimist]

The fact that Newsom is on there at all should tell you how seriously to take this.

[Birdish]

Why should I take this website seriously?

[Ferguson97]

Biden supporters have to unskew these odds for us by telling us how the oddsmakers are not finding representative samples of Democratic gamblers

Why do you think that election betting sites are any indicator of how likely it is that a candidate will actually win?

[Tekken_Guy]

Biden supporters have to unskew these odds for us by telling us how the oddsmakers are not finding representative samples of Democratic gamblers

TrUmP hAs A 61% cHaNcE oF lOsInG!

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Respectfully ,betting odds don't mean anything especially this early.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Who cares

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Biden supporters have to unskew these odds for us by telling us how the oddsmakers are not finding representative samples of Democratic gamblers

You keep believing in polls not votes and you will be disappointed next November , Trump is only gonna help the rich not you

[Anti-Penguin Tariff Voter]

As goes the Scottish teens, so goes the nation

[jaichind]

After IA and NH Trump leads Biden 51-37 in terms of odds of being the next Prez.  The derived Electability (odds of winning if nominated) for Biden is 42.4 and for Trump, it is 52.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Who cares Biden is gonna be the next Prez , just wait till voting begins

[PRESIDENT STANTON II]

If the the outcomes of 2018, 2020 and 2022 indicate, Trump and Trumpism is politically toxic and in a general election situation his candidacy is DOA; if anything past experience should inform us, that the chances of Trump's election is highly improbable if downright unlikely. He might be top Dog in Republican world and that's about it. There is a reason why Biden and the Democrats are salivating at the prospect of facing Trump and the election cycles of 2018, 2020 and 2022 should tell us why this is the case.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

It's a predict Pred and the predict has the Bills beating the Chiefa which they never will in the playoffs, it's not real votes

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

betting markets also had Bernie winning every non southern state after the NV primary. they are quite honestly worse than useless.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

As I keep saying there are more Ds in this country don't pay attention to Elon Musk Harris X polls they are owned bye him only Snowlabrador or Redban believes them.

It all Depends on turnout it's not a PVI Eday and state by state polls look very good to BIDEN, what happens if Biden wins by 2008 margins by 7 and you have PA, WI, NV and AZ going R like 22 your R nut map will be WRONG

A 52/45 Eday will look like a clean sweep but IA or FL going R and AK, OH, TX and NC going D

[jaichind]

After the Hur report, it is now

Prez winner
Trump       51.1
Biden        30.6

Implied chance of winning if nominated
Trump       52.2
Biden        37.6

[BlueSwan]

After the Hur report, it is now

Prez winner
Trump       51.1
Biden        30.6

Implied chance of winning if nominated
Trump       52.2
Biden        37.6

If I was a betting man I'd certain buy Trump at these odds. His chances are WAY higher than 51%. More like 80% if you ask me.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

It's a Pred not votes

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

After the Hur report, it is now

Prez winner
Trump       51.1
Biden        30.6

Implied chance of winning if nominated
Trump       52.2
Biden        37.6

If I was a betting man I'd certain buy Trump at these odds. His chances are WAY higher than 51%. More like 80% if you ask me.

Yeah and Trump up 1 is so accurate lol it's a 303 D map

[jaichind]

Also, note that the current uselectionatlas median prediction has the GOP at 267 EC votes.  This is the highest level for any GOP candidate since and including 2004.  The us election atlas median prediction in 2004 was the GOP at 266 EC votes.  So in theory the implied uselectionatlas prediction of a GOP victory is the highest since and including 2004.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303/225 map so

[Mr. Third-Wayist]

Also, note that the current uselectionatlas median prediction has the GOP at 267 EC votes.  This is the highest level for any GOP candidate since and including 2004.  The us election atlas median prediction in 2004 was the GOP at 266 EC votes.  So in theory the implied uselectionatlas prediction of a GOP victory is the highest since and including 2004.

Trump was up at this point in 2020. I believe it was 270-268

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Also, note that the current uselectionatlas median prediction has the GOP at 267 EC votes.  This is the highest level for any GOP candidate since and including 2004.  The us election atlas median prediction in 2004 was the GOP at 266 EC votes.  So in theory the implied uselectionatlas prediction of a GOP victory is the highest since and including 2004.

You know it's a Pred not votes lol just stop with this Trump bias just wait til the votes are counted

[jaichind]

Also, note that the current uselectionatlas median prediction has the GOP at 267 EC votes.  This is the highest level for any GOP candidate since and including 2004.  The us election atlas median prediction in 2004 was the GOP at 266 EC votes.  So in theory the implied uselectionatlas prediction of a GOP victory is the highest since and including 2004.

Trump was up at this point in 2020. I believe it was 270-268

Good point.  I forgot about that.